Isopycnic Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 You know there's still no severe weather at his house though!If bear farts in the woods and no one is around to hear it, does it still stink? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 If bear farts in the woods and no one is around to hear it, does it still stink? Did he have Taco Bell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 If bear farts in the woods and no one is around to hear it, does it still stink? Don't have to hear it. Silent but violent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 0z GFS still hot. I think this will go down as a summer to remember; in terms of heat. Day 6: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=07&model_dd=20&model_init_hh=00&fhour=138¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Dont we have 120 day Canadian or some other highly inaccurate model we can rely on to tell us when we will see 70 degree highs again? I am looking forward to the mini ice age in 2025 from reduced sun spot activity.....thats going to be quite a relief and leaves me plenty of time to sell the boat....but i cant take another 30 days of what the GFS is selling. Ugh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 0z GFS still hot. I think this will go down as a summer to remember; in terms of heat. Day 6: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2015&model_mm=07&model_dd=20&model_init_hh=00&fhour=138¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false The end of the link says it all... "archive=false" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Local forecast has us with 3 days in the upper 80's at the end of the week. (T,F,S) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Local forecast has us with 3 days in the upper 80's at the end of the week. (T,F,S)Not bad for the end of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Dont we have 120 day Canadian or some other highly inaccurate model we can rely on to tell us when we will see 70 degree highs again? I am looking forward to the mini ice age in 2025 from reduced sun spot activity.....thats going to be quite a relief and leaves me plenty of time to sell the boat....but i cant take another 30 days of what the GFS is selling. Ugh! Ditto. Actually I'm so desperate I am clinging to the accuweather forecast showing 80s for the first week of August, been there for awhile. Was also showing mid- low 80s highs and mid-low 60s lows for last week of August but that changed to 90/70. This current pattern STINKS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Local forecast has us with 3 days in the upper 80's at the end of the week. (T,F,S) Yeah that's actually below normal lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Dont we have 120 day Canadian or some other highly inaccurate model we can rely on to tell us when we will see 70 degree highs again? I am looking forward to the mini ice age in 2025 from reduced sun spot activity.....thats going to be quite a relief and leaves me plenty of time to sell the boat....but i cant take another 30 days of what the GFS is selling. Ugh! I don't think we really want to see a little ice age. Below is an article about Virginia weather and it depicts a climate of very wet springs, hot droughty summers, and very cold winters. The cold winters sound good but the summers would neutralize the benefit (in my opinion). http://www.encyclopediavirginia.org/Little_Ice_Age_and_Colonial_Virginia_The With this very hot summer we're having makes you think that maybe a cold winter is in store; if there's a correlation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 At some point it's going to have to start cooling off, right ? I mean the sun is getting lower in the sky and the days are getting shorter. It only makes sense that temps would start getting lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 At some point it's going to have to start cooling off, right ? I mean the sun is getting lower in the sky and the days are getting shorter. It only makes sense that temps would start getting lower. it takes about 6 weeks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Do the Carolinas have a dry season like we have in my area ? Once it gets to about Mid August it usually gets bone dry for about 2 or 3 months. There are exceptions of course, especially if there's tropical activity. But once the afternoon thunderstorms end, it usually gets very dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Do the Carolinas have a dry season like we have in my area ? Once it gets to about Mid August it usually gets bone dry for about 2 or 3 months. There are exceptions of course, especially if there's tropical activity. But once the afternoon thunderstorms end, it usually gets very dry. Generally speaking, for the upstate, not really. The average rainfall is around 4" each month +/- an inch. Some months average a little more and some months less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Generally speaking, for the upstate, not really. The average rainfall is around 4" each month +/- an inch. Some months average a little more and some months less. When it comes to rainfall from August to October, it's usually feast or famine here. Either we get flooding rainfall or it's dry as a bone. September 2009 we had like 20" of rain. On the other hand, I've seen Septembers and Octobers where we didn't get a drop of rain all month. Fall of 2001 was particularly dry if I recall correctly. The very next year, in September 2002, it was very wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 0z GFS still hot. I think this will go down as a summer to remember; in terms of heat. Thus far, the heat at RDU in July has been unremarkable. In fact, RDU is still running .2 degrees below normal for the month. Not even a hot month at RDU, yet. Also, RDU is 0.65" above normal in rainfall for July. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=rah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Do the Carolinas have a dry season like we have in my area ? Once it gets to about Mid August it usually gets bone dry for about 2 or 3 months. There are exceptions of course, especially if there's tropical activity. But once the afternoon thunderstorms end, it usually gets very dry. The precip in this areas is remarkably consistent month to month. July, Aug and Sept are the three wettest months, primarily due to heavy thunderstorms. The difference over the rest of the year isn't that significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 The precip in this areas is remarkably consistent month to month. July, Aug and Sept are the three wettest months, primarily due to heavy thunderstorms. The difference over the rest of the year isn't that significant. interesting that the climate in the Carolinas is so different than GA despite being close in proximity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Thus far, the heat at RDU in July has been unremarkable. In fact, RDU is still running .2 degrees below normal for the month. Not even a hot month at RDU, yet. Also, RDU is 0.65" above normal in rainfall for July. