Powerball Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Do you not remember last August? It's always a concern here.1. The August 2014 event was a once in a 100 year occurence. Very unlikely that any of us will live to see anything of that magnitude again, especially since we're not in a flood prone or tropical region.2. Not to downplay how historic August 2014 was, but the problems wouldn't have been nearly as bad from if not for our archaic and decaying drainage system in SE Michigan that hasn't had any signifcant maintenance or upgrades in at least several decades. To put things in perspective, 4" in a span of 1-2 hours is certainly a lot of rain, but it took 2-3 times of that to shut down parts of OK/TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 1. The August 2014 event was a once in a 100 year occurance. Very unlikely that any of us will live to see anything of that magnitude again, especially since we're not in a clood prone or tropical region. 2. Not to downplay August 2014, but the problems wouldn't have been nearly as bad from if not for our archaic and decaying drainage system in SE Michigan that hasn't had any signifcant maintenance or upgrades in at least several decades. Okay my point was aimed at the second part. We suffer from bad infrastructure that leads to many issues. Aka the Southfield always flooding. I also know that this event is pretty anomalous but not quite so much as the one in August 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Buckets in Bolingrook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 16, 2015 Author Share Posted June 16, 2015 getting some absolute atom bomb bangers here and there still feels warm outside with massive rain drops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Having a real hard time getting home from Geneva. Flooding everywhere, and I don't trust my wife's Elantra in any water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Two tor warnings issued at present for southern Will and northern Kankakee counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 I could see the flashes of lightning easily 50-70 miles away to the north as I was coming home this evening. Been raining moderately for a while now. 1.09" of rain today so far. Drive safe if you're out in this deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Confirmed tornado in Will county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Two tor warnings issued at present for southern Will and northern Kankakee counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Gulf system looking better this evening. Should become tropical storm Bill tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 There's 200-250 m2/s2 helicity on the current SPC meso page in nw and north central IN. Maybe a slightly enhanced risk of a tornado as that line moves southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 803 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0740 PM TORNADO 5 E SYMERTON 41.33N 87.96W 06/15/2015 WILL IL EMERGENCY MNGR MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FUNNELS MOVING UP AND DOWN, OCCASIONALLY TOUCHING THE GROUND. REPORTED IN WILTON TOWNSHIP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Bill is born, at 45 kts/50 mph AL, 02, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 270N, 940W, 45, 1005, TS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Not my pic but pic of brief tornado looking northwest from north side of manteno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 816 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0800 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SW OAK PARK 41.88N 87.80W 06/15/2015 M3.07 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS TOTAL SO FAR. NO TRAFFIC MOVING EAST BOUND ON THE EISENHOWER EXPRESSWAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Not my pic but pic of brief tornado looking northwest from north side of manteno Nice shot...whose pic is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Bill's moisture is certainly going to be a player in our regional wx later this week. And I certainly didn't expect a tornado near Manteno today with the concern focused on flooding rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 My friend's, friend put it on Facebook. Looks like it was in will county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Bill's moisture is certainly going to be a player in our regional wx later this week. And I certainly didn't expect a tornado near Manteno today with the concern focused on flooding rains. Some of the forecast soundings in the next few days south of the front/in advance of Bill are something...like ground scraping LCLs. So these random pop up tornadoes are probably going to continue to be a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Having a real hard time getting home from Geneva. Flooding everywhere, and I don't trust my wife's Elantra in any water. We drove from DKB to St Charles tonight from 6pm to 6:45pm and I have to say it was exactly what I imagine a hurricane to be like (probably not though). It was just solid 2" per hour quality downpour the entire time. I'm sure I was traveling under and with a large cell the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 0z NAM takes the remnants of Bill to the central MO/AR border at hour 84. Gets to around Tulsa OK by hour 60 so very slow movement for 24 hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 0z NAM takes the remnants of Bill to the central MO/AR border at hour 84. Gets to around Tulsa OK by hour 60 so very slow movement for 24 hours later. Getting slower. It's almost laughable how fast the NAM was initially. I'm still more interested in the runs after landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Not liking what I'm seeing here. At least 3 bands of moderate/heavy rain look to push through tonight. To my south, Lima, OH had 1.5-3" of rain in about 1-2 hrs. Lots of flooding there. The rest of this rain + runoff will pose a risk for widespread flooding tonight in NW Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 0z GFS is actually very similar to the NAM. Same position at hour 84 and eventually tracks through S IL/S IN/S OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 0z GFS is actually very similar to the NAM. Same position at hour 84 and eventually tracks through S IL/S IN/S OH. 00z GGEM also dramatically slower...I think it outdid the previous crazy runs as it dumps tremendously heavy amounts in some areas. The scenario could be changing here to one where we see a much slower progression (storm gets left behind for a while) instead of a faster translation that had been shown, but again, I'm a little hesitant to bite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 1.5" here with plenty more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 Lol We lucked out big time. If we got 2 or 3 waves of that type of convection like DTX was betting on, we would have been in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 0z Ukie still goes sub 1000 with Bill remnants and is faster than other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 One of the northerly solutions tonight pretty graphic inserted below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted June 16, 2015 Share Posted June 16, 2015 One of the northerly solutions tonight pretty graphic inserted below hwrf_ref_02L_31.png Come to papa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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