nzucker Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Already down to 56F so should see another cool night here in Westchester...definitely some upper 40s possible in northern, elevated areas of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Showers southeast to northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 It's pretty hard to escape June without a hot stretch but the way things are looking I believe most sites will finish June around 1 or 2 degrees below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Mets busting badly...decent showers for 2 hours now IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Mets busting badly...decent showers for 2 hours now IMBYno bust here, sun and clouds 62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Stuck at 60F here under overcast skies, another cool June day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 It's pretty hard to escape June without a hot stretch but the way things are looking I believe most sites will finish June around 1 or 2 degrees below average. Playing around with the weeklies it looks like July 04 Weekend will be have below normal temps. and be mostly sunny, if a front passes by on time. http://www.wxcaster4.com/cfs/CONUS_CFS_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_124HR.gif Seems to warm as weekend progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Playing around with the weeklies it looks like July 04 Weekend will be have below normal temps. and be mostly sunny, if a front passes by on time. Now that's really in fantasy land.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 It's pretty hard to escape June without a hot stretch but the way things are looking I believe most sites will finish June around 1 or 2 degrees below average. It's going to be tough to shake off such a cool start without "hot" temps later this month. Averages are also continuing to rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 It's going to be tough to shake off such a cool start without "hot" temps later this month. Averages are also continuing to rise.My highs for June have been 58, 55, 64, 62, and 60 (so far today, but expect 62-63.) Never really seen June start this cold, although 2009 was similar. Without a massive heat wave, the month should finish below normal as the first week will average around -10 with upper 70s tomorrow and low 70s Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 With the MJO reaching the highest June amplitudes since 1997 (and 10th highest amplitude on record), it's worth taking a closer look at 1997. The MJO has been in Phase 1 to date. It will likely move into Phase 2 in coming days. 1997 saw a prolonged period where the MJO was locked into Phase 2 (June 16-28). I'm not yet sure that will be the case this time around. Below are the temperature anomalies for 1997 (Phases 1 and 2): If 1997 is representative, one should see a shift in the temperature regime with perhaps the 7-10-day period beginning around June 8 +/- 2 days seeing warmer than normal temperatures begin to develop in the East. Support exists on some of the major guidance. Unlike 1997, when Phase 2 coincided with a strongly negative PNA, the PNA is forecast to slowly move from positive to negative. Hence, the upcoming period would probably start warmer than normal in the Pacific Northwest and perhaps wind up averaging warmer than normal, as the PNA+ has been predominating and the guidance may yet be rushing a trough to the PNA region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 I see clearing to the north towards CT, I hope that means the sun will be out shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Sun is out here with blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Mets busting badly...decent showers for 2 hours now IMBYYeah picked up 0.32" here between 8 and 11 this morning...very scattered though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 I see clearing to the north towards CT, I hope that means the sun will be out shortly. Skies over the LIE are clearing up quickly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 5, 2015 Author Share Posted June 5, 2015 Partly sunny here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Definitely the worst first week of June since 2009 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Great day to be out on the golf course. 70F and partly sunny all day in Monroe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 It's hard to justify people's complaints after one of the warmest May's on record. So a few days to start off June are cool and cloudy, it's not a big deal. Today is actually pretty nice with decent sunshine at times. We'll be in the heat before you know it and then people will wish they had a cool day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 In #136, I noted the likely shift in the MJO to Phase 2 in coming days as a possible signal of a shift to warm anomalies after a very cool start to June. June 1997 was the reference point, based on the exceptional El Niño-driven amplitude of the MJO. The 12z guidance is now suggesting that warm anomalies should develop around June 7-8 in the Midwest and Ohio Valley and then spread eastward into the Middle Atlantic and New England areas on June 9. The GFS is more aggressive than the ECMWF, but the progression of the MJO could favor the GFS. Below are the temperatures shown on the 6/5/2015 12z GFS MEX MOS for New York City for the June 6-12, 2015 timeframe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 5, 2015 Share Posted June 5, 2015 Coldest June 1-5 departure at NYC since at least 1990. 2015...-9.4 1997...-7.8 2003...-7.6 1998...-5.6 2009...-4.6 1993...-4.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 Down to 58.6F after a high of 70F...another very comfortable day. Should drop a couple more degrees after a weak line of showers passes. Looking forward to tomorrow night when we may see upper 40s in much of Westchester. Forecast low is 51F for Dobbs Ferry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 Lightning thunder and downpour here at 3:40 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 6, 2015 Author Share Posted June 6, 2015 Looks like thunderstorms headed right for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 6, 2015 Author Share Posted June 6, 2015 Thunder and lightning here with some moderate rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 Those storms developed just east of me...heavy rain short distance away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 Poured for 30 minutes around 3:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 had about .25 here. Now it's cloudy and 62. Sun expected later-looks like a good weekend overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 Definitely the worst first week of June since 2009 here. Definitely a touch of 2009 this week, it has rained every day so far. Poor warlock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 6, 2015 Share Posted June 6, 2015 Definitely a touch of 2009 this week, it has rained every day so far. Poor warlock Seems worse - more like 2003. Luckily I am out of town for that one. What a contrast from the Jun-like (and one of the best) Mays we've ever had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.