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June 23rd Enhanced Risk


mappy

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
602 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
MDC005-025-232215-  
/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150623T2215Z/  
BALTIMORE MD-HARFORD MD-  
602 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR EAST  
CENTRAL BALTIMORE AND CENTRAL HARFORD COUNTIES...  
 
AT 602 PM EDT...THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PERRYMAN...OR  
NEAR ABERDEEN. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.  

 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
BEL AIR...PLEASANT HILLS...KINGSVILLE...BEL AIR SOUTH...BEL AIR  
NORTH...BENSON...JOPPA AND UPPER FALLS.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR  
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.  
 

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:yikes::o

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2015/md1142.html

 

DISCUSSION...INTENSE STORMS HAVE CONSOLIDATED INTO A BOWING ARC FROM

THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF CHESAPEAKE BAY TO THE DELAWARE RIVER. THE
CONSOLIDATION OF THIS ACTIVITY INCREASES THE CHANCE FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. CONVECTION WILL MOVE EAST AT 40-50KT INTO
PRONOUNCED INSTABILITY AXIS FROM DELMARVA TO CENTRAL NJ WHERE SFC
TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE LOWER 90S F AND OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS DCAPE VALUES ARE IN EXCESS OF 1200 J PER KG. WITH
CONVECTIVE LINE ORIENTED PERPENDICULAR TO 50-60KT MID-LEVEL JET AND
MAGNITUDE OF DOWNSTREAM INSTABILITY...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD

DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF 70KT...APPEARS QUITE HIGH.

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They mention widespread damaging wind possibly in excess of 70kts - holy crap.

Think mostly for the northern end PHL to DE area. Stuff further south doesn't have that kind of signature thus far.
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
601 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  
THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...  
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
NORTHERN PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
SOUTHWESTERN BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
NORTHWESTERN ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
SOUTHEASTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
THE WEST CENTRAL BALTIMORE CITY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
NORTH CENTRAL FAIRFAX COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  
EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  
CENTRAL LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...  
 
* UNTIL 630 PM EDT  
 
AT 600 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND  
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED  
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WESTMINSTER TO ROUND HILL...AND  
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. 
 
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
ROCKVILLE...GAITHERSBURG...LEESBURG...COLLEGE PARK...GREENBELT...  
POOLESVILLE...CROFTON...SEVERN...ELKRIDGE...BROADLANDS...OLNEY...  
DAMASCUS...LOWES ISLAND...LANSDOWNE...LANGLEY PARK...GERMANTOWN...  
COLUMBIA...BYRD STADIUM...BELTSVILLE AND BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON  
AIRPORT.  

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
605 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
MDC003-005-025-510-232215-  
/O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0130.000000T0000Z-150623T2215Z/  
BALTIMORE MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-BALTIMORE CITY MD-HARFORD MD-  
605 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT  
FOR BALTIMORE...NORTHERN ANNE ARUNDEL AND HARFORD COUNTIES AND THE  
BALTIMORE CITY...  
 
AT 605 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF  
BALL SIZE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS  
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR NORTH EAST TO HOWARD  
PARK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
 
 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
BALTIMORE...ABERDEEN...BEL AIR...UNION SQUARE...GUILFORD...HOWARD  
PARK...BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR...BACK RIVER...LOCUST POINT...CAMDEN  
YARDS...ROLAND PARK...FALLSTAFF...COCKEYSVILLE...FELLS POINT...  
PIKESVILLE...GWYNNS FALLS...MIDDLE RIVER...CLIFTON PARK...SPARROWS  
POINT AND NORTH POINT STATE PARK.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...  
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN  
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY  
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER  
COVERS THE ROAD.  
 
THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE  
HAIL. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A  
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
 

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
614 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
NORTHWESTERN ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
THE BALTIMORE CITY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
CENTRAL HARFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
 
* UNTIL 645 PM EDT  
 
* AT 613 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND  
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED  
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHARLESTOWN TO HOWARD PARK...AND  
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
 
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
BALTIMORE...ABERDEEN...BEL AIR...UNION SQUARE...GUILFORD...HOWARD  
PARK...BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR...BACK RIVER...LOCUST POINT...CAMDEN  
YARDS...ROLAND PARK...FALLSTAFF...COCKEYSVILLE...FELLS POINT...  
PIKESVILLE...GWYNNS FALLS...MIDDLE RIVER...BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON  
AIRPORT...CLIFTON PARK AND NORTH POINT STATE PARK.  
 

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Shear a bit better than forecast but still mainly good N Md and north. Munching CAPE south. Kind of a reverse of Sat which areas get best perhaps. Might need some help here not to just get clipped tho back end should hit DC at least.

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