Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 widespread 5 to locally 8 inches of rain the past 8-9 days or so... cant take much more Could end up with some pretty crazy totals in some areas by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 warm front is blasting north with full sun here...could be a big evening Nice little mid-level speed max will be overhead through tonight. Getting a decent differential heating boundary setting up for storms to ride along. Could be an interesting day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Not including what fell after yesterday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Just took a look at the 0z GFS and it did something interesting for early/mid week. It has a Low moving NW in the west GOM and comes on shore around TX/LA monday night. From there it moves due north until it gets to SW MO and then turns NE and eventually due east along I-70 by Wed. There's a widespread 2"+ of rain with a band of 4-7". 18z GFS had something similar but it stayed on a more northeast track through IN into MI. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015061300&time=72&var=APCPI&hour=144 Yes this will be worth watching. NHC is giving it a chance to develop, and Ninos historically have seen increased GOM activity at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 ILX mentioning up to 6" wouldn't be surprised to see flash flood watches issued later today or tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Several storm reports south and east of Akron/Canton. Wow, I didn't realize this squall line system would result in 100 storm reports in PA and NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Day 1 outlook has been upgraded from marginal to slight risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 SPC upgraded parts of our forum to slight today. .MIDWEST THIS AFTN/EVE...DESPITE ABSENCE OF LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT...STRONG SFCHEATING OF WEAKLY CONFLUENT...MOIST /PW AOA 1.50 INCHES/ LOW-LVLFLOW ALONG AND S OF WARM/STNRY FRONT EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SCTD TONUMEROUS AFTN/EVE STORMS ALONG AN ARC FROM ERN MO THROUGH IL INTOIND/OH. OVERLAP OF BELT OF ENHANCED /30+ KT/ SWLY 700-500 MB FLOWOVER IL/IND...ASSOCIATED WITH SRN STREAM IMPULSE NOW INWI...SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A FEW BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF SUSTAINEDSTORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DMGG WIND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Little MCV feature near/just south of KC should ride the instability gradient northeast and kick off something later this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 SPC upgraded parts of our forum to slight today. .MIDWEST THIS AFTN/EVE... DESPITE ABSENCE OF LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT...STRONG SFC HEATING OF WEAKLY CONFLUENT...MOIST /PW AOA 1.50 INCHES/ LOW-LVL FLOW ALONG AND S OF WARM/STNRY FRONT EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SCTD TO NUMEROUS AFTN/EVE STORMS ALONG AN ARC FROM ERN MO THROUGH IL INTO IND/OH. OVERLAP OF BELT OF ENHANCED /30+ KT/ SWLY 700-500 MB FLOW OVER IL/IND...ASSOCIATED WITH SRN STREAM IMPULSE NOW IN WI...SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A FEW BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF SUSTAINED STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DMGG WIND. vort, we're in the other thread until tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Why not have all of the discussion under the same thread? WE're more or less talking about active weather along the same warm/cold front in both threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Why not have all of the discussion under the same thread? WE're more or less talking about active weather along the same warm/cold front in both threads. We could do that...actually probably makes more sense than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 13, 2015 Author Share Posted June 13, 2015 impressive airmass change since yesterdays low 50s and fog...up to 85/72 at MDW, looks like some pooling of rich unstable air along the differential heating boundary draped across NE IL. I imagine LOT raises pops across the area later this afternoon but i've been wrong before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 85°/74°. Juiced and loaded. Storms starting to pop downstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 impressive airmass change since yesterdays low 50s and fog...up to 85/72 at MDW, looks like some pooling of rich unstable air along the differential heating boundary draped across NE IL. I imagine LOT raises pops across the area later this afternoon but i've been wrong before. 74/68 out here under full clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 vort, we're in the other thread until tomorrow. Oops, my bad. Can't read dates to good. I knew you were gonna put the discussions in this thread. Juicy here. 86/76 here now. Can see towers to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 83/72 locally....one of the hotter feeling airmasses... Cells firing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 In Monee at Grandma's today. Kids in the pool. Can feel that airmass juicing. Watching nice cu field build out to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Surprised it is as warm as it is with a east wind. 73/65° currently under variably cloudy skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 85°/74°. Juiced and loaded. Storms starting to pop downstate. I wonder how adept IKK is at pulling off 80 degree dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 There's a new mesoscale discussion for northern and central Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 There's a new mesoscale discussion for northern and central Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 12z ECMWF brings the Texas tropical system through the region next week. Looking at the surface and aloft, it actually stays somewhat well organized along the way considering it's not very strong to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 12z ECMWF brings the Texas tropical system through the region next week. Looking at the surface and aloft, it actually stays somewhat well organized along the way considering it's not very strong to begin with. Looks slower than the GFS/GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 About to get hit by the Joliet cell. Sun was filtering through up until a couple of minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Looks slower than the GFS/GGEM. Yep Overall, this pattern is ripe to clobber somebody...if things break "right" and the front doesn't move around too much + potential tropical remnants involved, there's no telling how much rain may come down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 13, 2015 Author Share Posted June 13, 2015 Deep summer conditions downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 I wonder how adept IKK is at pulling off 80 degree dewpoints. It's a kooky observation site for sure, but it's no LAF. A more modest 84/73 at 3:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 Northbound OFB going to interact with that severe warned cell in IL soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted June 13, 2015 Share Posted June 13, 2015 blue box Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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