forkyfork Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 the euro looks like at least 2" for all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 This could be a very wet system, tons of moisture and heat over the Southeast that will be lifted over the warm frontal boundary. I'm glad I can finally share some of the soakings with you guys, haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Should clear up for the Mets game at 4 tomorrow for which I have tickets, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Well something did form on the sea breeze front. Looked super ominous. In reality it rained for 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Should clear up for the Mets game at 4 tomorrow for which I have tickets, right? Looks very likely that it'll be rained out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 What's the start and end time approximately on the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Sounds wet. AS THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM CLOSES OFF OVER OH AT THE BEGINNING OF DAY 2...THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION MODE SHIFTS FROM CONVECTIVE TO SYNOPTIC. INSTABILITY PRESENT SOUTH OF THE SURFACE LOW CROSSING THE OH VALLEY THROUGH WESTERN PA INTO WESTERN NY STATE IS FORCED UP AND OVER A DEVELOPING OCCLUSION INTO A FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED AXIS STRETCHING FROM NORTHEAST OH AND WESTERN PA THROUGH MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN NY STATE. A 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.50 TO 1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) UP AND OVER THE FRONT...RESULTING IN ELEVATED CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM WESTERN NY STATE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND. [...] FURTHER SOUTH...CLOSER TO THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE OCCLUSION OR WARM FRONT...INSTABILITY REMAINS A VIABLE ENTITY FOR PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION. WHILE MUCH OF THE INSTABILITY BECOMES ELEVATED ACROSS NORTHEAST OH/WESTERNMOST NY STATE/MUCH OF PA INTO WESTERN NJ...ELEVATED CONVECTION SHOULD ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES. THE BULK OF THE CONVECTIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...AS A 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL INFLOW PUMPS 1.75 TO 2.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR INTO THE SYSTEM. FOR THIS REASON...A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS PLACED OVER THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 What's the start and end time approximately on the models?start: ~18z sat end: ~12z sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 start: ~18z sat end: ~12z sun Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 Thanks I would add the possibility of light showers, on/off till 2pm to be safe. This is from the ensembles. Rain back in on Tues. Friday and July 4th. weekend in some jeopardy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 ...bit of a bust today..all outlets calling for cloudy skies with late clearing..turned out to be quite the sunny day..winds were east but the sun was out a good chunk of the day here on ELI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Today's Highs: TEB: 80 NYC: 81 EWR: 81 LGA: 80 JFK: 81 ISP: 77 New Brunswick: 82 TTN: 81 PHL: 84 ACY: 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Downpour here, storm has commenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Clear skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Downpour here, storm has commencedone little dot over you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 one little dot over you.it was a joke, though it did downpour for 3 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 HRRR has rain in most places by 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Some areas in PA got a nice 3-5" head start ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Some areas in PA got a nice 3-5" head start ! Near stationary heavy rain blob for three hours 30 miles to my south. One of the more unusual things i have ever seen. No lightning strikes showing with this feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 00z RGEM has 3-5" of rain in about 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 00z RGEM has 3-5" of rain in about 12 hours. Parts of SEPA are getting that already, models failed to see this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Alot of rain about to come through here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Alot of rain about to come through here Looks to stay mainly west of NYC through at least noon. Heavy rain more likely late today/tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Looks to stay mainly west of NYC through at least noon. Heavy rain more likely late today/tonight. Warm front swings through us? If so we could see thunderstorms with downpours rolling through here late afternoon into the evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Starting to rain here in Astoria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 So I guess highs wont stay in the 50s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Through 6/26 NYC: +0.6 EWR: +0.4 LGA: -0.2 JFK: +1.5 TTN: +1,8 PL: +2.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Starting to rain here in Astoria Looks like some light rain. Warm front swings through us? If so we could see thunderstorms with downpours rolling through here late afternoon into the evening Some heavy rain and possible isolated t-storms by tonight for NYC NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 Wall of pure h2o heading our way. Got a new umbrella that will be tested today! 12z nam says build a boat NW nj. Grass is going to be wet later for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2015 Share Posted June 27, 2015 We're just about the only area not under a flood watch being impacted by this storm. NWS is gunshy after Bill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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