Brick Tamland Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 I am just passing along what WxSouth said. He said it was mostly bad news for upper SC and the mountains of NC with regards to little rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 Falls, I don't care what it does here this weekend. I will be at the OBX celebrating my 10th anniversary. But it looks like the kids won't be playing ball here any this week if the forecast is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 I'm willing to bet that at least the upstate and most of GA will stay dry the rest of this week. The pattern has set up well east of where It had been modeled. The area from Boone to Charlotte to around Charleston and northeast of there should do well after tonight, but west of that line is no dice. And the southeast upslope flow will actually end up being northwest and downsloping, really drying out the I-85 corridor. It's going to be 1993 all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 I'm willing to bet that at least the upstate and most of GA will stay dry the rest of this week. The pattern has set up well east of where It had been modeled. The area from Boone to Charlotte to around Charleston and northeast of there should do well after tonight, but west of that line is no dice. And the southeast upslope flow will actually end up being northwest and downsloping, really drying out the I-85 corridor. It's going to be 1993 all over again.we missed on the blizzard redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 This simply cannot be the truth. GSP has 20% pops. The ULL is off by hundreds of miles. The models are overdoing it again. They're as bad with rain and temps as with snow. If it's not raining at my house, then it's not raining and the models and NWS forecasters are wrong. It's 100f and dry. You know it is, man. Stop playing!lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 Yeah we got hammered about an hour ago. We have had about 1.22 inches of rainfall today.I came through whittier about 3 and it was hammering! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 we missed on the blizzard redux. Yep we did not get the superstorm to repeat, but the hot dry summer of that year is certainly going to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 I came through whittier about 3 and it was hammering!Yeah big time rain. Still getting very steady rainfall tonight. Could close in on 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 0.14" Stormage everywhere but here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 I am just passing along what WxSouth said. He said it was mostly bad news for upper SC and the mountains of NC with regards to little rain. He changes his forecasts like most people change their socks too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 GFS long range has gone from phantom 100° temps to a phantom GoM tropical system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 Yeah big time rain. Still getting very steady rainfall tonight. Could close in on 2 inches.it poured here all night, thunder woke me up a few times too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 I think the rain for this week is being overhyped. Yes, there will be some storms, but nothing widespread and only last for an hour and then move on. It's the summertime in NC. It's what we get and have as long as I've been here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 Based on what? The ULL that's bringing us the heavier precip Tues Wed Thur is just now moving into Western KY/TN. We won't feel it's affects until it slowly drifts closer; meanwhile, a front is sinking south through the mid-Atlantic states will become the focal point for more precipitation. Whoever got something in the Triangle today should consider it a bonus to the weeks' event still to unfold. We got .22 and I am pleased with that. Today should be fun. I just built a floating dock in the pond. I would like it to still be floating in August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 it poured here all night, thunder woke me up a few times too.same here. Everything is nice and soaked. Endedicated up with 1.86 inches from multiple rains yesterday and last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 It's the summertime in NC. It's what we get and have as long as I've been here. But, it's supposed to snow rain heavily with every storm!* * or sunny all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 But, it's supposed to snow rain heavily with every storm!* * or sunny all the time. Never said it was supposed to rain heavy with every storm. I said I doubt we will get as much widespread rain as the models show with the storms being widely scattered. Some folks might get a lot if they are in the right place. Of course, it is just my opinion, which is part of participating in message boards, and I could be wrong. Maybe everyone in NC will get 3 inches of rain this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 It's time for GSP to drop pops to 20% the rest of this evening. I also think the models are wrong about the rest of this week. Look at the radar from around Nashville TN and Columbus Miss on to the west. That's this week's weather for this area. Dry. Lol. I've been right about summer storms much more than they have over the years. Can I see your data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 It has been raining all morning. I am so sick of these models busting!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 Lol. Can I see your data? His crystal ball doesn't have data. It just keeps showing the year 1993. We got it shet, you think this is a 1993 redux. When its not are you going to admit you're wrong or just continue to give wrong forecast like you do every winter? I think I will stick to listening to the professionals.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 It has been raining all morning. I am so sick of these models busting!! I know right...I bet close to 70 % of the area got rain! Oh wait...that's what the forecast was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 I know right...I bet close to 70 % of the area got rain! Oh wait...that's what the forecast was Oh yeah...haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 Never said it was supposed to rain heavy with every storm. I said I doubt we will get as much widespread rain as the models show with the storms being widely scattered. Some folks might get a lot if they are in the right place. Of course, it is just my opinion, which is part of participating in message boards, and I could be wrong. Maybe everyone in NC will get 3 inches of rain this week. After all the years you still can't seem to grasp the way forecasts are done. The maps outline an area where 3" of rain is possible. It doesn't mean, and never has meant, that everyone within that area will get 3" of rain. Just as a severe watch does not mean everyone in the watch area will get severe weather. In fact, usually most won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 After all the years you still can't seem to grasp the way forecasts are done. The maps outline an area where 3" of rain is possible. It doesn't mean, and never has meant, that everyone within that area will get 3" of rain. Just as a severe watch does not mean everyone in the watch area will get severe weather. In fact, usually most won't. That was just hyperbole. I know it doesn't mean everyone will definitely get 3 inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 It's just as I thought along the I-85 corridor in SC today. Not a storm in sight for the GSP metro so far. If things don't change, it'll be yet another busted 70% chance of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 The 12z GFS brings 95-100 degree heat in and under 10 days now and as high as 101-102 around RDU. It is also much dryer over all of NC and SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 That was just hyperbole. I know it doesn't mean everyone will definitely get 3 inches of rain. When hyperbole makes up most of your posts, it becomes your norm and no longer meets the definition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 The 12z GFS brings 95-100 degree heat in and under 10 days now and as high as 101-102 around RDU. It is also much dryer over all of NC and SC. What GFS model are you looking at? It actually looks pleasant around day 10: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=06&model_dd=02&model_init_hh=12&fhour=252¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 The 12z GFS brings 95-100 degree heat in and under 10 days now and as high as 101-102 around RDU. It is also much dryer over all of NC and SC.The GFS hasn't ever been wrong or showed this already about a week or two ago! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 2, 2015 Share Posted June 2, 2015 When hyperbole makes up most of your posts, it becomes your norm and no longer meets the definition. When I said everyone in NC might get 3 inches of rain, I was just saying I might be wrong about the widespread rain the models were showing for this week. Just using hyperbole to make my point that I could be wrong about my opinion in regards to the rain the models were showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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