Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Over/Under at 8.5 inch 24 total somewhere in LOT? Somebody reported 3+ in Will county this morning. I will go under with less than great confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Somebody reported 3+ in Will county this morning. I will go under with less than great confidence. Yeah...not expecting anything widespread with that number...but i think southern will county has a shot to hit it or exceed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 FWIW, 12z HWRF precip amounts over the next 96 hours. This is with a surface low track around the Ohio River. In case you forgot, it's about 1 inch for every 2.5 cm...so the 20cm area would be about 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Just added another 0.24" in last 20 mins. Now 1.22" for the day. Line out by Iowa City looks like it's gaining strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 The Kankakee and Iroquois basins will continue to flood big time if this pattern keeps up. And yes, that IND AFD was rather poorly worded. However, when I listen to IND Wx radio climate reports in the morning we have been somewhat below normal for precip at least at the airport location for this year. That should soon change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 As per SPC mesoanalysis, the PW value for Detroit/Toledo is about 1.9". The sounding climatology says about 0.88" for Detroit for this time of year, so there is 215% of normal PW, give or take 10%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 80 to 88 corridor looking primed for some hefty totals if trends continue in iowa/western il Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Updated WPC 7 day QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 If anything I'd think this afternoon/tonight would favor a little north of hardest hit so far looking at how things are developing. Hoping we can get the temperature up a little more to improve the odds are storms looking better visually. Up to 80 here and 84 at LaSalle/Peru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 As per SPC mesoanalysis, the PW value for Detroit/Toledo is about 1.9". The sounding climatology says about 0.88" for Detroit for this time of year, so there is 215% of normal PW, give or take 10%. Insane. It's another total drencher going on right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Storm south of Sycamore almost looks like a right turning, low topped supercell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Pouring here at home. DTW has picked up .45 in the last hour plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Storm south of Sycamore almost looks like a right turning, low topped supercell nice little string lighting up there...nice peak heat timing with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Hopefully it all can stay to the south of Detroit for this evening. Unfortunately looks like we may have some very real flooding problems shortly here in NW Ohio as the storms on the border are absolutely dumping rain Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 88 getting railroaded...micro dumping buckets down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Hopefully it all can stay to the south of Detroit for this evening. Unfortunately looks like we may have some very real flooding problems shortly here in NW Ohio as the storms on the border are absolutely dumping rain Sent from my iPhone Well it would seem that the Toledo area will be less prone to flash flooding, with Toledo only getting 0.40" in four days. However, Findlay has gotten a lot and will be prone to flash flooding today. Something like 3" in the past three days in or near Hancock County/Findlay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 here in the CMH area the forecasters are looking like the boy who cried wolf the last couple of days. I know it's hard to pin point storms and heavy rain in these situations and air masses, but we've really dodged the bullet locally over the last couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Large blanketed flash flood warning for the whole QCA now. Even these weak returns are dumping highly efficient rainfall. Just ran a few errands out in the rain. Feels like you're in a steamy shower as there's little cooling felt by the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Looking likely that densely populated urban areas will see at least some minor training Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Large blanketed flash flood warning for the whole QCA now. Even these weak returns are dumping highly efficient rainfall. Just ran a few errands out in the rain. Feels like you're in a steamy shower as there's little cooling felt by the rain. QC radar storm total shows 5" in 5 days for several areas in the view screen, including just south of Rock Island. I am surprised that the NWS radars are letting their radar storm totals go for 5 days without resetting. Cyclone77 at Erie IL has an estimated 4.08" in 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 82/75...and yes cyclone...recovery is minimally neccessary, but rapid after any rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I-88 train is up and running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Everyone's phone just went off on the bus. Flood warning imminent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Hopefully the flood prone portion of 290 doesn't get hit too hard with all the people on the road heading to the Blackhawks game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Gonna get trained here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Pretty intense band of storms heading this way. Looks to have a little wind with it. Should be the grand finale with not much after that the rest of the day/night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Absolute monsoon. Huge drops thundering off my roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 QC looks pretty nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Haven't had that much of a tropical downpour in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 450 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL COOK COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 515 PM CDT * AT 450 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER HILLSIDE...OR OVER WESTCHESTER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... MAYWOOD AROUND 455 PM CDT. BROOKFIELD...FOREST PARK...RIVERSIDE AND NORTH RIVERSIDE AROUND 500 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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