H2O Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Today is the day we could get some soakers after a torching May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 GFS indicates 4" rain west-central. Front Royal/shanendoah region could get a number of hours of fairly heavy rain later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 picked up .6 over night from the storms that moved through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Some clouds would be nice. It's nearing 80F and it's barely after 9 AM. Forecasted high of 81F is not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 82.5/68 Priming the pump for storms later this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 The next 5 days look pretty darn wet overall. The cutoff to the south is going to pump warm/moist air over top of the shallow cooler air once the front finally gets south of us so warm stormy looks to be replaced with relatively cool rainy. The only area that looks to remain dry is OKV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Woo storms. I'm tired of watering my yard 24/7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 FFW added for everyone except for SE MD (Calvert/St. Marys) and W MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 The next 5 days look pretty darn wet overall. The cutoff to the south is going to pump warm/moist air over top of the shallow cooler air once the front finally gets south of us so warm stormy looks to be replaced with relatively cool rainy. The only area that looks to remain dry is OKV. LOL. Good one. .....but probably true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Got some serous rain early this morning. One t-storm came through at 1:30AM with heavy rain and very close lightning strikes. There was some small hail too, but no wind. Then another storm rolled through at 3:30AM with torrential rain and legit thunder/lightning. The rain total since midnight is 1.39", and the Hi-Res NAM shows 4"+ this evening lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Surprised to see a flash flood watch considering how dry it's been. Already up to 82 along with sun breaking out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Surprised to see a flash flood watch considering how dry it's been. Already up to 82 along with sun breaking out. Some parts of LWX got soaked yesterday (see below), but yea, don't see why we need the watch given the dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 83F now and still mostly sunny. I see my NWS forecast has now gone up to 85F today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Some parts of LWX got soaked yesterday (see below), but yea, don't see why we need the watch given the dry conditions. 10685351_1075052812524307_4854584247510943760_n.png It is for Flash Flooding. Torrential rainfall over a short period of time. 2 inches in an hour can flood certain area roads around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Hopefully I can test my new water barrel setup to see if I managed to not screw up the overflow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 2.09" from the late evening and overnight thunderstorms just belching rain at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 yes. and flash flood guidance around here generally shows 3-3.5" of rain in 3 hours to cause flash flooding. Localized amounts in that range certainly seem possible in this high PW environment with hi-res guidance showing training potential. It is for Flash Flooding. Torrential rainfall over a short period of time. 2 inches in an hour can flood certain area roadsaround here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 May featured a crazy stable trough in the SW and persistent low height anomaly near GL and the north ATL. Naturally we ridged out with plenty of humidity in that regime. OTOH- the intermountain west was quite chilly and snowy. Arapahoe Basin along the divide in CO picked up nearly 5 feet of snow during May. Kind of a bummer that we could never build heights in the west underneath the beastly -EPO ridge or we would have had some seriously nice weather. No biggie though.The persistent ridge in the west couldn't last forever (although it tried). IMO- May was more of a rubber band snap month vs some sort of long term pattern change. That's why I don't think we are going to roast out this summer. Just a guess. There's no telling where we go through late June into July. Nino climo is a smart call for lack of any other strong signals. Matt's summer outlook is pretty solid. Here's how May shaped up in the NH: Things are reshuffling a bit as we move past the first week of June. Ens guidance is remarkably similar for 10 day leads. Looking about as likely as you can get at long leads to predict a nice shot or 2 of low dew/continental air. Stalled boundaries could screw it up of course but the look implies that any stalled boundary would be a good bit south of us. Ens have had this look for at least the last 3 days and the signal is getting stronger as we move forward in time: Does this type of pattern persist? Pretty doubtful. I would expect the conus to move towards a less amplified summer type look as the month wears on. Last July was rare. But I'm looking forward to the potential for a real break from the soupy air. Most of us have forgotten what dry air actually feels like. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Get some slow moving storms tapping this, and it is easy to see where the flash flood watch comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0163&yr=20154-8 inches? Wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Radar starting to show several train tracks setting up. Might not be a severe day but will be interesting nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Looks like it accidentally rained in Winchester already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0163&yr=2015 4-8 inches? Wow... That has to be highly localized. Some place in the mountains or downtown Baltimore winds up with 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Looks like it accidentally rained in Winchester already Yep, and still bright sunshine to the south. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Some cells look (finally) inbound after yet another sunny, very warm, and humid day....if they can hang together and not fall apart. My bet is on the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 So that's what all the rumbling I hear is.... SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-242 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BALTIMORE AND NORTHEASTERNBALTIMORE CITY COUNTIES...AT 242 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER DUNDALK...OR NEARSPARROWS POINT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...SPARROWS POINT...NORTH POINT STATE PARK...MILLERS ISLAND...BACKRIVER...MIDDLE RIVER...DUNDALK...ESSEX...BOWLEYS QUARTERS...EASTPOINT...EDGEMERE...FORT HOWARD...TURNERS STATION AND MARTIN STATEAIRPORT.TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSELOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Had 0.70" from storms last night. Humid. Also BWI picked up 0.46" from a storm that just passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Some cells look (finally) inbound after yet another sunny, very warm, and humid day....if they can hang together and not fall apart. My bet is on the latter. Splittsville. Passing north and south and died in the middle. Radar shows light green over me, but that's not hitting the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Hearing thunder in North Arlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 1, 2015 Share Posted June 1, 2015 Can see an OFB on radar in C PW and SE Fauquier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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