IsentropicLift Posted September 6, 2015 Share Posted September 6, 2015 I like visiting the city (Manhattan) and I'd never miss the other 4 boroughs if they sank into the ocean. I am actually going to have breakfast on the upper East side tomorrow morning with my sister who's boyfriend has an apartment on E 73 between 2nd and 3rd. The cost of city living is horrendous and the traffic, dirt and noise are out of control. It's not just NY, I generally dislike all urban areas. I do love the NY history and the resteraunts, especially in the village but I'm very happy when I arrive back home at my house with my green lawn, peace and quiet and stars in the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 6, 2015 Share Posted September 6, 2015 ...couldn't pay me enough to move back to the city. Amen brother! The only way I could live there is if I didn't have to work and had unlimited funds to enjoy what the place has to offer. Lotto/Powerball, that kind of thing. What a spectacular morning in the woods today. Cool and dry, just as crisp as crisp could be. Speaking of dry, holy fire danger Batman! Close to 1/3 of the leaves are down already and it's dusty everywhere even the creek beds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 Speaking of dry, holy fire danger Batman! Close to 1/3 of the leaves are down already and it's dusty everywhere even the creek beds.Yea, no kidding. There was a bit of a break in mid August with some rain but still below normal. It's very dry here, the grass is fried and leaves are dropping, more than normal for this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 Yea, no kidding. There was a bit of a break in mid August with some rain but still below normal. It's very dry here, the grass is fried and leaves are dropping, more than normal for this point. Dry here too. Mowed the dust (lawn) this morning. 2nd time in about 5 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 This looks pretty decent for heavy rain on Thursday, with PWATs well over 2", 500 to 1000 j/kg of CAPE, and decent upper-level support from falling heights and a divergent jet streak region. The HPC likes a decent soaking of 1.5" to 2" in most areas, and as it stands I don't think 3" is too far out-of-reach for spots under the deepest convection. Nice to finally have something to track, even if seasonal trends argue for an underperformer... As a side note, Albany just confirmed that KPOU broke its daily record high by five degrees. Very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 This looks pretty decent for heavy rain on Thursday, with PWATs well over 2", 500 to 1000 j/kg of CAPE, and decent upper-level support from falling heights and a divergent jet streak region. The HPC likes a decent soaking of 1.5" to 2" in most areas, and as it stands I don't think 3" is too far out-of-reach for spots under the deepest convection. Nice to finally have something to track, even if seasonal trends argue for an underperformer... As a side note, Albany just confirmed that KPOU broke its daily record high by five degrees. Very impressive. Just like I was out of the country for the 5/31-6/2 deluge, I'll be out of the country on Thursday for a week. That means that it won't underperform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 Just like I was out of the country for the 5/31-6/2 deluge, I'll be out of the country on Thursday for a week. That means that it won't underperform. Haha, well I hope so for our sakes. I always like dry spells that break in a big way, let's hope this one does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 8, 2015 Share Posted September 8, 2015 The HRRR did pretty well with yesterday's heat, so it's worth entertaining the possibility of upper 90s today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 8, 2015 Share Posted September 8, 2015 We torch. Hottest day of the year and tied for the 4th warmest September day on record (I really wish KPOU had an uninterrupted period of record to better substantiate that kind of statistic, but alas.) A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 97 DEGREES WAS SET AT POUGHKEEPSIE NYTODAY...SEPTEMBER 8...AT 315 PM EDT. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF92 DEGREES SET BACK IN 2007. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 8, 2015 Share Posted September 8, 2015 We torch. Hottest day of the year and tied for the 4th warmest September day on record (I really wish KPOU had an uninterrupted period of record to better substantiate that kind of statistic, but alas.)My high was 97 too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 92 for a high imby and 95 at KPOU, making for that station's first three-day stretch of 95F+ since July 2011... as well as the third consecutive record daily high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Should be a good soaking for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 hit 92F yesterday. Highest temp of the year. Today - 89F for the heat. Current temp - 76F Impressive heat for this time of year. Hope we cool down in the back half of the month. Best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Wow 92° was your highest this year? 94° here, and yesterday tied that. It is really impressive for sure, I mean we're in September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Just .11 overnight. I know the main show is still to come but I was still hopeful for more than that last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 I got a whopping .03" here overnight. Was hoping for a bit more to prime the ground for the heavier rain later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Have to wait and see what occurs later today with the rain, but so far the GFS has nailed this storm. Radar looks unimpressive at the moment too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 10, 2015 Author Share Posted September 10, 2015 0.23" so far.. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 The radar has been lighting up down near Harrisburg, have to see where that tracks in the coming hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 The radar has been lighting up down near Harrisburg, have to see where that tracks in the coming hours. My gut tells me, that I end up with around 3/4 of an inch of rain when all is done. I don't expect to be anywhere near 2 inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 My gut tells me, that I end up with around 3/4 of an inch of rain when all is done. I don't expect to be anywhere near 2 inches of rain. The 0z GFS had me at just over an inch, I'll take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 My gut tells me, that I end up with around 3/4 of an inch of rain when all is done. I don't expect to be anywhere near 2 inches of rain. We should do pretty well... I'd be surprised if anybody ends up with less than about 1.50", honestly. You can see the extensive blossoming of precip north of that WNW-ESE oriented shortwave over Virginia (look for broad cyclonic turning there): As expected, the synoptics continue to look favorable for cyclogenesis: IMPULSE OVER KY/TN WAS BEGINNING TO CAUSE A SLIGHT INFLECTION IN THE DOWNSTREAM WCB SUGGESTING AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS ALONG WITH THE BEGINNING OF MORE NOTICEABLE SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPMENT WHICH MOST RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS MAY BE ONGOING OVER W VA. JET STREAK N OF THE ST LAWRENCE ALSO APPEARED TO BE STRENGTHENING AS DOWNSTREAM BLOCK OVER THE NW ATLANTIC HAS BEEN FORCING HEIGHT FALLS NE INTO PORTIONS OF SE CANADA. Radar looks very good to my eye. You can pick out a little mesolow over York County, PA, heading generally in our direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 We should do pretty well... I'd be surprised if anybody ends up with less than about 1.50", honestly. You can see the extensive blossoming of precip north of that WNW-ESE oriented shortwave over Virginia (look for broad cyclonic turning there): As expected, the synoptics continue to look favorable for cyclogenesis: Radar looks very good to my eye. You can pick out a little mesolow over York County, PA, heading generally in our direction. Yea, its pretty clear that slug of rain is moving into our area, hopefully its a nice rainy night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Radar already estimating up to 2" in NW Jersey, any word? Show's just starting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Im at .32 from that batch and it hasn't been raining for an hour yet here., .43 on the day now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 .32" also here from this latest batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Radar already estimating up to 2" in NW Jersey, any word? Show's just starting here. Yeah, I'm up to 1.5", but to my North and West the amounts are even higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 Yeah, I'm up to 1.5", but to my North and West the amounts are even higher. 0.82 inches of rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 0.82 inches of rain today. heh, what a disappointing event. I think I'm done trying to use meteorology to forecast precip in 2015. Can't remember the last time a significant rain or snow event came close to performing as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted September 11, 2015 Share Posted September 11, 2015 heh, what a disappointing event. I think I'm done trying to use meteorology to forecast precip in 2015. Can't remember the last time a significant rain or snow event came close to performing as expected. Agree. Hope the trend changes at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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