Natester Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Possible derecho for eastern Iowa? After June 30, 2014 I totally despise straight line winds. I was in the dark for 7.5 hours, especially because storms kept backbuilding, preventing the power crews from restoring power due to lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 For the sake of the southern suburbs, I can hope this shifts north to give them a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 For the sake of the southern suburbs, I can hope this shifts north to give them a break. 18z went a bit north LOT went with a flood watch for all but the northern tier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 18z went a bit north LOT went with a flood watch for all but the northern tier Seems right on with the area that has been pounded lately. Another trainer over 80/88 is going to cause some serious issues, especially those with structural damage from yesterday's storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 18Z NAM... for the potential heavy rain over N IL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 wagons north on this....sounds like winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 wagons north on this....sounds like winterHaha yeah. Not sure this will go north tho, there always seems to be a south shift instead. But I hope it will in order to give southern areas a break and also for selfish reasons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 18Z NAM... for the potential heavy rain over N IL...Screw hole right over me But that run would really hit downtown HARD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 4K NAM for QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 A north shift would probably help the chances locally on Thursday, but I'm not believing it until we see how tomorrow plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Flood watches extended west to DVN stopping right before DMX. I thought I also read something about the soils in the area - that some clay some sand and the effect that has on the moisture content of the air fueling storms and rains.... see if I can dig that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 For the SPC sake hopefully they don't bust downstate like they have the last few times when going with enhanced Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 For the SPC sake hopefully they don't bust downstate like they have the last few times when going with enhanced Sent from my iPhone 6 Is that really necessary? Not like nobody has been getting anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 The 5"+ amounts being advertised in the region are concerning. This has some of the tell tale signs of a classic training mcs event for klot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Is that really necessary? Not like nobody has been getting anything. I'm just saying ILX area has been under the gun a lot in the outlooks but nothing has really materialized so far this season when being placed under a enhanced risk....DVN/LOT is a different story as we've all seen the past couple weeks. Sent from my iPhone 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 I'm just saying ILX area has been under the gun a lot but nothing has really materialized so far this season when being placed under a enhanced risk....DVN/LOT is a different story as we've all seen the past couple weeks. Sent from my iPhone 6 If the area has been "under the gun", but nothing happened, how is that SPC's fault? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 If the area has been "under the gun", but nothing happened, how is that SPC's fault?what I meant was they've been under the gun in the outlooks ...I'll edit it Sent from my iPhone 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 0z NAM showing a MCS further north on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 This evening's incoming NAM says main show tomorrow for svr is focused on IA with any remnants of a MCS tonight from southern IA dying off before reaching Chicagoland. Then a new MCS forms late evening and crashes into Chi town overnight. This is based on reflectivity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 This evening's incoming NAM says main show tomorrow is focused on IA with any remnants of a MCS tonight from southern IA dying off before reaching Chicagoland. Then a new MCS forms late evening and crashes into Chi town overnight. This is based on reflectivity. Basically shows the MCS forming right on top of me. Oh yes, the NAM 4k also shows two derechoes merging into one in northern Illinois. Is that even possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 Continues right through the night and plows into lower MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2015 Author Share Posted June 24, 2015 If the NAM is right, severe threat potentially increasing for more of Chicagoland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 NAM 4k has the MCS congealing into a derecho right on top of me. Scary scenario indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 Would have to think that southern edges of that MCS tomorrow night might be more prone to tors if the insane soundings continue to be in evidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 Upon closer examination of the previous NAM runs, it shows storm initiation along highway 20 with the storms quickly congealing into a derecho in eastern Iowa during the late evening. I definitely smell a moderate risk coming for much of eastern Iowa and northern Illinois. Not what I wanted to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 If the NAM is right, severe threat potentially increasing for more of Chicagoland. Def allows for more wiggle room in chi metro (if its wanted) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobChgo19 Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 Ruhroh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2015 Author Share Posted June 24, 2015 Ruhroh. Seems a bit different than the 12km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 Right on top of me when the cells merge into one nasty derecho. Also note that bow complex in northwestern Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 24, 2015 Share Posted June 24, 2015 Seems a bit different than the 12km. Nothing new there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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