Morris Posted July 12, 2015 Share Posted July 12, 2015 KNYC topped out at 89. Newark at 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 12, 2015 Share Posted July 12, 2015 87F high here. Haven't hit 90 in almost 3 weeks now. The next 7 days look to be 90F-free for most of us. Newark always tacks on the days in these borderline type patterns, while the rest of us lag behind. Still sitting at 4 90F days for the summer. I think the July 20th-August 10th could produce some legitimate heat as heights rise w/ the re-orientation of the mid level ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Chamber of commerce beach weekend....Warlock approves this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Today's Highs: TEB: 89 NYC: 89 EWR: 91 LGA: 89 JFK: 86 ISP: 86 New Brunswick: 90 BLM: 88 TTN: 88 PHL: 90 ACY: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 91 here today for 7th 90(+) of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 89 Degree Days: TEB: 3 TTN: 2 PHL: 6 New Brunswick: 5 EWR: 3 NYC: 2 ACY: 3 JFK: 4 LGA: 3 Believe NYC has 3 88's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 13, 2015 Author Share Posted July 13, 2015 Amazing how the park has gotten only 1 90 degree day while a mere 5 miles away im at 6 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Amazing how the park has gotten only 1 90 degree day while a mere 5 miles away im at 6 days Very typical for the park to be lower the last bunch of years with the overgrowth.. LGA has been closer to the park the last 2 years due to wind more SSE... Its an accurate reading of its surroundings just a poor representation of NYC/NJ metro areas which are between 4 and 9 90(+) days. Id vote SI or avg of EWR/NYC for a better city perception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 91 here today for 7th 90(+) of the season. Tony - you're in Monroe Twp., correct? Your area / Middlesex County up through New Brunswick, Elizabeth, Edison, Newark seems to torch quite well, and ends up the hottest in the state usually. Could be the geography or different land use (more urban than here?). This will be the latest I've gone into July without a 90F day since July 2009. That July IIRC, most of us didn't hit 90 once. I don't see that being the case this month. Still think Jul 20-30 warms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Another day of close but no cigar, with a high here of 89 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Tony - you're in Monroe Twp., correct? Your area / Middlesex County up through New Brunswick, Elizabeth, Edison, Newark seems to torch quite well, and ends up the hottest in the state usually. Could be the geography or different land use (more urban than here?). This will be the latest I've gone into July without a 90F day since July 2009. That July IIRC, most of us didn't hit 90 once. I don't see that being the case this month. Still think Jul 20-30 warms. Iso. yes I'm in Monroe, (southwest Middlesex on the border of Marlboro/Manalapan so to speak.) Im surrounded by developments, farms much more rural than NB or Newark. Only 2 90's here this July. I noticed it's usually been a matter of a degree or two I think from my station to yours on some of the borderline days, though today a wider range. Amazing stretch of normal temps (overall) the last few weeks balanced by some warm and wetter/cooler days. I hope youre right about the last 10 days of the month, still a bunch of uncertainty on the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Another day of close but no cigar, with a high here of 89 degrees. Don, whats your tally (90 / 89 days)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Don, whats your tally (90 / 89 days)?I have three 90 and four 89 degree days since May...there seemed to be quite a few days when winds shifted here to onshore during the early afternoon to halt any temp rise, but didn't penetrate much further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Only the 5th time since 1985 that Newark hasn't reached 95 degrees by July 15th. other years and total 95 degree days for season 2009...1 1998...1 1996...2 1985...2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 GFS OP still wants a heat wave from about 7/21-26 period, but CFS weeklies only show normal heights then. Looks like normal or less than normal 500mb heights save us from heatwave as 850mb temps. coast along within 1SD of norms, according to the ensembles. Heatwave definitely on for Gulf States/Mid-West/S.E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 GFS OP still wants a heat wave from about 7/21-26 period, but CFS weeklies only show normal heights then. Looks like normal or less than normal 500mb heights save us from heatwave as 850mb temps. coast along within 1SD of norms, according to the ensembles. Heatwave definitely on for Gulf States/Mid-West/S.E. The three strongest developing El Niño events (1972-73, 1982-83, and 1997-98) saw heat in the 2nd half of July. 90° or above days: July 16-31, 1972: 8; Heatwave: 7/21-25 July 16-31, 1982: 7; Heatwaves 7/16-19 and 7/25-27 July 16-31, 1997: 2 Having said this, at least the 6z GFS may be a little overdone on the heat, as it is somewhat out of line with its ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 I would think we'd see at least 2-3 heat waves this summer. What better time than the second half of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Decent SBCAPE in place today. 1500 J/KG already in most places. Winds aloft are very weak, prime setup for slow moving dumpers today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Decent SBCAPE in place today. 1500 J/KG already in most places. Winds aloft are very weak, prime setup for slow moving dumpers today. What are the hi res showing for possible location. We need rain bad on the island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 What are the hi res showing for possible location. We need rain bad on the island Most of the activity looks to be near the DE River today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Most of the activity looks to be near the DE River today. Typical. I think we have a shot out here tomorrow. I was busy all weekend and didnt water. This morning my veggies and hydrangeas were wilting. As far as heat. Again we are the ice cube in a gaint pot of boiling water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Thoughts on tomorrow's storm chances? Upton has scaled back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Thoughts on tomorrow's storm chances? Upton has scaled back a bit. All of the good SBCAPE is West and South. Should see a decent squall line over SNJ again. Just come to grips with the fact that NYC/LI struggle with convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 All of the good SBCAPE is West and South. Should see a decent squall line over SNJ again. Just come to grips with the fact that NYC/LI struggle with convection. Definitely climo there, but seems more pronounced this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Park somehow hit 88. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Park somehow hit 88. I flew over last night with some agent orange Even convection today is several hundred miles away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 13, 2015 Share Posted July 13, 2015 Most of the models are pretty dry for tomorrow, especially from NYC=====>East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2015 Share Posted July 14, 2015 Today's Highs: TEB: 87 NYC: 88 EWR: 86 LGA: 85 JFK: 84 ISP: 82 New Brunswick: 88 BLM: 82 TTN: 86 PHL: 87 ACY: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 14, 2015 Share Posted July 14, 2015 Just had an unexpected but extremly heavy shower. Seems to be a big thunderstorm over the ocean too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 14, 2015 Share Posted July 14, 2015 It poured Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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