IsentropicLift Posted June 20, 2015 Author Share Posted June 20, 2015 Mets busted today as its showering...cant even forecast a day in advance anymoreThe models were wet since yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 20, 2015 Share Posted June 20, 2015 Definitely not a sunny day today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 20, 2015 Share Posted June 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwarn Posted June 20, 2015 Share Posted June 20, 2015 Mets busted today as its showering...cant even forecast a day in advance anymore You should know by now the mets are told give an "optimistic" weekend forecast to satisfy the masses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 20, 2015 Share Posted June 20, 2015 Definitely not a sunny day today Looks like some breaks coming in rfom PA but not a nice day and the mostly good weekend days back to april will lose 1 or 2 this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 20, 2015 Share Posted June 20, 2015 12z NAM is a general 2-3" across the region with the potential for locally higher amounts. It actually strengthens the storm slowly crossing the area as it heads east toward the open Atlantic. The heaviest is over by 15Z Sunday with warm subsidence behind the storm pushing Newark into the upper 80's by 21Z. Most importantly what do the winds look like? (Importantly for me) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 20, 2015 Share Posted June 20, 2015 stronger = more latent heat flux = more ridging = further north trackThe GFS agrees it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 20, 2015 Author Share Posted June 20, 2015 Bill is looking very impressive on radar over NE KY this afternoon. I'm tempted to take the over on rainfall amounts but it does look to be moving East at a fairly good clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 20, 2015 Author Share Posted June 20, 2015 The GFS agrees it would seem. The 12z GFS mean jackpots Northern NJ, NE PA, southern Upstate NY and the LHV into central New England. NYC would be more towards the southeast edge of the main rain shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 20, 2015 Author Share Posted June 20, 2015 The 12z Euro did not come North. It's actually not even that impressive, around an inch areawide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 20, 2015 Author Share Posted June 20, 2015 SREF got a lot wetter. JP is NNJ into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 20, 2015 Share Posted June 20, 2015 Nice to see some rain. 69/67 mod rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 This place is so quiet That squall line moving through DC looks insane right now with multiple tornado warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 This place is so quiet That squall line moving through DC looks insane right now with multiple tornado warnings boring weather is boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 On animated radar it looks like the center of TD Bill passes off pretty far to our south but there's is alot of convection/heavy rain to it's northeast steadily heading this way. At least it's moving pretty fast so hopefully Sunday clears out by noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 This place is so quiet That squall line moving through DC looks insane right now with multiple tornado warnings Well im not in D.C. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 boring weather is boring The only thing to me more exciting than this would be a hurricane landfalling in Sandy Hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 Well im not in D.C. lol But all of that is coming up here over the next few hours. Not severe, but very intense, heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 But all of that is coming up here over the next few hours. Not severe, but very intense, heavy rains. Yeah it'll strike when im out getting drunk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 Yeah it'll strike when im out getting drunk lol The radar looks insanely good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 The radar looks insanely good Yep, looking nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 The radar looks insanely good So this will hit by midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 So this will hit by midnight? Probably between 11 and 12 from West to East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 Severe Thunderstorm Watch SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 320 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 855 PM EDT SAT JUN 20 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 320 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-021-029-033-210500- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0320.150621T0055Z-150621T0500Z/ NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER MERCER OCEAN SALEM $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 When do you expect moderate rain to start, isentropic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 The radar looks insanely good Exactly. The whole area is in for a soaking. Plus I think the center is going to get an extra boost when it hits the coast. Offshore water temps are nice. I think coastal areas see wind gust over 30 maybe 40. Going to be a quick punch, but most of it will happen in the early morning hours so not may people will notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 Interesting drive down to ocean city crossing the warm front leading to a hazy warm humid pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 When do you expect moderate rain to start, isentropic? In the next 2 to 3 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 It looks like we are going to get absolutely crushed in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 Prolific lightning, some hail, and a number of TORs issued--though only one or two really looked good. Rain is legit. Absolutely pouring here. Thanks for the report! Be safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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