June gloom or glory? Pattern discussion moving into the first month of met summer

[IsentropicLift]

Heh. There is nothing close to that on my maps. It looks like one crazy gridpoint there.

Either way the models are struggling with this. We probably won't know what's happening until Saturday.

[CT Rain]

Heh. There is nothing close to that on my maps. It looks like one crazy gridpoint there.

 

The hires Euro does have a convective bullseye of like 2" just south of EWR. 

[dendrite]

The hires Euro does have a convective bullseye of like 2" just south of EWR.

Yeah I figured it was a res issue. Good luck counting on that though.

[IsentropicLift]

Yeah I figured it was a res issue. Good luck counting on that though.

Well when you consider that models have been flip flopping like crazy what makes you think you can count on anything at this range?

[IsentropicLift]

FWIW the 12z GFS is close to a washout for everyone.

[Brian5671]

FWIW the 12z GFS is close to a washout for everyone.

Great news.  Although it's faster.  Moves it out and late day ends up OK especially SW sections

[dendrite]

Well when you consider that models have been flip flopping like crazy what makes you think you can count on anything at this range?

I feel like the same general track has been fairly consistent through your area. My point was good luck with the specifics. The will be a subsynoptic convective blip when it gets up here. I just hope I don't get the 10-7 between killed Bill and the NNE rains from the advancing s/w.

[Damage In Tolland]

GFS shunted things south by quite a bit..also brought back Monday torch

 

[CoastalWx]

Not sold on a Monday torch, especially with that look.

[Damage In Tolland]

Not sold on a Monday torch, especially with that look.

What do you make of the big south shift with the rain? That would be ideal

[ORH_wxman]

Not sold on a Monday torch, especially with that look.

 

 

I don't usually associate a low pressure near ACK with a torch in SNE:

 

 

[CoastalWx]

What do you make of the big south shift with the rain? That would be ideal

 

Well we have to watch for lingering low level moisture. Some hints of it on the GFS despite the shift south. 

[CoastalWx]

Euro is a mess for Sunday.

[Typhoon Tip]

I certainly hope it rains a solid 3 to 4" pan -wide.   That'll would about erase any deficits.  

[CT Rain]

Euro is a mess for Sunday.

 

And not even a hint of warmth beyond that. 

[Typhoon Tip]

And not even a hint of warmth beyond that. 

 

HAHA...

 

you guys are great.  You should just tie Kevin up to a tickle post for the commoners to walk by and arbitrarily poke and prod

[tamarack]

HAHA...

 

you guys are great.  You should just tie Kevin up to a tickle post for the commoners to walk by and arbitrarily poke and prod

 

Another poke:  12zgfs 850s at WVL, 6C Sat, and 2C next Wed, plus 5-7C for days 9-12, though I'm guessing that only the Saturday number will verify as that cool.

[dendrite]

Another poke:  12zgfs 850s at WVL, 6C Sat, and 2C next Wed, plus 5-7C for days 9-12, though I'm guessing that only the Saturday number will verify as that cool.

Days and days of single digit 850s on the euro next week.

[powderfreak]

Days and days of single digit 850s on the euro next week.

 

Yeah that was a cold run. 

 

Summer certainly doesn't seem to be "knocking on the doorstep" here in New England.

[CoastalWx]

Summer just went on hiatus big time.

[CoastalWx]

The Pacific NW is going to just erupt in flames. They had low snow as it is already there. What a pig ridge over the west and into Rockies.

[CoastalWx]

Looks like all 4 BN. 

[CT Rain]

Looks like all 4 BN. 

 

 

helluva way to run a torch

[blizzard24]

 i wouldnt be surprise if the storm stay south of sne and most of the rain went south of sne area this weekend .

[Dan]

This is all anti-summer talk. : )

Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk

[CoastalWx]

 

helluva way to run a torch

 

Why can't we get this?

 

KIAD 182050Z 03030G56KT 1/4SM R01R/0700VP6000FT +TSRAGR

[CT Rain]

 

Why can't we get this?

 

KIAD 182050Z 03030G56KT 1/4SM R01R/0700VP6000FT +TSRAGR

 

 

No kidding. This is pretty much the worst 2 year severe weather drought ever. 

[CoastalWx]

No kidding. This is pretty much the worst 2 year severe weather drought ever. 

 

From what I hear, some injuries may have happened from wind too at the airport.

[eekuasepinniW]

Lots of banworthy posts being made here.

[Typhoon Tip]

Paying for tornadoes in 2010 or whenever that Monson party was... 

 

NoooOOOOO tornadoes for you, 3 YEARS!!! 

 

This is starting to look as bad as 2000 in terms of the atmosphere seemingly conspiring to lower heights and thicknesses ... specifically in New England.  I mean, N Ontario is warmer on some of these panels.  Save the Euro... heh, I actually a saw a graupel D7 look up that way.  

 

Anyway, there's been some unrelenting tendency for heights not to rise E of the Miss V.  We can blame it on x, y, z tele's and it may be true, but it's been going on now for 2 years counting. 

 

Meanwhile, the irony is the world is spitting out totals/averages as a whole that top the heat trend during that time.  Very enabling to target just this region.  You summer resenters are certainly being provided an incredible box of fantasies here .. Because this isn't the reality of the global state. Not even close...