wisconsinwx Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Brutal Harry Perry, sounds worse than even MKE has had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 724 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0700 PM FLASH FLOOD MORRIS 41.37N 88.43W 06/13/2015 GRUNDY IL 911 CALL CENTER NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE IN TOWN AND OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. DISPATCHER TOO BUSY TO GIVE LIST OF SPECIFIC ROADS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Just thinking about the potential tropical disturbance getting involved down the line...there's been some interesting research on tropical system decay/maintenance over land. Basically it's been suggested that there's potential to weaken more slowly when certain conditions are in place, one of which is wet soil as that sort of acts as a continued source of energy (although obviously there's nothing that can replace having a big body of water). Given how wet it's been in the southern Plains and now in our region, have to wonder if that may end up being a factor but then again, how developed of a system there is at landfall is still a question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 There is a circulation that has tightened up in the last few scans south of Battle Creek, if it continues to strengthen they will need a tornado warning down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 At the very least there should be a severe warning, I have 60dBz up to 25,000 feet. So this thing is going to have some hail with it maybe decent sized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Right on cue. Severe warning for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI913 PM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MICHIGAN...* UNTIL 1015 PM EDT* AT 913 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BURLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Starting to turn right again like the last cell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Looks like a hook is developing near Burlington/Tekonsha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 The ole lady and I decided to intercept those storms in southern Calhoun county. I'm on P Drive South just north of Tekonsha. Storm has weakened considerably. No reports of any wind damage or hail down here, however judging by earlier scans I'm sure there was at least SOME hail. Same as earlier, the storm outran the WF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Been getting into some good downpours and cloud to cloud lightning in the last half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2015 Author Share Posted June 14, 2015 Drinking beer with anvil crawlers all night. Best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Drinking beer with anvil crawlers all night. Best climo X2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Drinking beer with anvil crawlers all night. Best climo I'm jelly. Hoping to get in on the action the next 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Drinking beer with anvil crawlers all night. Best climo That really is best climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 The latter hours of the NAM is usually a phrase that spells failure...that being said, it has a tongue of pwats in the 2.25-2.5" range entering the Ohio Valley by the end of the run. That's probably record territory for June if it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Finally a legit garden variety t'storm. Four weeks ago we had a storm as well, but very few thunderbolts and lightning strikes where I was at least. Before that you had to go back to April 9th or 10th I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Quick time lapse of weak sup earlier today southwest of Annawan IL. Pathetically about as close as I've been to seeing a tor this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 0z GFS is slower with the gulf low and also farther south. Looks like it turns east through the TN Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 0z GFS is slower with the gulf low and also farther south. Looks like it turns east through the TN Valley. 00z UKMET still has it in the Ohio Valley at 144 hours. Not sure how good of a model it is for these situations. I know the NAM is generally an awful tropical model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 00z UKMET still has it in the Ohio Valley at 144 hours. Not sure how good of a model it is for these situations. I know the NAM is generally an awful tropical model. 0z GGEM looks similar but a bit quicker. GFS looking like its on its own this set of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Continuing with full on deluge. Make it stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 0z GGEM looks similar but a bit quicker. GFS looking like its on its own this set of runs. Recon is going in tomorrow...that can only help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Another 0.27" in the last half hour bringing us to 1.83" in the last 24hrs. Now up to 5.33" for June (all since June 7th). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 00z UKMET still has it in the Ohio Valley at 144 hours. Not sure how good of a model it is for these situations. I know the NAM is generally an awful tropical model. If that thing screws up the severe potential next week, ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Closing in on 0.20" fast. Rain has been light since 9 pm, but is picking up now. 2.21" for the month as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 If that thing screws up the severe potential next week, ugh... You're gonna be left rooting for wet microbursts and rain wrapped tropical tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 New day 1 has slight risk for I-70 and north in IN/OH including Indy,Dayton,Columbus and up to SEMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 New day 1 has slight risk for I-70 and north in IN/OH including Indy,Dayton,Columbus and up to SEMI. Huge reduction compared to the previous day 2 outlooks for areas further west. Not too surprising as things never looked that good for areas further west anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 New day 2 same as previous day 3. Slight risk for most of IL/IN/OH and southern MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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