SACRUS Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Dewpoints on the rise TEB: 54 NYC: 57 ISP 55 EWR: 59 New Brunswick: 65 TTN: 65 PHL: 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Dewpoints on the rise TEB: 54 NYC: 57 ISP 55 EWR: 59 New Brunswick: 65 TTN: 65 PHL: 65 NYC didn't rise at all today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 High of 88 at the park today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 NYC didn't rise at all today. Up to 60 now the DT central park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Up to 60 now the DT central park DP is 59 in NYC and has been in the upper 50s all day since being in the low 60s the morning. Heck even JFK dropped 3 degrees to a DP of 58 with a S wind too. LGA has a DP of 55 down from 62 this morning. The front is down in C NJ or so, so the DPs are not going to rise in the NYC area yet. Later this evening into tonight they start to rise into the low to mid 60s and stay there per guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 I will call an unofficial minimums heatwave in NYC since three consecutive lows of 70 or above is rare before June 15th. The last two occurrences before June 15th were 2013 and 2005. Before that maybe Uncle has the master list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 .HYDROLOGY... PRECIPITABLE WATERS INCREASE TO AROUND/JUST OVER 2 INCHES OVER THE ENTIRE CWA FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE DECREASING. THIS IS MORE THAN 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THERE IS THUS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UNDER ANY STRONGER CONVECTION. WHAT IS IN QUESTION IS EXACTLY WHERE ANY LOCALLY HEAVY CONVECTION WILL OCCUR AND FOR HOW LONG WILL IT LAST. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY DO NOT HAVE THE REQUIRED 50 PERCENT CONFIDENCE NEEDED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...BETWEEN 1.25 AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS BEING FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA FROM TONIGHT INTO MONDAY EVENING...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER NE NJ AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND LOWEST AMOUNTS OVER SE CT/E LONG ISLAND. THERE IS DEFINITELY A THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING AS WELL AS ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING...INCLUDING OF SOME FLASHIER STREAMS/CREEKS IN NE NJ AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. WILL ADDRESS THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AND WIDESPREAD MINOR URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IN THE HWO. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. HIGH PWATS DURING THIS TIME SUPPORTS THE POTENTIAL FOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 I will call an unofficial minimums heatwave in NYC since three consecutive lows of 70 or above is rare before June 15th. The last two occurrences before June 15th were 2013 and 2005. Before that maybe Uncle has the master list. Came darn close to 5 in 2008 (Jun 8,9,11,) June 10 : 69, June 12: 69 May 30 - Jun 1, 1991 achieved it, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Storms brewing in PA - Heading on a b-line to EPA and NJ during the next few hours. Another great weekend though as storms will come after 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Warmest SST anomalies in the Atlantic offshore the Mid Atlantic and slowly building northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 And with that go the negative departures. Wiped out in about a week. Given we should stay consistently above normal heading forward a +1 to +2 June is very possible again. There will be a higher frequency of cool shots for the last week of June as the +PNA rebuilds in concert with the persistent -EPO. Heights should lower over the Lakes/Northeast/SE Canada. So even if we are above normal by D7, I think the near normal (at times cooler than normal) last week of June will keep departures around 0 to +1 for the month in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Keep hearing people say cool shots all the while significant daily departures rule as we get closer..example today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Keep hearing people say cool shots all the while significant daily departures rule as we get closer..example todayWhat's your definition of a cool shot in mid June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 There will be a higher frequency of cool shots for the last week of June as the +PNA rebuilds in concert with the persistent -EPO. Heights should lower over the Lakes/Northeast/SE Canada. So even if we are above normal by D7, I think the near normal (at times cooler than normal) last week of June will keep departures around 0 to +1 for the month in NYC. Yea - ridge out west over PAC pushes east, back into the west coast and subsequent trough into the Midwest/GL and into NE with ridging hanging on over the coast with periodic cold fronts. Looks cooler for sure (overall) with more rain/storm chances as fronts have a habbit of slowing down with resistance from the WAR which could build west. Beyond there it will be interesting to see if the ridge fires east of HI and we repeat with trough into the wc and ridge pumping again over the EC. A sort of back and forth pattern bias warm with humid southerly flow a good part of the time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 Some nice storms out in PA incomming. Let's see what they look like after they cross the deleware. Little in the way of marine air right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 14, 2015 Share Posted June 14, 2015 What's your definition of a cool shot in mid June? Cool shot would be low to mid 70s To me...I dont doubt we may see temps cooler than they have been...obviously we cant have plus 10 departures forever... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Cool shot would be low to mid 70s To me...I dont doubt we may see temps cooler than they have been...obviously we cant have plus 10 departures forever... I agree and we saw that in July 2009 which was very cool for that time given nearly sunny skies and low humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Those storms look pretty good off to our west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Storms ready to hit me...lets see how this goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Today's Highs (6/14); TEB: 90 NYC: 88 EWR: 87 LGA: 87 JFK: 86 ISP: 86 New Brunswick: 88 BLM: 82 TTN: 87 PHL: 90 ACY: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Light rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Rain knocking on the door here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 My point and click was just updated to "3 to 5 inches of rain expected" for tonight into tomorrow. Never seen it that high. Does look like the firehose is on though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Heavy rain in Chester NJ. Few flashes of lightning. Not much wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 My point and click was just updated to "3 to 5 inches of rain expected" for tonight into tomorrow. Never seen it that high. Does look like the firehose is on though. For what location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Raining pretty good with some thunder but nothing exceptional Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 For what location? Whitehouse Station NJ (near Flemington) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Pouring here in queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Rain and a bit of thunder and lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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