Hoosier Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 Might get rolled here shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 Nice mini bow per IND radar heading for the LAF. Enjoy the show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 buckets and wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 60 mph wind on the south side of Lafayette. I would say similar here, maybe somewhat less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 229 AM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0215 AM TSTM WND GST ZIONSVILLE 39.95N 86.27W 06/21/2015 M70 MPH BOONE IN ASOS MEASURED BY ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 Had numerous branches down around the yard this morning here east of that Zionsville report from storms overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2015 Author Share Posted June 21, 2015 Had numerous branches down around the yard this morning here east of that Zionsville report from storms overnight. Sounds like there's a pocket of decent damage west of here to the northeast of Attica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 bit OT but a weak lake breeze tried to go out, temp dropped and a couple micro towers tried to go up but were almost instantly blasted back to earth. Almost feels like the heat is building back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 bit OT but a weak lake breeze tried to go out, temp dropped and a couple micro towers tried to go up but were almost instantly blasted back to earth. Almost feels like the heat is building back in. Yeah it looks like it lost it's fight with the warm air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 New day 1 dropped the enhanced area in MO but expanded the enhanced in the Dakotas to SW MN/NW IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 New day 1 dropped the enhanced area in MO but expanded the enhanced in the Dakotas to SW MN/NW IA. Not a surprise. They also dropped the 5% tornado risk over northern MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 Tornado warned storm southeast of Terre Haute IN. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN709 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR...SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...SOUTHWESTERN OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...* UNTIL 745 PM EDT* AT 706 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ATORNADO WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF BRAZIL...AND MOVING SOUTHEASTAT 35 MPH.HAZARD...TORNADO.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUTSHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGETO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE ISLIKELY.* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERNCLAY AND SOUTHWESTERN OWEN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWINGLOCATIONS...BOWLING GREEN AND PATRICKSBURG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 IN storm continues to be tornado warned. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN736 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR...NORTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...* UNTIL 800 PM EDT* AT 734 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ATORNADO WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPENCER...AND MOVINGSOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.HAZARD...TORNADO.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUTSHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGETO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE ISLIKELY.* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERNGREENE AND SOUTH CENTRAL OWEN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWINGLOCATIONS...FREEDOM AND SOLSBERRY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Author Share Posted June 22, 2015 New thread for Monday-Tuesday http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/46514-june-22-23-severe-weather-outbreak/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Author Share Posted June 22, 2015 The mid-late week disco can go here for now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 More NAM nonsense for Waterloo at 21z Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 More NAM nonsense for Waterloo at 21z Wed. lol @ storm slinky. Never noticed that until now. Yeah, that's one heck of a forecast sounding/hodo. Still a ways to go, but if this keeps up Wednesday is looking pretty scary in the hawkeye state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 New day 3 has a slight risk for extreme southern MN, almost all of IA, northern half of IL, and the northwest 1/4 of IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Author Share Posted June 22, 2015 This might be the most helicity I've seen on a forecast sounding that has CAPE over 1000 NAM off its rocker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Meanwhile.... Slight risk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 New 4k NAM for Wednesday continues the crazy soundings Sent from my iPhone 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 That corridor that has been mauled by heavy rain events this month...well, the 00z runs are hitting it again Wednesday into Thursday. Edit: well, GGEM is a little farther north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Add the RGEM to the crazy low-level helicity camp, including moderate instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1225 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 VALID 241200Z - 251200Z ..THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR SE SD FAR NE NEB AND MUCH OF IA... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS ESEWD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS...UPPER MIDWEST...MID MS VALLEY...TN VALLEY AND CAROLINAS... ..SUMMARY A SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS EAST SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY. A TORNADO THREAT ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG TORNADO AND HAILSTONES OF GREATER THAN 2 INCHES COULD ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF IOWA...FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. ..NRN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD INTO IA AND SEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY. THE NOSE OF A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED ACROSS THE MID-MO VALLEY WHERE ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS STRONG INSTABILITY DEVELOPS FROM NRN MO NWD INTO SRN IA AND WRN NEB DURING THE AFTERNOON. WARM AIR AT MID-LEVELS SHOULD INHIBIT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE WARM FRONT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEB WHERE 700 MB TEMPS SHOULD BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE +12C. FURTHER TO THE EAST...THE AIRMASS SHOULD BECOME UNCAPPED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING FROM FAR SE SD AND SRN MN SEWD ALONG THE WARM FRONT INTO PARTS OF IA AND NRN IL. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 00Z/THURSDAY AT DES MOINES IA SHOW AN IMPRESSIVE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE NEAR 4000 J/KG...0-6 KM SHEAR OF 50-55 KT AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7.5 TO 8.0 C/KM. THIS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND CELLS THAT CAN BECOME DOMINANT MAY BE ABLE TO PRODUCE HAILSTONES OF GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER. IN ADDITION...HODOGRAPHS ARE LOOPED WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY OF 450 TO 550 M2/S2 SUGGESTING A POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A STRONG TORNADO. TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY WITH SUPERCELLS THAT CAN TURN RIGHT AND PARALLEL THE WARM FRONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. CELLS THAT DEVELOP ON THE FRONT AND MOVE TO THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO HAVE A LARGE HAIL THREAT. SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS SHOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. IF AN MCS CAN DEVELOP AND MOVE SEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY...THEN A THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE AND LARGE HAIL COULD PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. FURTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN A POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL SD SHOW STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS COULD BE ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. ..TN VALLEY/CAROLINAS A SLOW-MOVING FRONT IS FORECAST TO SAG SWD INTO THE TN VALLEY AND NC ON WEDNESDAY. SFC DEWPOINTS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S F WITH MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS FORECAST TO BE LIMITED...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE ALONG THE BOUNDARY DUE TO SFC HEATING AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT. THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STEEP LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES COULD RESULT IN MARGINALLY SEVERE WET DOWNBURSTS WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROYLES.. 06/23/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Don't get your hopes up too quick guys, yes the NAM/4K NAM/GFS/RGEM are all going gangbusters... But we all know that it's 2015, so the elevated morning activity will almost definitely continue well into the afternoon and ruin it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 the heavy rain ingredients along and just south of I80 from IA into IL are incredible considering how wet that area has been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 the heavy rain ingredients along and just south of I80 from IA into IL are incredible considering how wet that area has been Parent's and everyone in their neighborhood have flooded basements after last night. So... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Parent's and everyone in their neighborhood have flooded basements after last night. So... gotta imagine we see widespread headlines for the area as the next MCS looks to train them again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 agriculture in that region has just been screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 gotta imagine we see widespread headlines for the area as the next MCS looks to train them again Yep, no doubt. CoCoRaHS June totals-to-date for Kankakee County are fairly impressive. Hell, the Kankakee 3.2 SE observer is missing data from 6/8-9 and is still approaching 10" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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