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June 10-20 Heavy Rain/Storms/Remnants


A-L-E-K

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The Kankakee and Iroquois basins will continue to flood big time if this pattern keeps up.  And yes, that IND AFD was rather poorly worded.  However, when I listen to IND Wx radio climate reports in the morning we have been somewhat below normal for precip at least at the airport location for this year.  That should soon change.

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As per SPC mesoanalysis, the PW value for Detroit/Toledo is about 1.9". The sounding climatology says about 0.88" for Detroit for this time of year, so there is 215% of normal PW, give or take 10%.

Insane. It's another total drencher going on right now.

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Hopefully it all can stay to the south of Detroit for this evening. Unfortunately looks like we may have some very real flooding problems shortly here in NW Ohio as the storms on the border are absolutely dumping rain

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Well it would seem that the Toledo area will be less prone to flash flooding, with Toledo only getting 0.40" in four days. However, Findlay has gotten a lot and will be prone to flash flooding today. Something like 3" in the past three days in or near Hancock County/Findlay.

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Large blanketed flash flood warning for the whole QCA now.  Even these weak returns are dumping highly efficient rainfall.  Just ran a few errands out in the rain.  Feels like you're in a steamy shower as there's little cooling felt by the rain.

QC radar storm total shows 5" in 5 days for several areas in the view screen, including just south of Rock Island. I am surprised that the NWS radars are letting their radar storm totals go for 5 days without resetting.  Cyclone77 at Erie IL has an estimated 4.08" in 5 days.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL

450 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO  HAS ISSUED A

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  CENTRAL COOK COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...

 

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

    

* AT 450 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

  TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER HILLSIDE...OR OVER WESTCHESTER...MOVING

  EAST AT 25 MPH.

 

  HAZARD...TORNADO. 

 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

 

  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 

           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. 

           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE 

           DAMAGE IS LIKELY. 

 

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...

  MAYWOOD AROUND 455 PM CDT.

  BROOKFIELD...FOREST PARK...RIVERSIDE AND NORTH RIVERSIDE AROUND 500

  PM CDT.

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