cyclone77 Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 No tornado, but followed a pretty beastly HP from near Stuart Iowa down past Winterset and towards Indianola. Had some very cool looking stacked plates for quite awhile. Thing was putting out some amazing lightning right out of the vault region at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR WARREN...SOUTHERN BOONE...SOUTHWESTERN MARION... DALLAS...NORTHEASTERN MADISON...SOUTHEASTERN GUTHRIE AND POLK COUNTIES... AT 228 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING IN NUMEROUS PORTIONS OF THE DES MOINES METRO AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES...INCLUDING WAUKEE...GRIMES...JOHNSTON...AND DALLAS CENTER. IN EXCESS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN ALREADY WITH AN ADDTIONAL COUPLE OF INCHES POSSIBLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... DES MOINES...WEST DES MOINES...ANKENY...URBANDALE...JOHNSTON... CLIVE...INDIANOLA...ALTOONA...WAUKEE...NORWALK...PLEASANT HILL... GRIMES...PERRY...KNOXVILLE...WINTERSET...ADEL...WINDSOR HEIGHTS... CARLISLE...BONDURANT AND POLK CITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 No tornado, but followed a pretty beastly HP from near Stuart Iowa down past Winterset and towards Indianola. Had some very cool looking stacked plates for quite awhile. Thing was putting out some amazing lightning right out of the vault region at times. As always, nice shots cyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 As always, nice shots cyclone As always.... We seldom see that type of structure over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Somehow managed over an inch of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Underachieved I guess...only 0.70" of rain in my gauge. Of course, best case would have been 0.00"...but beggars can't be choosers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 man, another large MCS waiting on deck for the same general area hope we don't go full '93 the rest of the summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Chebanse CoCoRaHS observer, which is pretty much on the Kankakee/Iroquois county border, had 1.67" last night/overnight. June total there now stands at 13.00". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 WPC favoring the southern models/solutions for the next round. Hopefully they're right. No offense to those to the south and east that are battling flooding problems, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Graphic put out by NWS DMX highlights how bad the flooding is getting here. Approaching record levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 The diving MCS took most of the storms well south and west, but I was lucky to get a nice lone storm on the northeast flank before it weakened. The rain was pretty heavy (0.72", daily total 1.15") and the lightning was about as good as I've had this season (not much for big thunder, though). Some modest hail even fell north of Cedar Rapids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 I had 2.30" yesterday morning and last night. Sent from my iPhone 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Some models dump quite a bit of rain here tomorrow, others not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Gfs. Holy moly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 48-hr estimated precipitation in Iowa: http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/onsite/features/2015/06/150625.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Updated rain amounts for June. This wouldn't have captured all of the rain this morning and again, it seems to underestimate totals in some areas. Nonetheless, if you look closely, some 15" amounts showing up in parts of MO/IL/IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 like 90% of the state has seen 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Last 30 day totals map has a few specs of 18"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 June amounts are going to match/exceed July 2003 in many spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Possible watch forthcoming now for the evening of the 25th as a stronger wave with greater forcing is progged to move through the area on Friday the 26th. Mesoscale discussion out. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1175 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN INDIANA...AND FAR NORTHERN KENTUCKY CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 252055Z - 252300Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. A WW MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS AREA. DISCUSSION...A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA AND FAR EASTERN MISSOURI IN THE PAST HOUR. LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATES AN UNCAPPED AIRMASS OVER THE REGION...WITH MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY SUPPORTIVE OF CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND PROFILES ARE PRIMARILY WESTERLY WITH MINIMAL VEERING...AND 35-45 KNOT DEEP SHEAR WILL SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE MOST LIKELY THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS STORMS MATURE...WITH UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE COMPLEXES POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A TORNADO CANNOT COMPLETELY BE RULED OUT GIVEN STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG A SYNOPTIC-SCALE STATIONARY FRONT. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...AND A WW MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS DEPENDING ON CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THAT TIME FRAME. ..COOK/DIAL.. 06/25/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Storm near White Pigeon, MI looks interesting. Warning mentions Tornado Possible, but too close to the IWX radar to get a good velocity scan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 June amounts are going to match/exceed July 2003 in many spots Untitled.png That was a fun month for severe, particularly for hail as I recall. My girlfriend at the time lived in Bourbonnais, and we'd go out and sit under her covered back porch and watch (listen to) the storms. Storm data for that month is worth a read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 kystormspotter, I merged your thread in with this one. At this point, the severe threat tomorrow doesn't look substantial/widespread enough for a new thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 That was a fun month for severe, particularly for hail as I recall. My girlfriend at the time lived in Bourbonnais, and we'd go out and sit under her covered back porch and watch (listen to) the storms. Storm data for that month is worth a read. I remember you getting hail like a dozen times in a year once. Was that then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 I remember you getting hail like a dozen times in a year once. Was that then? Yep, that was it. Seemed like it happened every other day that month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 18z RGEM unloads around here tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 18z RGEM unloads around here tomorrow. You ain't kidding. 12z run wasn't chopped liver either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 You ain't kidding. 12z run wasn't chopped liver either. Really don't know what to expect and have some concern about convective feedback possibly interfering with some of these solutions. I guess be prepared for anything from 1-5" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 You ain't kidding. 12z run wasn't chopped liver either. Check out the 15z SREF. Pressure gradient is so tight on some of these it almost looks like a mini hurricane lol http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNC_15z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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