jojo762 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 18z NAM still hangs on to the idea of a pretty potent squall line developing from Michigan into Northern Illinois/Eastern Iowa and Northern Missouri and moving Southeast tonight. And the 4K NAM is still insane with lots of sup's. But its also entirely wrong lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 some minor agitation northeast of waterloo to lacrosse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Mesoanalysis is showing a volatile environment in southeastern Iowa. Warmer 700mb still signaling capping, but CIN is being overcome. If storms can fire AND stay discrete, watch for a few intense supercells near/south of I-80 from SE IA into W IL late this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Did anyone notice the paucity of discussion in the 2000 SPC outlook? Just a paragraph about the synoptic situation and a listing of the previous discussion. It wasn't even signed. Anything going on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Did anyone notice the paucity of discussion in the 2000 SPC outlook. Just a paragraph about the synoptic situation and a listing of the previous discussion. It wasn't even signed. Anything going on?Kinda seemed like an overreaction imo but what do I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Really thought those cells along the 30 corridor east of CR were going to take off a little while ago, but they remain fairly unmotivated. Still a bit early I guess. The main show will most certainly go in a big way, probably somewhere along that trailing OFB I guess in Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Did anyone notice the paucity of discussion in the 2000 SPC outlook. Just a paragraph about the synoptic situation and a listing of the previous discussion. It wasn't even signed. Anything going on? They do that with the 20Z update a lot actually... For some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Did anyone notice the paucity of discussion in the 2000 SPC outlook. Just a paragraph about the synoptic situation and a listing of the previous discussion. It wasn't even signed. Anything going on?Afternoon updates tend to be short. Often just a paragraph giving a high level overview of any adjustments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Did anyone notice the paucity of discussion in the 2000 SPC outlook. Just a paragraph about the synoptic situation and a listing of the previous discussion. It wasn't even signed. Anything going on? That happens sometimes...not much new info with basically a copy/paste of the old discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 This year really sucked in tornadoes. A surprise event in OK on a Wednesday and the Rochelle EF4. Thats it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 If nothing else we've had nearly continuous thunder for over an hour now. So there's that, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 This year really sucked in tornadoes. A surprise event in OK on a Wednesday and the Rochelle EF4. Thats it Aside from a few events, grown so sick of this 2012-2015 period in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Aside from a few events, grown so sick of this 2012-2015 period in general. Been some big ticket items for sure in what's been an overall down period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 So, once again, severe weather is talked up. Once again, nothing really happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Looking ahead, Wednesday could be decent in IA and NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 This happened in about 10 mins. The clouds just died out, so I have hope still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 So, once again, severe weather is talked up. Once again, nothing really happens. If you're going boy who cried wolf, don't even try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 22, 2015 Author Share Posted June 22, 2015 Looking at the damage pictures on twitter from the possible tornado in Portland, MI earlier this afternoon. Looks like some decent damage in the EF-1 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Wednesday again looks potent somewhere in Iowa on the 12K NAM/4K NAM and GFS... Take it with a grain of salt though, but don't put your guard down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Storms south of Des Moines quickly taking off. Up to 50kft now. Could this be the real deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 some minor agitation northeast of waterloo to lacrosse and growing more... La Crosse cell looks the best ATM in terms of the further north stuff away from cedar rapids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Storms south of Des Moines quickly taking off. Up to 50kft now. Could this be the real deal? That's just what I was about to post and what SPC had previously mentioned in their thinking wrt location closer to the front. Come on surface based convection! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Looking at the damage pictures on twitter from the possible tornado in Portland, MI earlier this afternoon. Looks like some decent damage in the EF-1 range. Pretty impressive damage. Been following this as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 22, 2015 Author Share Posted June 22, 2015 Pretty impressive damage. Been following this as well. Yeah maybe high end ef-1/low ef-2 with this damage, apparently this was a goodwill store: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 and growing more... La Crosse cell looks the best ATM in terms of the further north stuff away from cedar rapids That area had good sun earlier but it's not as unstable as farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Meanwhile, the warm front blew up along the I-75 corridor in OH. Multiple severe warnings and a new WW out for Ern OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Don't think that Michigan cell was tor warned either. Must have blown up very quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 New TOR watch. THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OFSOUTHEASTERN IOWAPARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOISFAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL1100 PM CDT.* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLESCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75MPH POSSIBLEISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLESUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSSTHE SOUTHEAST IOWA VICINITY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...WHILE STORMSONGOING FARTHER EAST INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS ALSO INTENSIFY. RISKFOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL EXIST WITH THE DEVELOPINGSTORMS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobChgo19 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I'm just gonna have to keep waiting to see what's happening. It looks like there is somewhat linear development near LaCrosse. I'm intrigued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I hate Chicago severe weather.. I really, really hate Chicago severe weather. To be fair, you guys (N. Illinois / NW Indiana) have been the only ones getting the little bit of severe weather we've seen this season. Some of us to date have had ZILCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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