Eskimo Joe Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 IAD appears to be in the warm sector. TOR for Stafford until 4:15 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 SBCAPE OF 1000 J/KG LIFTING NORTH INTO SRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA NORTHOF THE WARM FRONT. ONLY LIGHT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY SO FAR...BUTACTIVITY OVER SERN VA WILL MOVE NORTH AND NEW ACTIVITY WILLDEVELOP IN SRN MD THEN INTO CNTRL MD AND N-CNTRL VA. CURRENTTHOUGHT IS SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT WILL EXPAND TO EAST SIDE OF BLUERIDGE.FLASH FLOOD RISK. THE METRO AREAS ARE PARTICULARLY SENSITIVE...SOTHE DC METRO WAS INCLUDED FIRST IN A WARNING. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGSWILL BE BASED ON EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO COVER MANYAREAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Absolutely puking rain in Rockville right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Just broke 2" of rain. Nice clearing behind this and an interesting cell embedded in the line just SW of Arlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 62, east wind, .82", beer 4 along with a shot 66, ene wind, .95", beer 1 and heading to a wine tasting soon. Happy Birthday. Get in the pool just so you can say that you did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 5.82"/hr on the VP2. 1.68" on the day and climbing. Just about 9" on the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Feels tropical outside right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Sun!!! We are making it thru the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Feels tropical outside right now Feels like a nino December here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Still only 71.8 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 SBCAPE OF 1000 J/KG LIFTING NORTH INTO SRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. ONLY LIGHT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY SO FAR...BUT ACTIVITY OVER SERN VA WILL MOVE NORTH AND NEW ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP IN SRN MD THEN INTO CNTRL MD AND N-CNTRL VA. CURRENT THOUGHT IS SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT WILL EXPAND TO EAST SIDE OF BLUE RIDGE. FLASH FLOOD RISK. THE METRO AREAS ARE PARTICULARLY SENSITIVE...SO THE DC METRO WAS INCLUDED FIRST IN A WARNING. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE BASED ON EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO COVER MANY AREAS. TORNADO WATCH FOR STAFFORD SOUTH AND SRN MD WITH CURRENT ACTIVITY SLOWLY MOVING EAST FROM THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. THE WARM FRONT IS ROUGHLY FROM S-CNTRL MD BACK DOWN THE I-95 CORRIDOR...THEN OVER TO WV. WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH AND THE TORNADO/SEVERE THREAT WILL EXPAND NW WITH THE WARM FRONT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 We are just east of the bottom two tor warnings. Investigated the wrong cell to start was eying the Ric one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 5.82"/hr on the VP2. 1.68" on the day and climbing. Just about 9" on the month. Tacked on a half inch in the 10 minutes after this post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Just drove back from PA along Route 15 and then 270 - was pretty brutal.So are we completely done after this line or are we expecting more to form? Looks pretty boring after this line of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Tacked on a half inch in the 10 minutes after this post. Looks like there's going to be some convergence and heavy rain along 95 between DC and Baltimore very soon. Ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Just drove back from PA along Route 15 and then 270 - was pretty brutal. So are we completely done after this line or are we expecting more to form? Looks pretty boring after this line of rain. Correct me if I'm wrong, but haven't we been waiting for some "boring" all day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Correct me if I'm wrong, but haven't we been waiting for some "boring" all day? I meant more of - is more supposed to develop after this Haven't really been in the loop the last few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 I meant more of - is more supposed to develop after this Haven't really been in the loop the last few hours. If I understand correctly, we should see more development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 20Z SPC SWODY1 UPDATE ...20Z DAY-1 FORECAST UPDATE...NO PARTICULARLY SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE ONGOINGFORECAST. THE 10-PERCENT-TORNADO AREA IN THE MID-ATLANTIC HAS BEENEXTENDED SLIGHTLY ESEWD/SEWD ACROSS PARTS OF ERN VA/MD WHERE MODESTSFC HEATING IS CONTRIBUTING TO DESTABILIZATION IN THE STRONGLYSHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THIS MAY LOCALLY ENHANCE THE TORNADO POTENTIALAS UPSTREAM CONVECTION AFFECTS THESE AREAS. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS HAVEBEEN MADE TO THE MRGL/SLGT CONTOURS OVER THE UPPER OHIO VALLEYREGION AND VICINITY TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT FRONTAL POSITIONS -- W OFWHICH SVR RISK DIMINISHES. SLGT AND MRGL AREAS WERE EXTENDED EWDACROSS PARTS OF NRN MN WHERE SVR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF AVORT MAX ADVANCING SEWD TOWARD THE AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 We are just east of the bottom two tor warnings. Investigated the wrong cell to start was eying the Ric one. Signature on the southernmost tor warning looks pretty spectacular for these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 First rumble of thunder of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Went from deluge to pretty much nothing in a matter of seconds. Edit: It's picked back up again, but not on the level of before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 50k+ tops on the southernmost tor warned cell in va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Since Ian stopped with the puddle shots, a wide view. 2.34" on the day. Done for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Now almost 3" rain. 2" since noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Pretty surprised the 10% remains over me. Our front yard is absolutely water logged tho - and ponding was incredible coming down 270. Lots of people driving too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Rolling thunder here for the first time today too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 SBCAPE OF 1000 J/KG LIFTING NORTH INTO SRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. ONLY LIGHT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY SO FAR...BUT ACTIVITY OVER SERN VA WILL MOVE NORTH AND NEW ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP IN SRN MD THEN INTO CNTRL MD AND N-CNTRL VA. CURRENT THOUGHT IS SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT WILL EXPAND TO EAST SIDE OF BLUE RIDGE. FLASH FLOOD RISK. THE METRO AREAS ARE PARTICULARLY SENSITIVE...SO THE DC METRO WAS INCLUDED FIRST IN A WARNING. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE BASED ON EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO COVER MANY AREAS. Updated: SBCAPE OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG LIFTING NORTH INTO SRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY INCREASING ACROSS SERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA AND THIS WILL LIFT NORTH INTO CNTRL MD AND N-CNTRL VA. CURRENT THOUGHT IS SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT WILL EXPAND NORTH TO CNTRL MD. .70" rain and 67F, high 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 66, ene wind, .95", beer 1 and heading to a wine tasting soon. Happy Birthday. Get in the pool just so you can say that you did. Thanks! I just may go swimming in the backyard instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Decent clearing evident on visible satellite in northern VA back west to the Blue Ridge. 6:00 pm - 1:00 am time frame could be really fun. Nocturnal tornado threats are rare around here though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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