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June 10-20 Heavy Rain/Storms/Remnants


A-L-E-K

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ELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL  
1007 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015  
   
.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON
 
   
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.
 
 
..REMARKS..  
 
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN MORRIS 41.37N 88.43W  
06/14/2015 M4.43 INCH GRUNDY IL CO-OP OBSERVER  
 
24 HOUR TOTAL.  

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12z NAM seems to be more northwest with the tropical system and has flow overriding a stalled boundary 

 

If this pans out historic flooding possible over northern and central IL givin all the rain the past 10 days 

 

 

Also notice the deepening of the surface low as it gets into our area.  This is something that other models have been hinting at as the system potentially interacts/phases with additional energy.

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12z GGEM is a massive rain/flooding potential...adding up the individual frames, looks like a fairly widespread 4-7" (maybe locally higher?) and this does not include anything prior to the arrival of the tropical remnants.  System gets into our area quicker on this run but not as quickly as the NAM.

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Just got an EAS alert for this. Startled me.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
228 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN MACOMB COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN...
  WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN...
  WASHTENAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN...
  SOUTHEASTERN OAKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT

* AT 226 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF
  RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. FLASH
  FLOODING IS EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  WARREN...ANN ARBOR...LIVONIA...TROY...SOUTHFIELD...TAYLOR...ST.
  CLAIR SHORES...NOVI...ROMULUS...YPSILANTI...SALINE...GROSSE
  POINTE...CHELSEA...DEXTER...DOWNTOWN DETROIT...CANTON...DETROIT...
  STERLING HEIGHTS...DEARBORN AND ROYAL OAK.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO TWO ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED
AREA OVER THE NEXT ONE TO THREE HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&
 

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