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Winter Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - 2015/16


snywx

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Looks like some of us in North and West New Jersey, as well as the Hudson Valley might have a chance at some snow tomorrow night.  Probably only light flurries, but enough to get that Christmas Feeling in the air.

 

Courtesy of Mount Holly NWS:

 

OUR REGION WILL STILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG NORTHWEST
FLOW SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS TO OUR NORTH AND HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE BUILDING TO OUR SOUTH. WINDS SATURDAY COULD GUST 30-35
MPH AT TIMES. THE TRAJECTORY OF THE WINDS WILL BE COMING OFF THE
GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, AND WITH THE COMBINATION
OF FAIRLY STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES, SOME ENHANCED LOW-MID
LEVEL MOISTURE, AND SEVERAL PIECES OF VORTICITY ROUNDING THE
TROUGH ALOFT, THERE COULD BE SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS/FLURRIES MAKE THEIR WAY INTO OUR NORTHERN ZONES FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. AS TYPICAL, THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY SNOWFALL.

 

 

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Mount Holly giving the weenies some positive news tonight :snowwindow:

 

THE WESTERLY- NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL ACTUALLY BRING A MOISTURE
STREAM OFF THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE POCONOS OVERNIGHT. THE HIRES NAM
HAS SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE REGION ACROSS THE
POCONOS OVERNIGHT AIDED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN. GETTING FULLY INTO THE
RANGE OF THE RAP AND HRRR MESOSCALE MODELS MAY HELP PIN THE SNOW
SHOWERS A BIT MORE THAN WHAT WE HAVE NOW, THIS SHOULD OCCUR LATER
THIS EVENING. WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOW 20`S FOR THE
POCONOS, SOME SLICK SPOTS MAY FORM. SO EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING
IN THE POCONOS TOWARD SUNRISE, WILL FEATURE THIS IN THE HWO AS
WELL.

 

 

 

And then for Saturday:

 

IN TERMS OF THE PROSPECTS FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS, MODELING

CONTINUES TO SHOW NORTHWEST NJ, THE POCONOS AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY

AS STANDING THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE SNOW. THE SCATTERED SNOW

SHOWERS WILL BE CAUSED BY MOISTURE MOVING INTO THIS REGION FROM

THE GREAT LAKES WITH THE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS. ALSO, THE STEEP

LAPSE RATES WILL ADD AN ELEMENT OF INSTABILITY TO THE SET-UP WHICH

COULD LOCALLY ENHANCE A SNOW SHOWER OR TWO. OVERALL, ANY SNOW

ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER AN INCH IN MOST SPOTS ATTM.

SOME SLICK SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY

AS WELL.

 

 

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Mount Holly giving the weenies some positive news tonight :snowwindow:
 

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

THE WESTERLY- NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL ACTUALLY BRING A MOISTURE
STREAM OFF THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE POCONOS OVERNIGHT. THE HIRES NAM
HAS SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE REGION ACROSS THE
POCONOS OVERNIGHT AIDED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN. GETTING FULLY INTO THE
RANGE OF THE RAP AND HRRR MESOSCALE MODELS MAY HELP PIN THE SNOW
SHOWERS A BIT MORE THAN WHAT WE HAVE NOW, THIS SHOULD OCCUR LATER
THIS EVENING. WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOW 20`S FOR THE
POCONOS, SOME SLICK SPOTS MAY FORM. SO EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING
IN THE POCONOS TOWARD SUNRISE, WILL FEATURE THIS IN THE HWO AS
WELL.

 
And then for Saturday:
 

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...

IN TERMS OF THE PROSPECTS FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS, MODELING
CONTINUES TO SHOW NORTHWEST NJ, THE POCONOS AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY
AS STANDING THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE SNOW. THE SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS WILL BE CAUSED BY MOISTURE MOVING INTO THIS REGION FROM
THE GREAT LAKES WITH THE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS. ALSO, THE STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL ADD AN ELEMENT OF INSTABILITY TO THE SET-UP WHICH
COULD LOCALLY ENHANCE A SNOW SHOWER OR TWO. OVERALL, ANY SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER AN INCH IN MOST SPOTS ATTM.
SOME SLICK SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY
AS WELL.

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Would be nice if they could hold together. Even more terrain to cross before they get here though, so you're probably better off than me

 

I live on the east slope of the Shawangunk Ridge. I have a Middletown addy but I love closer to Greenville than Middletown ( city) itself.

 

Its snowing as i type..

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I live on the east slope of the Shawangunk Ridge. I have a Middletown addy but I love closer to Greenville than Middletown ( city) itself.

 

Its snowing as i type..

Very nice up there. Greenville is pretty close to Port Jervis if I'm not mistaking? Very crisp out there at 36°

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