Hoosier Posted June 17, 2015 Share Posted June 17, 2015 That low-balled this area big time. Must not be too accurate outside of sensor sites. Yeah I imagine. It's better than some other maps I've seen though (too smoothed). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 17, 2015 Share Posted June 17, 2015 22.5 now It's going to raise some more. The Upper Wabash dams have been releasing minimum discharges to alleviate flooding downstream. However, at least Roush Lake (Wabash River) in Huntington and Salamonie Lake near the town of Wabash are both nearing holding capacity and the Corp of Engineers have no choice but to start dumping them. It's not going to be pretty downstream. Here is the report from 8 AM. Roush is now releasing over 1000 CFS. http://lrl-apps.lrl.usace.army.mil/wc/reports/lkreport.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 17, 2015 Share Posted June 17, 2015 It's going to raise some more. The Upper Wabash dams have been releasing minimum discharges to alleviate flooding downstream. However, at least Roush Lake (Wabash River) in Huntington and Salamonie Lake near the town of Wabash are both nearing holding capacity and the Corp of Engineers have no choice but to start dumping them. It's not going to be pretty downstream. Thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Talked to my cousin in Monon today. He said roads into Rensselaer are flooded due to the Iroquois River and they are requesting volunteers to help sandbag to protect the water treatment plant which is at risk. In Monon there is concern about sewage system overflows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Lowest pressure is still around 1001 mb or so in extreme northern Texas, only up a few mb from the pressure at landfall so the models had the right idea with not much filling. Now we see if it can deepen at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 812 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2015 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WABASH RIVER AT LAFAYETTE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:31 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.7 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 22.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS IN PROGRESS. FLOOD WATERS BLOCKS DIRECT ACCESS TO WABASH VALLEY HOSPITAL. DURING AGRICULTURAL SEASON EXTENSIVE CROP DAMAGE OCCURS. ROADS THAT FLOOD INCLUDE...N RIVER RD...SR 225 SOUTH OF BATTLEGROUND...STAIR ROAD... BARTON BEACH RD...DIVISION RD AND CR 700 W AT THE GRANVILLE BRIDGE PUBLIC ACCESS SITE AND CR 950 W. PRETTY PRAIRIE RD NEAR MOOTS CREEK AND LOWEST PORTION OF GOLDSBERRY RD LIKELY FLOOD. BASEMENT FLOODING ALONG N RIVER ROAD...N 9TH STREET AND BARTON BEACH RD BEGINS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 5.81" of rain here the last 11 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Updated month to date precip prcp_mpe_m2d_tot.png This map is pretty accurate here. 4.05" of rain in the last 11 days. Iroquois River north of Lafayette poised to break the record tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 There's an okay amount of Instability to deal with tomorrow. This is pretty descent, not really that much of a threat for supercells, primarily line segments But, the lack of EHI leaves ALOT to be desired Definitely, could be interesting but not anything over a slight risk. Saturday and next week is looking alot more interesting in comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 This map is pretty accurate here. 4.05" of rain in the last 11 days. Iroquois River north of Lafayette poised to break the record tonight. Statement to go along with that THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE IROQUOIS RIVER AT RENSSELAER. * UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 730 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF CEMETERY AND NEARBY PUBLIC WORKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Regarding Saturday, some pretty nice forecast soundings for you guys north/west of here. Seems like it's been so long since there's been a setup with good mid level lapse rates, which this one looks to have. Gonna have to watch the mid-level temps as they could be a problem in some areas. Think that some of that activity could make it in here overnight Saturday, but timing not looking good. Good feed of instability from the west though so perhaps it can remain somewhat organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Regarding Saturday, some pretty nice forecast soundings for you guys north/west of here. Seems like it's been so long since there's been a setup with good mid level lapse rates, which this one looks to have. Gonna have to watch the mid-level temps as they could be a problem in some areas. Think that some of that activity could make it in here overnight Saturday, but timing not looking good. Good feed of instability from the west though so perhaps it can remain somewhat organized. Some of the forecast soundings off the NAM the past few runs for southern IA/northern MO have been pretty crazy. Over 7000j/kg surface based cape beneath some respectable shear. Could be some huge HP beasts on Saturday somewhere before they morph into a big nocturnal MCS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Some of the forecast soundings off the NAM the past few runs for southern IA/northern MO have been pretty crazy. Over 7000j/kg surface based cape beneath some respectable shear. Could be some huge HP beasts on Saturday somewhere before they morph into a big nocturnal MCS. Yeah, it's suggesting pockets of dews near 80. I even saw 850 mb dewpoints of like 22C...don't recall seeing that much lol. One caveat of course is that Bill doesn't somehow screw things up and interact more/come north with clouds/precip, but models are pretty insistent on it remaining more of a separate entity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Looks like LAF will miss out on Bill's rainfall. Probably for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Looks like LAF will miss out on Bill's rainfall. Probably for the best. We'd probably have the worst flooding we've witnessed here if we got another several inches of rain. GGEM/Ukie trying to keep it interesting by dumping not too far south of us. It looks like we'll avoid the remnant core and end up with more fringe type stuff. Edit: Wabash up to 23 feet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 18, 2015 Author Share Posted June 18, 2015 High quality bonus cell for ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Signals continue for a traditional MCS...and more buckets of rainfall...at some point weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Started a thread for the severe/heavy rain threats June 20 and beyond http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/46495-june-20-and-beyond-heavy-rainsevere-threats/ Still keep the stuff about Bill's remnants here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Looks like some relief for the dry areas in the southeast part of the region, with Bill's rains. Also will miss the flooded areas farther north...though "also wet" parts of southern MO and IL may get socked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Looks like some relief for the dry areas in the southeast part of the region, with Bill's rains. Also will miss the flooded areas farther north...though "also wet" parts of southern MO and IL may get socked. If the upcoming pattern comes to fruition, could be an unbelievable coverage area of excessive rains this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 If the upcoming pattern comes to fruition, could be an unbelievable coverage area of excessive rains this month. I agree. Very impressive if things work out as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 5.81" of rain here the last 11 days. Make that 6.53" after this mornings storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Convection downstate IL/IN going to move in here within the next couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Sitting at 8.69" for the month IMBY. I should go double digits this evening, while a few in this area are probably already there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Strong t storms approaching Indpls from the sw. with torrential rain. 85/71 here. More heavy rain on the way for the hard hit Iroquois River basin as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 251 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHERN HENDRICKS COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHEASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 315 PM EDT * AT 247 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTH OF CRAWFORDSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LADOGA...NEW ROSS...NORTH SALEM...JAMESTOWN...ADVANCE...LIZTON AND PITTSBORO. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 129 AND 139. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 47 AND 64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 2500 CAPE over much of northern and eastern IN so svr not surprising even if lapse rates are not the greatest. Should be very efficient gullywashers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 Storm sw of LAF not as strong as the one farther south but could have winds up to 50 mph or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 18, 2015 Author Share Posted June 18, 2015 looks like another heavy rain, possible training event for southern LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2015 Share Posted June 18, 2015 dumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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