A-L-E-K Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Nice development along the leading/srn edge just south of 88 now heading east. Would think that continues with it being closer to the better instability cyclone taking a nice hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 it's been a pretty textbook bow echo evolution very much so let's clear it out and get to some warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Could get a nice hit down here with the first line...not concerned about recovery later today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Cell near Oregon has a nice wind signature. Probably could use a warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Could get a nice hit down here with the first line...not concerned about recovery later today... I am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Could get a nice hit down here with the first line...not concerned about recovery later today...Neither am I... this thing is HAULING out of here and we should be perfectly fine with recovery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I am Lol...i hear ya...my point is that massive recovery isn't necessary thanks to other dynamics in play... New warning on the line along 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I am The garbage back through Iowa has me concerned, as that could be enough persistent cloudiness that we don't adequately recover. But in theory, we should have plenty of time, with this MCS cruising. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Cloud tops continue to slowly warm. Clearing starting to push into the La Crosse area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 The garbage back through Iowa has me concerned, as that could be enough persistent cloudiness that we don't adequately recover. But in theory, we should have plenty of time, with this MCS cruising. We shall see. Looks like the area north of there in Iowa is starting to clear out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I am So am I as of now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Will be interesting to see if they pull the trigger on an upgrade in the 1630z outlook. Seems like a fair amount of uncertainty yet but at some point you have to forecast and not just nowcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Will be interesting to see if they pull the trigger on an upgrade in the 1630z outlook. Seems like a fair amount of uncertainty yet but at some point you have to forecast and not just nowcast. I see no reason to upgrade. If anything I would think the enhanced area ends up being cut smaller. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Sun is about to break out here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I see no reason to upgrade. If anything I would think the enhanced area ends up being cut smaller. Yeah I was just thinking the same thing. Definitely think if we see any changes, it would be to shrink the enhanced area at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I see no reason to upgrade. If anything I would think the enhanced area ends up being cut smaller. Agreed. If they do upgrade, it won't be til late this afternoon if things go in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I see no reason to upgrade. If anything I would think the enhanced area ends up being cut smaller. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 plenty of mid 70 DP air ready to come in downstream... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 A bust overall on the winds in Racine. Breezy yes, but not severe limits. More impressive is how dark it is now - street lamps are on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Late Day 1 update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Thing is, we have over 50 severe reports just since 12z with several significant wind reports and will probably tack on more in the near term. I know the outlooks are valid from the time they are issued but considering this, and the possibility/likelihood of additional activity later in roughly the same zone, it could turn out, in hindsight, that a moderate risk would've been appropriate. Maybe it's subjective. If we get an upgrade, then forget everything I said lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobChgo19 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Late Day 1 update? Yeah, I noticed that. Has me a little concerned that they might be gambling on a moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Thing is, we have over 50 severe reports just since 12z with several significant wind reports and will probably tack on more in the near term. I know the outlooks are valid from the time they are issued but considering this, and the possibility/likelihood of additional activity later in roughly the same zone, it could turn out, in hindsight, that a moderate risk would've been appropriate. Maybe it's subjective. If we get an upgrade, then forget everything I said lol Untitled.png I'm not sure if Im the only one who still think we should get a moderate haha. If we could get those extreme winds from the MCS, I think it almost points to the setup being on point as long as these could get out of here by around 1 pm (which they should easily) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 time lapse please Shelf was sort of meh. Was okay I guess. The whales mouth following it though looked pretty sweet. Picked up 0.08" of rain. The heaviest downpours stayed just a bit north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Guessing there is some serious debate going on in Norman right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Enhanced. Google swody1 and its up as of 11:40 CDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 New SWODY1 with sig changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Still enhanced... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Damn, that's an awesome whales mouth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 RIP wisconsinwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.