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June 2015 Discussion & Observations


dmillz25

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Through 6/14

 

NYC: -0.6

EWR: -0.5

LGA: -1.4

JFK: -0.0

TTN:  +1.0

PHL: +1.4

 

The models continue with the idea of a potentially stronger heat push coming in around the solstice with 90's possible around this time.

 

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The models continue with the idea of a potentially stronger heat push coming in around the solstice with 90's possible around this time.

 

attachicon.gifget_legacy_plot-web249-21afb3424b395e92cb7f1b5bc9f473fd-3RRQWQ.gif

 

 

That will probably be NYC's last opportunity for 90F this month. Thereafter, the mean trough begins to rebuild over the Lakes via +PNA / -EPO couplet. Ensemble mean 850mb temperature anomalies indicate a near normal regime to occasionally cool (especially New England) for June 23rd-30th. What is the latest that NYC has ever hit 90F? If we miss the chance early next week, it could be an early July first 90F for them.

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That will probably be NYC's last opportunity for 90F this month. Thereafter, the mean trough begins to rebuild over the Lakes via +PNA / -EPO couplet. Ensemble mean 850mb temperature anomalies indicate a near normal regime to occasionally cool (especially New England) for June 23rd-30th. What is the latest that NYC has ever hit 90F? If we miss the chance early next week, it could be an early July first 90F for them.

 

I like to use EWR and LGA more for 90 degree potential and tracking since NYC has too much growth near the ASOS.

EWR has already reached 93 on the month and LGA 92. But the three consecutive NYC minimums above 70

before June 15th were the first since 2013 and 2005.

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I like to use EWR and LGA more for 90 degree potential and tracking since NYC has too much growth near the ASOS.

EWR has already reached 93 on the month and LGA 92. But the three consecutive NYC minimums above 70

before June 15th were the first since 2013 and 2005.

 

 

I agree, but it would still be an impressive stat if Central Park didn't achieve 90 until July (even though we know that 90% of NYC has already reached it).

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I agree, but it would still be an impressive stat if Central Park didn't achieve 90 until July (even though we know that 90% of NYC has already reached it).

 

For the park last year Jul 2 was their first 90.  Many 88, 89 there and 90s throughout the rest of NYC/N-NJ.  That growth really skews things with the largest cities main reporting station/perception.

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