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Mid-June severe threats


Ian

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4k NAM has almost 5,000 CAPE in parts of the area on Sunday heh. 78 dew pt at IAD.

 

Holy crap. Talk about the NAM being the NAM...

 

I don't think this is going to be the last threat to the Mid Atlantic/Northeast in this pattern either.

 

:o - These are the kinds of things us Mid-Atl weenies like to hear. When do you think our next shot is?

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:o - These are the kinds of things us Mid-Atl weenies like to hear. When do you think our next shot is?

Are there any other decent setups in the near future showing? Or are you just saying you think it'll happen before the pattern breaks?

 

It's going to depend on how expansive the southern ridge is, but this is essentially a ring of fire pattern. Tuesday might be the next shot for the region and then perhaps again late in the week. There will likely be instability/high dews and perhaps even access to an EML or two (although this is obviously always in question even with a large southern ridge in place).

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It's going to depend on how expansive the southern ridge is, but this is essentially a ring of fire pattern. Tuesday might be the next shot for the region and then perhaps again late in the week. There will likely be instability/high dews and perhaps even access to an EML or two (although this is obviously always in question even with a large southern ridge in place).

Would be awesome to get an EML around these parts. 

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I don't think this is going to be the last threat to the Mid Atlantic/Northeast in this pattern either.

Yeah this weekend has seemed like opening volley of an active stretch or potentially active--and yesterday 'over performed''. Even as soon as Monday night could be interesting MCS wise after tomorrow (and maybe Sunday). The lineup for a big derecho type event is definitively there but the east of the Apps part is questionable for now. Even without that shear plus CAPE will do some things.
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