Kmlwx Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Thanks! ️ I won't admit to how many times I visit that link when I'm bored. I'd reveal my severe wx weenie side way too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 almost to 500 sbcape!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Was hoping for a better signal for heavier rainfall on the latest model guidance, but it seems pretty meh at this point. The signal for heavier rain seems displaced into the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Bumped to enh over s va... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Wish we could get some storms going... excellent bulk and effective shear across the region... between 500 and 1000 SBCAPE now, ~1000 SBCAPE at EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 I'm essentially out of the slight risk. Yoda can't even get me back into this one. I'm out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 353 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 450 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MARYLAND NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 450 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SUPERCELL STORMS WITH A THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH MID EVENING. STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY GROW UPSCALE INTO CLUSTERS AND LINES WITH AN ATTENDANT GREATER DAMAGING WIND THREAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Supercell SE of Roanoke already looks a bit interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Supercell SE of Roanoke already looks a bit interesting. Just a bunch of cows and hill billys down there, so it's fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 nice looking storm down there https://twitter.com/nathanwhite/status/614177533412671489 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Woo rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Pretty impressive looking storms down in VA. Looks like a few sprinkles and showers for us unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 lol radar looks like a summertime version of a dry clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 I'm not feeling this..looks like it's onto Saturday. Once again the question is instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Yoda said 7-8 pm for teh good stuff so don't give up anybody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Supercell SE of Roanoke already looks a bit interesting. I had some obligations today and didn't have a chance to chase -- I would have been on it otherwise. Looked awesome from Roanoke looking southeast. Huge towering anvil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Yoda said 7-8 pm for teh good stuff so don't give up anybodyUp to about 750 CAPE!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Hey yoda is almost 8 what in the heck where's My Tornado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Getting quite dark up here. Storm in Frederick is just going to graze me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 so, the radar is now filling in to the west and northwest of DC in the early evening as progged by all of the models. but since they for the most part overforecast the instability, it's a line of heavier showers (don't think there is any thunder so far??) instead of a strong line of thunderstorms with embedded severe elements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 so, the radar is now filling in to the west and northwest of DC in the early evening as progged by all of the models. but since they for the most part overforecast the instability, it's a line of heavier showers (don't think there is any thunder so far??) instead of a strong line of thunderstorms with embedded severe elements. No thunder, lightning or wind here. Just some heavy downpours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Getting quite dark up here. Strom from Frederick is just going to glaze me. Darkening here too. Tho i think it's cause the Sun went down behind the trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 so, the radar is now filling in to the west and northwest of DC in the early evening as progged by all of the models. but since they for the most part overforecast the instability, it's a line of heavier showers (don't think there is any thunder so far??) instead of a strong line of thunderstorms with embedded severe elements.Is a bit of a shortwave passing. So close to a bigish event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 wow, surprisingly strong gusts with this lead cell in southern Howard County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Winds were 30-40mph in Germantown along w/ heavy rain..no lightning/thunder though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 had .01" from a mid-day shower. nothing but a couple sprinkles this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 Cell southwest of Manassas appears to be trying to be a supercell. Rapid lightning increase lately.. not bad for 9p. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Downpour in Rockville. No thunder and lightning though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 had .01" from a mid-day shower. nothing but a couple sprinkles this evening. lol I'm starting to believe you do live in a desert. Looks like a decent line of showers coming into the DC area. I'll take it. Better then nothing.Edit: starting to see some flashes of lightning to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Good wind & 10 min. heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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