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June 2015 Observation Thread


Isopycnic

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High's for the day:

 

AVL - 89

Wilmington- 93

ATL - 94

GSP - 96

RDU - 96

CLT - 99

Augusta -99

CHS - 99

CAE - 101

FLO - 101

Lumberton - 101

Orangeburg - 102

Sumter (Shaw) - 103

 

BTW, high yest at Ceaser's Head was just 80, and at Mt Mitchell was just 70! Sounds awesome!!!

Looks like Sumter is the new Columbia,

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Had no idea it rained that hard overnight... picked up .81" in the gauge! Lawn is less crunchy this morning.

 

Should be some boundries left over from the storms last night and this morning so I would expect to see it breakdown faster this morning the Hi Res models look really stormy but they have been overdone a bit, but still if oly half of the storms they show happen its gonna be a much stormier day than the last 3-4.

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90 with a 77 DP with a heat index of 104 feels worse than any of the days we were at 100 by far. You can see the air......it feels explosive out there if we do get some storms going they are gonna go up fast and easily reach severe with downburst being a big issue the downburst cape values in NC are about as high as they can get its rare to see them much higher than 500-800 much less over 1000 around here the last time I remember seeing it was July 1 2012

 

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90 with a 77 DP with a heat index of 104 feels worse than any of the days we were at 100 by far. You can see the air......it feels explosive out there if we do get some storms going they are gonna go up fast and easily reach severe with downburst being a big issue the downburst cape values in NC are about as high as they can get its rare to see them much higher than 500-800 much less over 1000 around here the last time I remember seeing it was July 1 2012

 

attachicon.gifdcape.gif

Wow. We are close to 1200-1300 here at GSP. You have the match with the sun out all day. Let's see if it blows up. 

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MD issued:

 

post-987-0-63362700-1434650249_thumb.gif

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1058
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1232 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NC...SC...GA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

   VALID 181732Z - 182000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS ARE
   POSSIBLE ACROSS A LARGE AREA FROM THE CAROLINAS INTO GEORGIA BY 20Z.

   DISCUSSION...STRONG HEATING PERSISTS ACROSS THE REGION BENEATH THE
   UPPER RIDGE WITH CU FIELDS RAPIDLY EXPANDING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
   ELEVATED TERRAIN FROM WRN NC INTO NRN GA...AS WELL AS WITHIN A WEAK
   SFC TROUGH ACROSS CNTRL GA/SC/NC.

   MORNING SOUNDINGS SHOWED RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT FOR SUCH
   A PATTERN...ALONG WITH SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
   VALUES CLOSE TO 1.75 INCHES. AS A RESULT OF RAPIDLY RISING
   TEMPERATURES...MODERATELY STRONG INSTABILITY IS DEVELOPING WITH
   RELATIVELY LARGE LIFTED INDICES. THIS SHOULD ENSURE ROBUST
   UPDRAFTS...LIKELY PULSE IN NATURE...WITH SIGNIFICANT WATER
   LOADING...PERHAPS WITH SMALL HAIL ENHANCING DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL.

   PULSE SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE OVER A RELATIVELY LARGE AREA
   FROM GA INTO THE CAROLINAS...WITH LITTLE FOCUS FOR A WATCH.
   HOWEVER...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND IS STILL PROBABLY ON A LOCALIZED
   SCALE.

   ..JEWELL/KERR.. 06/18/2015


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...
   MRX...FFC...

   LAT...LON   35018433 35708319 36118222 36368126 36248004 36297735
               36097696 35737669 35187697 34477816 33657979 32688269
               32748384 33578514 34178520 35018433

 

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Had some thunder and rain early this morning. Didn't see any lightning with the storm last night or this morning. Looks like it could get interesting again tonight, with a higher probability of more strong and severe storms than last night. WRAL said yesterday that Friday could be the day we see the most widespread coverage with storms.

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Well temps a couple degrees above yesterdays at this time for many

 

GSP -95 already

CLT - 98

CAE 100

 

Looks like today could be hottest this week. NWS now showing 100 for next wed at GSP and over 100 all week for CAE. At this rate, we may well surpass July 93, August 07, and July 12 for the worst month/summer ever.  :cry:  :violin:  :frostymelt:  :weep:

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Well temps a couple degrees above yesterdays at this time for many

 

GSP -95 already

CLT - 98

CAE 100

 

Looks like today could be hottest this week. NWS now showing 100 for next wed at GSP and over 100 all week for CAE. At this rate, we may well surpass July 93, August 07, and July 12 for the worst month/summer ever.  :cry:  :violin:  :frostymelt:  :weep:

this is absolutely rediculous. Will it ever end?

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