IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Down to 59 degrees with mod rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 60 with moderate rain on june 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Rain should be out by 9-10pm. Its moving quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 the euro is handling this best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Rain should be out by 9-10pm. Its moving quicklyNegative chief, the triple point is still down in E MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_06_2015/post-352-0-42052800-1435443850.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Negative chief, the triple point is still down in E MD. Yeah looks to be more convective after that time period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Yeah looks to be more convective after that time periodModels decay somewhat what is over SE PA and then refire over NJ with the triple point coming North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 The HRRR dry slots Southern NJ after 06z tonight and then numerous showers/storms form near the triple point which then delivers showers at least through end of run at 13z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Gfs and Nam look very off to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 The HRRR dry slots Southern NJ after 06z tonight and then numerous showers/storms form near the triple point which then delivers showers at least through end of run at 13z. Well. The HRRR has been bad the last few times lets see what it does now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 The HRRR dry slots Southern NJ after 06z tonight and then numerous showers/storms form near the triple point which then delivers showers at least through end of run at 13z. Gives parts of NNJ 2-3" of rain, though the HRRR is terribly inconsistent with its precip amounts over specific areas, though I like it for giving a basic idea of if a heavier band might form in the general vicinity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 These numbers include the last 3 1/2 hours, with most of this still to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 High end moderate rain here. Its coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Gfs and Nam look very off to me. As Forky said the Euro is handling this the best. That model clobbers the area from 8PM through 5AM and looks pretty accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Winds have really increased here at the shore in point pleasant has a tropical feel to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 0.58" on the day so far here. Back edge of the warm front is crossing the DE Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Incredible slug of moisture should be coming North the next few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Seems like the heaviest rains have been avoiding here, so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Up to 0.69" of rain for the day at the closest reporting station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Seems like the heaviest rains have been avoiding here, so far. Pretty incredible area of heavy rain south of LI right now moving NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 3" per hour rates estimated on radar near NE Atlantic County advancing more or less due North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Very heavy rain coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Surface low taking shape over Delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 28, 2015 Author Share Posted June 28, 2015 Down to 57 with moderate to heavy rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 FLASH FLOOD WARNINGNJC025-029-280515-/O.NEW.KPHI.FF.W.0023.150628T0118Z-150628T0515Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDFLASH FLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ918 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...* UNTIL 115 AM EDT* AT 915 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONSOF THE WARNED AREA. BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVEALREADY FALLEN. MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THISAMOUNT OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WILL LEAD TO FLASHFLOODING.* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...TOMS RIVER...LONG BRANCH...ASBURY PARK...SANDY HOOK...LAKEWOOD...MIDDLETOWN...JACKSON...HOWELL...MARLBORO...TINTON FALLS...HOLMDEL...RED BANK...KEANSBURG...MATAWAN...MANASQUAN...POINTPLEASANT BEACH...LAKEHURST...FARMINGDALE...MANTOLOKING AND PLEASANTPLAINS.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW.BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THEDANGERS OF FLOODING.TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOODDEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.&&LAT...LON 4033 7397 4007 7404 4006 7412 4005 74054001 7408 3996 7408 3995 7412 3992 74124003 7445 4045 7423 4045 7413 4041 74034044 7399 4048 7402 4048 7401 4044 73984038 7401 4038 7397 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 NAM/GFS certainly had it wrong when they kept insisting that the heaviest rain would be in northwestern areas. It's southeastern sections that are getting pounded. Anyway, we just hit 1 inch of rain here. Nice soaking, but nothing like what they're getting in southeastern Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 0.70" here so far today with the heaviest rains still to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 NAM/GFS certainly had it wrong when they kept insisting that the heaviest rain would be in northwestern areas. It's southeastern sections that are getting pounded. Anyway, we just hit 1 inch of rain here. Nice soaking, but nothing like what they're getting in southeastern Jersey. The 18z RGEM has done the best that I have seen today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 0.70" here so far today with the heaviest rains still to come.uh theres nothing after this batch really, scattered stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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