yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 The 09z run of the LWX 4KM WRF-ARW shows heavy heavy meh around 6-7pm tonight ETA: 11z HRRRRRRRRR also looks to show heavy heavy meh at around the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 The 09z run of the LWX 4KM WRF-ARW shows heavy heavy meh around 6-7pm tonight ETA: 11z HRRRRRRRRR also looks to show heavy heavy meh at around the same time Give up Yoda. It's a meh fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Give up Yoda. It's a meh fest. I am going down with the ship Thursday intrigued me some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 18z THUR looks nice... for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I'm going to ride tomorrow until I can't anymore and then move onto hoping we get something marginally interesting from the tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I'm going to ride tomorrow until I can't anymore and then move onto hoping we get something marginally interesting from the tropics. 12z NAM sim radar looks okay for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 When we have to rely on tropical leftovers, you know we're effed. Yes. I am desperate for something more than a rumble of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Has the epic MCC the Euro was advertising for Thursday vanished? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 PWATS 2 and above along and east of 95. Doesn't look like we'll get much action today, but if we do someone could get a gully washer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 PWATS 2 and above along and east of 95. Doesn't look like we'll get much action today, but if we do someone could get a gully washer. Forget the ring of fire, this is the ring of sweat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I am liking the soundings for Thursday afternoon and evening across the LWX CWA (DCA/EZF/IAD/BWI/MTN) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I fly out to LA on Thursday morning... I swear if we get shutout from the good stuff during the slight riskpalooza and then get wacked on Thursday eve, ill have a fit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Hrrrrr wants to bring stuff in later this afternoon/evening. Could be localized downpours. Looks like mostly south of Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 And SLGT risk is dropped for tomorrow on the 1730 OTLK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Plenty of popcorn in OH and a bigger complex cruising through WV right now. It's early too so I doubt this stuff will have much problem making the trek over the mountains. Flow looks a lot better aligned for nova/central md than last night when everything skirted north. Might not be much severe stuff but active is good enough for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Title updated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Time to rename the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Hrrrrr wants to bring stuff in later this afternoon/evening. Could be localized downpours. Looks like mostly south of Baltimore. looks good enough for a storm between 5 and 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Plenty of popcorn in OH and a bigger complex cruising through WV right now. It's early too so I doubt this stuff will have much problem making the trek over the mountains. Flow looks a lot better aligned for nova/central md than last night when everything skirted north. Might not be much severe stuff but active is good enough for me. I certainly hope so and I agree -- active is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Lol. We are now rainbow town usa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 in arlington yesterday, it was actually a pretty impressive drencher from about 5 to 6pm. little bit of thunder mixed in, but mostly just a downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Lol. We are now rainbow town usa. and full of a lot of people who whine and complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I will gladly take my 8 rumbles of thunder this afternoon and then hope for Yoders thursday risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 The title change should help get some strong/severe cells into the neighborhood. My prediction has increased from zero warnings to at least 2-3 this afternoon/eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Complex in W VA is meh to me... but we do have some good stuff ahead of it in 2500 SBCAPE, 2000 MLCAPE, ~25 kts effective shear, ~30 kts bulk shear, and -6 to -7 LIs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Very nice updraft it seems on that storm near Point of Rocks. GR showing a hail marker on it. But it always exaggerates that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Storms seem to be completely falling apart as they near 29. I'm guessing the lack of sunshine today near the cities has lead to more stable air. Storms seem much more impressive in Western MD and even east of Frederick before they head east and fall apart completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Storms seem to be completely falling apart as they near 29. I'm guessing the lack of sunshine today near the cities has lead to more stable air. Storms seem much more impressive in Western MD and even east of Frederick before they head east and fall apart completely. Decent line going up... well see if the same thing happens to it as it nears the city but looks good for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Cell directly south of Ballinger Creek has tops just shy of 50 kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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