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June 23rd Enhanced Risk


mappy

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You sell your account to someone else today? Does look better than the others.. which look kind of not that exciting.

Decent winds up here, some thunder. Heavy rains. Best looks to my east. Power did go out for a few seconds

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
530 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
MDC005-025-232145-  
/O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-150623T2145Z/  
BALTIMORE MD-HARFORD MD-  
530 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT  
FOR NORTHEASTERN BALTIMORE AND HARFORD COUNTIES...  
 
AT 529 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND  
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED  
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DELTA TO HAMPTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH
.  
 
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
ABERDEEN...BEL AIR...COCKEYSVILLE...RIVERSIDE...REISTERSTOWN...  
FALLSTON...CARNEY...PERRYMAN...BEL AIR SOUTH...HAMPTON...  
JARRETTSVILLE...WHITE MARSH...PERRY HALL...MAYS CHAPEL...  
KINGSVILLE...BEL AIR NORTH...LUTHERVILLE-TIMONIUM...PLEASANT HILLS...  
TIMONIUM AND OWINGS MILLS.  
 

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21z SPC mesoanalysis


 


LI's -8 to -9... LL Lapse Rates around 7.5 C/KM... ML Lapse Rates around 6.5 to 7.0 C/KM... 2500-3000 MLCAPE... 3000 to 3500 SBCAPE... 35 to 50 kts effective shear... around 40 kts bulk shear... left moving sup composite is -4... supercell composite is 4 (8 in N VA)... 1" hail markers in N VA/DC/C MD... derecho composite 6-8... 40-70 Craven SigSvr...


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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
540 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  
NORTHEASTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...  
SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...  
NORTHEASTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...  
BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...  
 
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT  
 
* AT 539 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60  
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES  
SOUTHEAST OF BERKELEY SPRINGS TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENWOOD...  
AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
MARTINSBURG...GREENWOOD...INWOOD...RIDGEWAY...VANVILLE...  
GLENGARY...NEW HOPE...RIDGE...JONES SPRINGS...OMPS...VALLEY HIGH...  
CLEAR BROOK...MARTINSBURG AIRPORT...STEPHENSON...JOHNSONS MILL...  
BUNKER HILL...TOMAHAWK...SHANGHAI...CEDAR HILL AND HIGHLAND RIDGE.  
 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
545 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
EAST CENTRAL BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
CENTRAL HARFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
 
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT  
 
* AT 544 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED  
NEAR CARNEY...OR NEAR COCKEYSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
BEL AIR...KINGSVILLE...PLEASANT HILLS...BEL AIR SOUTH...BEL AIR  
NORTH...PERRY HALL...CARNEY...HAMPTON...GLEN ARM...FORK...BENSON...  
JOPPA...UPPER FALLS...BRADSHAW AND HYDES.  

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
545 PM EDT TUE JUN 23 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  
BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
NORTHERN ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
THE BALTIMORE CITY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
HARFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
 
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT  
 
* AT 544 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF  
BALL SIZE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS  
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WOODLAWN TO  
RANDALLSTOWN...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
 
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
BALTIMORE...ABERDEEN...BEL AIR...UNION SQUARE...GUILFORD...HOWARD  
PARK...BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR...BACK RIVER...LOCUST POINT...CAMDEN  
YARDS...ROLAND PARK...FALLSTAFF...COCKEYSVILLE...FELLS POINT...  
PIKESVILLE...GWYNNS FALLS...MIDDLE RIVER...CLIFTON PARK...SPARROWS  
POINT AND NORTH POINT STATE PARK.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...DEADLY  
LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN  
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY  
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER  
COVERS THE ROAD.  
 
THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE  
HAIL ACROSS BALTIMORE COUNTY. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM  
WINDOWS.
 
 
INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES  
AND WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY  
LIKELY...FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST  
FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO  
CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.  
 

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