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June 2015 General Disco


snowlover2

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NAM suggests mixing potential to about 650 mb here on Wednesday...very impressive. Not sure if it will pan out but those kind of days tend to overachieve temperature wise.

Busting this one out for the first time this warm season :guitar:

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Edit: 12z GFS not as bullish with mixing potential with more of an inversion around 800 mb...or better put, a layer with weaker lapse rate.

Can you post one that shows more of the subforum?

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Getting some pretty good cracks of thunder and decent flashes of lightning from a band of storms just to the north.

 

The task now is getting heavy rain and thunder/lightning to happen at the same time (that's only happened twice this season).

That was pretty cool last night. Even DTW reported "Thunderstorm" with the nearest cell 30-40 miles to the north.

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sounds dope

 

 

 

AN ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER IS PROBABLE IN THE CORN BELT/SOUTHERN
GREAT LAKES REGION DURING THIS TIME. THE FORECAST SYNOPTIC TO EVEN
LARGER SCALE PATTERN ON GLOBAL GUIDANCE FAVORS SUCH WITH 1.) CWA
UNDER NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE AND FREQUENT SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS RIDGING ALONG THIS...2.) CONTINUOUSLY WARM AND LIKELY OFTEN
UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE AND...3.) PWATS IN THE TOP TEN PERCENTILE
REGULARLY IN THIS TIME. SPEAKING TO THE LAST POINT...WITH THE FIRST
TROUGH THAT COMES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...SOME
OF THE MOISTURE FROM NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA ENTERING THE SW
U.S. IS FORECAST TO BE STEERED INTO THE MIDWEST. SO WILL NEED TO
MONITOR THAT TRACK AS A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH THE IMPULSE...AND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL BE
RETURNING NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY...A
WELL-VERIFYING MODEL BLEND WAS GENERALLY USED. THIS LENDS ITSELF
TO A LOT OF CHANCES OF STORMS IN THE FORECAST...BUT THAT CONVEYS
THE PATTERN FAIRLY WELL AT THIS POINT...AND WILL GET REFINED IN
TIME.
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Was looking at the long range GFS for the rest of the run and almost every day has 850 mb temps in the 17-20C range here, with brief times a little higher or lower.  Convection will probably muddle the picture from time to time but otherwise, that would be a prolonged period of highs well into the 80s with some 90s possible.  Usual disclaimer about it being one op run at a long range.

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deep summer returns in 2015?

 

 

Looks that way.  Just out of curiosity, I checked June 1997 temps since Don S mentioned that as an analog.  Every day except one had highs in the 80s or 90s here from June 16-June 30.  13 out of those 15 days had a high of at least 85 with 7 days AOA 90.

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Temps have soared into the mid 90s across much of Iowa this afternoon(low 90s everywhere else), no doubt aided by dews in the 55-60 range.  While it's not real humid, the heat really hits you when you walk outside.  It's by far the warmest day of the year.

 

We only hit 90F once last year and that was on August 24.  And yes, I do agree with you that it's not really humid.  Not a dry heat like in the desert but it feels more 2012 like.

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96F in La Crosse right now... new record... dews in the 40fs...

Rain rain rain in the forecast.

Diagnosed with Lyme Disease over the weekend after feeling horrible....perfect bulls eye rash . Had no idea it was there until i noticed the "bug" bite grow into a huge rash.

Ticks are coming out in full force. I make sure to wear a ball cap when outside. Those suckers can land on you from anywhere. My wife was diagnosed last spring (before we moved to MN). She never had the bullseye rash but got severe back pain and trouble with her joints. It's a terrible thing if not caught early. Glad you got it addressed.

Noah and the flood later this week. 92F Imby right now. Feels great.

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