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June gloom or glory? Pattern discussion moving into the first month of met summer

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

GYX -10.9

AUG -10.4

PWM -9.1

MHT -8.2

CON -6.3

No surprise that the interior radiators have the smallest departures so far.

 

MVL is only -4.6 from normal... the first six days of June were -7, -8, -7, 0, +3, -7.

 

You are right about the interior radiators.  The low diurnal trend during that time actually hurt us with the nighttime lows.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

It's looking pretty warm for late week. Then most models send a low through the region to start the weekend. EC and it's ens are much cooler than the GFS though. Anyways....looks more summery this week than last.

 

LOL--that's not too difficult to accomplish.  :)  Of course, we have a couple dreary days to get through first.

 

54.3/48

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

He's baaaaack.  Hope you had a good time away from the board.

It's nice to get away sometimes. Just to let folks know..I didn't take a week off because of my bust. At any rate..thankfully the coolness is over and we can now march on thru an AN and warm to at times hot summer..though nothing exceptional seems likely..just solid AN

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

It's nice to get away sometimes. Just to let folks know..I didn't take a week off because of my bust. At any rate..thankfully the coolness is over and we can now march on thru an AN and warm to at times hot summer..though nothing exceptional seems likely..just solid AN

Could be COCish to end the weekend...we'll see. But yeah, overall a bit AN.
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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

I'm heading up to BTV early Friday -Sun for the Nordic Cup soccer tourney. Looks like a warm, muggy first 2 days . I have my doubts of that Euro run late weekend

Ens were cool too. GFS doesn't get much CAA in behind that system. GGEM is cooler too.
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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

Ens were cool too. GFS doesn't get much CAA in behind that system. GGEM is cooler too.

Everything I've seen and read, and heard in the LR on here and elsewhere..it seems almost everyone is now going for a warmer than normal summer..Not a torch..but warmer and more humid than last summer was. Hopefully that means we are kind of in the ring of fire with frequent storms and plenty of dew days. It's gotten sneakily dry again after having not rained now for 6 days. I was thinking initially tomorrow would be stormy..but that looks now very widely scattered at best..and is pollen season ever going to end? I mean this has been the longest pollen season i can ever recall. Cars just covered in it. I checked and it looks like it's Oak which is the primary culprit....but for the love of God..end it

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CT Valley Snowman

CT Valley Snowman

Posted
Posted

Tommorrow still has an interesting look to me. Some of the modeling is showing some Meso lows spinning over or just west of the region and have some decent wind shear and lift with the approaching front. Surfaced based Cape values and instability will be the question with any morning clouds/showers and low level moisture etc,.  I think at least a few of us will get a decent banger.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
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Everything I've seen and read, and heard in the LR on here and elsewhere..it seems almost everyone is now going for a warmer than normal summer..Not a torch..but warmer and more humid than last summer was. Hopefully that means we are kind of in the ring of fire with frequent storms and plenty of dew days. It's gotten sneakily dry again after having not rained now for 6 days. I was thinking initially tomorrow would be stormy..but that looks now very widely scattered at best..and is pollen season ever going to end? I mean this has been the longest pollen season i can ever recall. Cars just covered in it. I checked and it looks like it's Oak which is the primary culprit....but for the love of God..end it

Everything I have read says Nino climo would promote a cool to normal summer. Worst tree debris spring summer ever
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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
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Yeah I'm not sure on a warm and humid summer either. I mean if summer averages out 0.7F above...does that qualify? :lol: Oh wait...the BDL factor.

Just going by the LR stuff I've seen. Not a single one has gone BN or even normal. Most are slightly AN.. That would signify to me a decent chance at storminess and higher humidity ESP with regard to nighttime lows. I hope no one besides Steve is expecting a dry, cool summer ..
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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Just going by the LR stuff I've seen. Not a single one has gone BN or even normal. Most are slightly AN.. That would signify to me a decent chance at storminess and higher humidity ESP with regard to nighttime lows. I hope no one besides Steve is expecting a dry, cool summer ..

 

Meh, just waiting until Fall.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Just going by the LR stuff I've seen. Not a single one has gone BN or even normal. Most are slightly AN.. That would signify to me a decent chance at storminess and higher humidity ESP with regard to nighttime lows. I hope no one besides Steve is expecting a dry, cool summer ..

well one month of summer will finish BN , hopefully for you July and August overcome the negative June
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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
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It looks like the ridge north of Hawaii extending up through the Aleutians is building more strongly

than the models had been suggesting. So don't be surprised if temperature expectations get

revised higher for the rest of the month. This type of pattern teleconnects to a more -PNA

and stronger ridging near the East.

Euro bust?

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