Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,610
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

2015 Tropical Season Thread


CT Valley Snowman

Recommended Posts

Due to Danny's small size I wouldn't be surprised if the winds in the direct core are stronger then 75mph

It's also not upwelling much with swell at the closest bouy only at 10-11 seconds. That's very low for a hurricane and means swell energy does not extended very deep. A larger storm will generally produce swell in the 16-17 second range

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 571
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Cant see tiny Danny affecting SAL much though

 

 ...it's having a similar effect on the environment out there. You can clearly see the SAL curtain bulging around its presence.  And also ..., the space/region behind is quite a bit cleared out compared to what the Meteosat was picking up prior to his ejection from Africa.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 ...it's having a similar effect on the environment out there. You can clearly see the SAL curtain bulging around its presence.  And also ..., the space/region behind is quite a bit cleared out compared to what the Meteosat was picking up prior to his ejection from Africa.  

Yea , isn't that the ITCZ though where its traveled and the Sal to its north. seems some dry air in its wake in the ITCZ

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/sal/splitE/movies/splitE5new.html

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Too bad the damn ridge builds back in so quickly to veer it due west; however if it didn't, the sheer would kill it.

 

I wish things would stay status quo....eh

If the system goes North of the islands it will miss most of the shear. By going North, I mean it needs to just scrape the Virgin Islands on the Northern side. The 12z Hurricane guidance continues to nudge North.

 

al042015.png

 

Compared to 06z

 

al042015.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

90 MPH...tops.

Danny has peaked....

I doubt that, look how the estimates continue to go up

 

2015AUG21 121500  3.8  993.4  61.0  3.8 4.9 5.3  1.7T/6hr  OFF  OFF  -20.66 -59.27  EYE    -99 IR   9.0   13.87   47.73  SPRL   GOES13 35.3 
2015AUG21 124500  4.0  990.7  65.0  4.0 5.0 5.2  1.7T/6hr  OFF  OFF  -20.46 -58.79  EYE      9 IR   9.0   13.89   47.85  SPRL   GOES13 35.2 
2015AUG21 131500  4.2  987.3  69.8  4.2 5.0 5.4  1.7T/6hr  OFF  OFF   -7.16 -58.41  EYE     11 IR   9.0   13.94   47.91  SPRL   GOES13 35.2 
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...