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Remnants of Tropical Storm Bill


IsentropicLift

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My NYC-PHL guess from last night for the heavy rain axis seems to be on track, if anything it may be south of there looking at the squall lines over S NJ. The GFS was horrendous with Bill when it made landfall in TX (it essentially tracked it due west south of San Antonio even as it was clearly headed more northerly past Victoria, it made media and TWC freak out about 6-8"+ rain in Austin when most of us had little), and looks to be crapping the bed here too. 

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Wow did this really busy that bad? Nws radar shows less than .5 for everyone?

 

Hit or miss nature of model forecasts when convection is involved. The doppler estimates have the highest amounts 

to our SW along the low track and a secondary max not as great to the north.

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