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=rah Went back and looked at July's temps and your right. I think with last summer's temps being cooler, having a "normal" summer seems so much hotter. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=rah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 it takes about 6 weeks...If we are lucky with this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 The Floridian summer for mby continues, 90 degrees at noon and Storms almost every evening. Since the June (2 week heat wave) we have been blessed here in my micro climate, As green as I have ever seen it despite hitting 90 for like 24 days already this summer. We avg like 29 per year, so its been hot and we will end up 30 plus days hitting 90 or better with August still in front of us, But the rain has not been lacking that's for sure, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 The precip in this areas is remarkably consistent month to month. July, Aug and Sept are the three wettest months, primarily due to heavy thunderstorms. The difference over the rest of the year isn't that significant. Your right, But late September and October do tend to be the driest. Dew points nose dive and it takes a synoptic or tropical event to kick up any rain. Fronts usually start showing up regularly by late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 https://encrypted-tbn1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQhyZhQiI57M2pdn9CJxgkV581_dSUF6uqmOEMsRwOb4D-1SPFo4Q Take it from this veteran, only thing you can do to get through the dawg days of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 Your right, But late September and October do tend to be the driest. Dew points nose dive and it takes a synoptic or tropical event to kick up any rain. Fronts usually start showing up regularly by late October. Used to be. Try February, but not by much. October has fallen to fifth driest. http://www.usclimatedata.com/climate/greensboro/north-carolina/united-states/usnc0280 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 At some point it's going to have to start cooling off, right ? I mean the sun is getting lower in the sky and the days are getting shorter. It only makes sense that temps would start getting lower.Sun angle screws us year round! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 Sun angle screws us year round!Hey the days are getting shorter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 It looks like many (at least in NC) will see a break in the heat starting tomorrow. A spot check near RDU has highs around 86 with lows in the upper 60s for the five days starting Wednesday. From RAH: .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...AS OF 300 AM TUESDAY...THE MAIN ISSUE ON THURSDAY APPEARS TO BE THE INCREASE IN CHANCE OFSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... MAINLY IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERNZONES. THIS IS WHERE THE MAIN FRONT SHOULD BECOME NEARLY STATIONARYFOR A BRIEF TIME AS A POTENTIAL SURFACE WAVE MAY FORM ALONG THEFRONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE CONTINUED TO BEPLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE CONVECTIVE CHANCES THURSDAY AS MCSACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NEAR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SOUTHEASTACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TOWARD THE SE COAST. JUST WHERETHESE SMALL SCALE SYSTEMS TRACK WILL BE ONE OF THE MAIN WEATHERPLAYERS THURSDAY. GIVEN THE BOUNDARIES EXPECTED POSITION TO THE SEOF RDU... THE HIGHEST POP (LIKELY) WILL BE DISTRIBUTED FROM FAY TOGSB TO RZZ... WITH THE LOWEST (LOW CHANCE ~25-30 PERCENT) IN THE NWPIEDMONT (INT/GSO/ROX). QPF OF 0.50 TO LOCALLY 1+ INCHES MAY RESULTOVER THE COASTAL PLAIN. HIGHS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER GIVENTHE EXPECTED INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS... LOW LEVEL NE FLOW NORTH OFTHE BOUNDARY... AND THE POSSIBLE SHOWERS. EXPECT MOSTLY 80S.FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY WITH SEASONABLETEMPERATURES FOR LATE JULY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TOBUILD IN FROM THE NORTH. THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD BEFOCUSED SOUTH OF OUR REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING (SOUTHCAROLINA). THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO NIL POPS MAY BE THE SOUTHERNSANDHILLS INTO THE SE COASTAL PLAIN WHERE A LOW (20-30 POP) MAY BEJUSTIFIED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FRIDAY AS THECOMBINATION OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND THE SEA BREEZEBOUNDARY MAY TRY TO GEN UP AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO. BY SATURDAYEVEN THAT CHANCE APPEARS MINIMAL AND POP WILL BE REMOVED. EXPECTMOSTLY SUNNY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO GENERALLY RUN IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S WITHLOWS 65-70.BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO RETURNFROM THE SOUTH. THIS PROCESS SHOULD TAKE PLACE OVER THE MOUNTAINSFIRST WHERE POP WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY FOR PM SHOWERS ANDTHUNDERSTORMS. WE MAY SEE AN UPTICK IN CHANCES OVER OUR REGION BYMONDAY... BUT CHANCES APPEAR NO HIGHER THAN CLIMATOLOGY IN THE WEST(~35 PERCENT)... AND REMAIN BELOW CLIMATOLOGY IN THE EAST FORAFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS/STORMS INTO MONDAY. CHANCES INCREASETO AROUND 35 PERCENT ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SUB-90 DEGREE HIGHS AREANTICIPATED SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN ALL BUT POSSIBLY THE SANDHILLS.HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S AGAIN TUESDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 My local point and click forecast. This could be a shock to the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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