snywx Posted November 9, 2015 Author Share Posted November 9, 2015 I'm not a big long range guy, it's better on my mental status to just go with the flow and just deal with whatever is outside my window. That said, it is fun, and frustrating, to track the rain/snow line but my concern is that the rain/snow long is much further to our north and west this winter. Mine as well but id rather worry about the R/S line then worry about being fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 9, 2015 Share Posted November 9, 2015 Mine as well but id rather worry about the R/S line then worry about being fringed. I agree. Its totally anecdotal at this point but in the mid and late 80's I seem to have many memories of shoveling snow in the rain as the rain/snow line swept to a Scranton to Albany orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 9, 2015 Author Share Posted November 9, 2015 I agree. Its totally anecdotal at this point but in the mid and late 80's I seem to have many memories of shoveling snow in the rain as the rain/snow line swept to a Scranton to Albany orientation. I moved up to OC in 95 and remember quite a few of those types of storms. It just seems that in the last 5 years the R/S line has now been confined to the middle of the Atlantic lol. I can't ever ever remember this many all snow events for E LI or coastal NJ.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 9, 2015 Share Posted November 9, 2015 How does everyone here feel about the upcoming winter? Early indications seem to suggest above norm precip, above norm temps. Inland winter incoming! This is a good start. Other than that, who knows. I feel like too many are too confident about this winter one way or another. IMO there are no good analogs to use for this coming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 9, 2015 Author Share Posted November 9, 2015 This is a good start. Other than that, who knows. I feel like too many are too confident about this winter one way or another. IMO there are no good analogs to use for this coming winter. Ive noticed that as well. The first thing I do wanna see is this stj fire up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 I figure we'll know sometime around the middle of February what's gonna happen with the winter More important though is today. How far north does the rain make it? I'll be ok if it stays dry up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 10, 2015 Author Share Posted November 10, 2015 I figure we'll know sometime around the middle of February what's gonna happen with the winter More important though is today. How far north does the rain make it? I'll be ok if it stays dry up here. Its raining here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Its raining here.. Zilch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Nada here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 The pavement is now wet, very light rain falling. Oh wait, maybe I should post this in the separate thread on this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 The pavement is now wet, very light rain falling. Oh wait, maybe I should post this in the separate thread on this storm? Nah....too much arguing going on there with what constitutes moderate or heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Yep ended up pretty wet here. Probably didn't add up to much but it put the kibosh on outdoor activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 .99 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 .95" total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 11, 2015 Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 1.18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 1.02" here, miserable wx. As an aside... assuming it doesn't snow before Saturday, it'll be my latest without measurable snow since 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 0.90 at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 This is no good. 49* and it feels cold. I'd like a little winter appetizer please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Endless spall weather. I figured 'spall' is better than 'fing' but maybe f'ing is better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 I initially thought a big inland winter was incoming (bigger n&w of me) but the lack of climate records in this area is maddening. This is a good start. Other than that, who knows. I feel like too many are too confident about this winter one way or another. IMO there are no good analogs to use for this coming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Endless spall weather. I figured 'spall' is better than 'fing' but maybe f'ing is better? Heheh Those flurries last month were like when a restaurant puts bread and butter on the table. I'm ready for an app, maybe a soup or salad too. I can wait until the holidays for dinner $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Heheh Those flurries last month were like when a restaurant puts bread and butter on the table. I'm ready for an app, maybe a soup or salad too. I can wait until the holidays for dinner $ I'm ok with no snow in November but it would be nice to have a little chill in the air as we get to the holiday week at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Just got quite windy with the passage of this little squall. Seems like a couple gusts touched 40 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 The clown range GFS is finally starting to conjure up some storms that place us on the correct side of the 540dam thickness line. I don't have anything new to add to the long-range analysis that wiser folks have been posting (what else is new?), but from a weenie perspective, it's nice to finally see a light at the end of the tunnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 14, 2015 Author Share Posted November 14, 2015 The clown range GFS is finally starting to conjure up some storms that place us on the correct side of the 540dam thickness line. I don't have anything new to add to the long-range analysis that wiser folks have been posting (what else is new?), but from a weenie perspective, it's nice to finally see a light at the end of the tunnel. Noticed that as well.. There looks to be potential right around turkey day. We need to wake this thread up! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Good day weather fans, Nice chilly fall weather day today. High - 43.3 Low - 35.8 Current temp - 38.0 checked out the GFS and it shows some possible interior snow going out 10-11 days. Something to keep an eye on at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 14, 2015 Author Share Posted November 14, 2015 Currently 38/26.. Nice mid autumn feel out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 How does everyone here feel about the upcoming winter? Early indications seem to suggest above norm precip, above norm temps. Inland winter incoming! I miss those tracking the R/S line storms. Ive always said this.. If the immediate coast looks to stay all snow then fringe city for us but if we are tracking the R/S line then heads up. I have a reviewed a handful of calls from "experts" and The Old Farmers Almanac. Only concerning aspect is the call for winter to start in the end of January going into February. What the heck, winter is almost gone at that point. Hoping the interior and north burbs do well with rain in the city, Anything less than 60 inches on my block and it will be an easy winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 14, 2015 Author Share Posted November 14, 2015 I have a reviewed a handful of calls from "experts" and The Old Farmers Almanac. Only concerning aspect is the call for winter to start in the end of January going into February. What the heck, winter is almost gone at that point. Hoping the interior and north burbs do well with rain in the city, Anything less than 60 inches on my block and it will be an easy winter Many have already said this is gonna be an interior winter. The moisture isn't gonna be a problem its a matter of where the R/S line sets up. It feels like we haven't tracked a R/S line in atleast 5 years lol. Good ole fashion winter coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Many have already said this is gonna be an interior winter. The moisture isn't gonna be a problem its a matter of where the R/S line sets up. It feels like we haven't tracked a R/S line in atleast 5 years lol. Good ole fashion winter coming up. November 26-27th storm if I recall correctly had a rain/snow line. Elevation also played a role. But, yea I would enjoy a few storms where we get 6-12 inches and the coastal plain gets rain Hoping El Nino delivers a good 18-24 inch storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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