Isopycnic Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 0.00"I think your gauge is broken!71 here and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 I think your gauge is broken! 71 here and sunny Dry but not broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Come on now you are getting on Shet level. Looks like you are getting a really good storm right now, which most short range models showed earlier. Also looks like Jonesville got more than .25". I swear if that dern tropical system just popped up out of nowhere. Whats your take on the upcoming heatwave that is onthe models, and the summer pattern in general? Seems that other people are jumping on board with Shetleys extreme heat and drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Whats your take on the upcoming heatwave that is onthe models, and the summer pattern in general? Seems that other people are jumping on board with Shetleys extreme heat and drought. Meh its gonna get hot for 3-4 days with highs in the mid to upper 90's which is hot no doubt but it is A) the south summer soooooo its gonna do that from time to time in most years,....the GFS has the real heat breaking by next Wed click the link then use the arrow to see modeled 2M temps for the next few weeks.... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2015061112&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Meh its gonna get hot for 3-4 days with highs in the mid to upper 90's which is hot no doubt but it is A) the south summer soooooo its gonna do that from time to time in most years,....the GFS has the real heat breaking by next Wed click the link then use the arrow to see modeled 2M temps for the next few weeks.... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2015061112&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=132 That sound like more or less typical summer weather in these parts. It seems some people here are freaking out with the 1993 summerwide heat and droughtpocolype. Thanks again for the response. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Meh its gonna get hot for 3-4 days with highs in the mid to upper 90's which is hot no doubt but it is A) the south summer soooooo its gonna do that from time to time in most years,....the GFS has the real heat breaking by next Wed click the link then use the arrow to see modeled 2M temps for the next few weeks.... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2015061112&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=132 Sounds like weather fit for some cold beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Whats your take on the upcoming heatwave that is onthe models, and the summer pattern in general? Seems that other people are jumping on board with Shetleys extreme heat and drought. I'm not hvward.........but........That's not a heatwave.......yet...... It looks like summertime between the portals to me I could do without seeing the HI near the century mark until, well, never, but we all know that ain't gonna happen As for the rest of the summer.....it looks near normal to slightly above temp wise and near normal to slightly under precip wise for the majority of us. Drought is what we went threw the first decade of this century and hopefully we won't see another like that in our lifetime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Pouring rain!! Get the soil moist to stimey the heatwave! Edit: .33 in 30 min! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 DP up to 73, temp is 90, heat index is 99......and I am grilling on my back patio which is not shaded at all....next 5 days or so are going to remind me why I hate the summers here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Capped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Capped. lol just a little, even the sea breeze was naked today when it blew through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 lol just a little, even the sea breeze was naked today when it blew through There was one or two little meager cells that popped up around Raleigh, but that was about it. It's beginning to look like a dust bowl at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 We can't even get a small shower to make it in here. I watched at least 3 or 4 of them fall apart less than 5 miles away. Yet places not far from here have had multiple hits just today. Still not more than .25 in a 24 hour period since back in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Another day where areas nearby get drenched with rain and I barely get a drop. 5 miles away got 2-3" and I got a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 There was one or two little meager cells that popped up around Raleigh, but that was about it. It's beginning to look like a dust bowl at my house.Water restrictions incoming! Tball index of 10+ the next 2 weeks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Another day where areas nearby get drenched with rain and I barely get a drop. 5 miles away got 2-3" and I got a trace.You and Shet should merge your powers! Activate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Water restrictions incoming! Tball index of 10+ the next 2 weeks! Lol! I'll bet 1993 had a +10 Tball index too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 It may not be as extreme as 1993, but the general pattern seems to be shaping up that way with hot and dry in the southeast and very wet in the plains and midwest. It's almost certain the flooding won't be as bad as it was that year out there, but the heat around here very well may be. Another year this may match up with is 1986. June of that year was warm and dry and then July was very hot and dry with the big ridge centered over the southeast. The best match though may end up being 2002 though at least in our area. That summer was hot and dry too well into September. It also matches up somewhat with how the el nino is going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 It may not be as extreme as 1993, but the general pattern seems to be shaping up that way with hot and dry in the southeast and very wet in the plains and midwest. It's almost certain the flooding won't be as bad as it was that year out there, but the heat around here very well may be. Another year this may match up with is 1986. June of that year was warm and dry and then July was very hot and dry with the big ridge centered over the southeast. The best match though may end up being 2002 though at least in our area. That summer was hot and dry too well into September. It also matches up somewhat with how the el nino is going. I hope fall doesn't arrive late like it did in 2002. I remember Fall 2002 being wet and the first real cold front didn't arrive until like Mid October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 0.00". Storm total 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Whats your take on the upcoming heatwave that is onthe models, and the summer pattern in general? Seems that other people are jumping on board with Shetleys extreme heat and drought. I see a few areas reaching 100 in the south Monday or Tuesday, but once that SE ridge breaks down by around Thursday we will get back to normal June temps. It will only take 1-2 tropical systems to get everyone close to their summertime avg rainfall so I am by no means jumping on the heatwave/drought until I see that ridge hold strong for 2-3 weeks. It is pretty wet up here in WNC so I have a hard time seeing drought up here, but other areas in the south have seen little precip. Columbia saw a record rainfall day but Buckeye saw minimal effects. Places around GSP have seen good rain, but I have watched Shetleys location and the rain just breaks up as it approaches everytime. I can see localized drought in some locations, but not widespread like 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 There's is certainly no drought up in the mountains and should not be anytime soon. That fact will help keep the larger rivers around here from falling too much, so a very serious drought isn't in the cards through the summer. The heat will be the bigger story, especially if the big ridge settles right over us for any length of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 Hey. It's drizzling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 Hey. It's drizzlingquick heavy rain shower... Moist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Looks like we gonna get a early start to the afternoon storms today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Had a heavy downpour for a couple of minutes at the office in north Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Storms are firing across the escarpment and propagating northeastward. Hopefully, MBY will get wet here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Brief shower, thunder after it passed by. Squeezed out .04" Temp went from 88 to 79, DP went from 72 to 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 13, 2015 Author Share Posted June 13, 2015 T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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