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June 10-20 Heavy Rain/Storms/Remnants


A-L-E-K

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22.5 now

 

It's going to raise some more. The Upper Wabash dams have been releasing minimum discharges to alleviate flooding downstream. However, at least Roush Lake (Wabash River) in Huntington and Salamonie Lake near the town of Wabash are both nearing holding capacity and the Corp of Engineers have no choice but to start dumping them. It's not going to be pretty downstream.

 

Here is the report from 8 AM. Roush is now releasing over 1000 CFS.

 

http://lrl-apps.lrl.usace.army.mil/wc/reports/lkreport.html

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It's going to raise some more. The Upper Wabash dams have been releasing minimum discharges to alleviate flooding downstream. However, at least Roush Lake (Wabash River) in Huntington and Salamonie Lake near the town of Wabash are both nearing holding capacity and the Corp of Engineers have no choice but to start dumping them. It's not going to be pretty downstream.

 

 

Thanks for the info.

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812 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2015  

 

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR  

THE WABASH RIVER AT LAFAYETTE.  

* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.  

* AT 7:31 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET.  

* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.  

* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.  

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.7 FEET BY  

AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE  

THEREAFTER.  

* AT 22.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS IN PROGRESS. FLOOD WATERS  

BLOCKS DIRECT ACCESS TO WABASH VALLEY HOSPITAL. DURING  

AGRICULTURAL SEASON EXTENSIVE CROP DAMAGE OCCURS. ROADS THAT FLOOD  

INCLUDE...N RIVER RD...SR 225 SOUTH OF BATTLEGROUND...STAIR ROAD...  

BARTON BEACH RD...DIVISION RD AND CR 700 W AT THE GRANVILLE BRIDGE  

PUBLIC ACCESS SITE AND CR 950 W. PRETTY PRAIRIE RD NEAR MOOTS CREEK  

AND LOWEST PORTION OF GOLDSBERRY RD LIKELY FLOOD. BASEMENT  

FLOODING ALONG N RIVER ROAD...N 9TH STREET AND BARTON BEACH RD  

BEGINS.  

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There's an okay amount of Instability to deal with tomorrow.

 

GFS_3_2015061800_F18_CAPE_SURFACE.png

 

This is pretty descent, not really that much of a threat for supercells, primarily line segments

 

 

gfsUS_con_scp_018.gif

 

But, the lack of EHI leaves ALOT to be desired

 

gfsUS_con_3kmehi_018.gif

 

Definitely, could be interesting but not anything over a slight risk. Saturday and next week is looking alot more interesting in comparison. 

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This map is pretty accurate here. 4.05" of rain in the last 11 days.

 

Iroquois River north of Lafayette poised to break the record tonight.

 

rzli3_hg.png

 

 

 

Statement to go along with that

 

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR    THE IROQUOIS RIVER AT RENSSELAER.  * UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  * AT  730 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET.  * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.  * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.  * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY     EARLY THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY     MORNING.  * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF CEMETERY AND NEARBY     PUBLIC WORKS.  
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Regarding Saturday, some pretty nice forecast soundings for you guys north/west of here.  Seems like it's been so long since there's been a setup with good mid level lapse rates, which this one looks to have.  Gonna have to watch the mid-level temps as they could be a problem in some areas.

 

Think that some of that activity could make it in here overnight Saturday, but timing not looking good.  Good feed of instability from the west though so perhaps it can remain somewhat organized.

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Regarding Saturday, some pretty nice forecast soundings for you guys north/west of here.  Seems like it's been so long since there's been a setup with good mid level lapse rates, which this one looks to have.  Gonna have to watch the mid-level temps as they could be a problem in some areas.

 

Think that some of that activity could make it in here overnight Saturday, but timing not looking good.  Good feed of instability from the west though so perhaps it can remain somewhat organized.

 

Some of the forecast soundings off the NAM the past few runs for southern IA/northern MO have been pretty crazy.  Over 7000j/kg surface based cape beneath some respectable shear.  Could be some huge HP beasts on Saturday somewhere before they morph into a big nocturnal MCS.

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Some of the forecast soundings off the NAM the past few runs for southern IA/northern MO have been pretty crazy.  Over 7000j/kg surface based cape beneath some respectable shear.  Could be some huge HP beasts on Saturday somewhere before they morph into a big nocturnal MCS.

 

 

Yeah, it's suggesting pockets of dews near 80.  I even saw 850 mb dewpoints of like 22C...don't recall seeing that much lol.

 

One caveat of course is that Bill doesn't somehow screw things up and interact more/come north with clouds/precip, but models are pretty insistent on it remaining more of a separate entity.

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Looks like LAF will miss out on Bill's rainfall. Probably for the best.

 

 

We'd probably have the worst flooding we've witnessed here if we got another several inches of rain.

 

GGEM/Ukie trying to keep it interesting by dumping not too far south of us.  It looks like we'll avoid the remnant core and end up with more fringe type stuff.

 

Edit:  Wabash up to 23 feet now

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Looks like some relief for the dry areas in the southeast part of the region, with Bill's rains. Also will miss the flooded areas farther north...though "also wet" parts of southern MO and IL may get socked. 

 

precip30dydev.png

 

d13_fill.gif?1434645186460

 

 

If the upcoming pattern comes to fruition, could be an unbelievable coverage area of excessive rains this month.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN  

251 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  

SOUTHWESTERN BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...  

NORTHERN HENDRICKS COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...  

SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...  

NORTHEASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...  

 

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT  

 

* AT 247 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTH OF  

CRAWFORDSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.  

 

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.  

 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  

 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.  

 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

LADOGA...NEW ROSS...NORTH SALEM...JAMESTOWN...ADVANCE...LIZTON AND  

PITTSBORO.  

 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 129 AND 139.  

 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 47 AND 64.  

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