dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 93 is the projected high here. The park up to 73 so lets see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 HRRR has numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms developing around 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 NYC: -5.2 EWR: -4.9 LGA: -6.0 JFK: -3.8 TTN: -3.0 PHL: -2.6 Through 6/10 NYC: -4.3 EWR: -3.9 LGA: -5.1 KFK: -3.1 TTN: -2.4 PHL: -1.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 The highest Newark was able to reach in June 2014 was 92. So it looks like today we will get close to that number and maybe even top it with enough sun since the 850's are so warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 The highest Newark was able to reach in June 2014 was 92. So it looks like today we will get close to that number and maybe even top it with enough sun since the 850's are so warm. Lots of clouds currently we'll see how much sun we have today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Lots of clouds currently we'll see how much sun we have today. That's really the only potentially inhibiting factor since the 850's are around +18C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 I think thunderstorm activity will end up being fairly widespread this afternoon and catch a few people off guard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Why so many clouds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Why so many clouds? Convective debris from storms last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Convective debris from storms last night. Any clearing in sight? Kinda want to see 90 degrees today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 These clouds need to go, I'd like to see 90 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Narrow but sufficient shear coupled with a highly unstable atmosphere should make for isolated but potentially strong to severe storms later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 mid level cloud deck in here, not going to see 90 here today (upton had already chopped back from 91 last night to 87 today) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Any clearing in sight? Kinda want to see 90 degrees today 06z NAM has the coast cracking 90 briefly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 95? I doubt it maybe 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 That's a good amount of CAPE right there looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 ..cloudy out here on ELI..SW breeze already picking up here..77*..we will top out in the low 80"s..SST's still around low 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 UPTON NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...FORECAST ON TRACK. JUST BUMPED POPS UP JUST A BIT ACROSS ORANGECOUNTY WITH RAIN. THE RAINFALL THERE SHOULD END SHORTLY.OTHERWISE...NEARLY ZONAL FLOW WITH GRADUALLY RISING HEIGHTS ALOFTTODAY AS A RESULT OF RIDGING OVER THE ATLANTIC EXPANDING UP THEEAST COAST AND A TROUGH PASSING THROUGH SE CANADA.WILL START WITH SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING...MAINLY N ANDW OF NYC AS REMNANT SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SFC COLDFRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. SCHC-CHC POPS WERE WARRANTED HERE THISMORNING ALTHOUGH THE SHOWERS SHOULD WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE SE ACROSSTHE REGION AND ENCOUNTER A MORE STABLE AIRMASS.SHOULD SEE SOME SUNSHINE TODAY WHICH WILL AIDE IN MODERATEDESTABILIZATION GENERALLY FROM NYC AND AREAS N AND W. THISCOMBINED WITH MARGINAL 0-6KM SHEAR AND AN INVERTED V PROFILE WOULDRESULT IN STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTN AND EVE. COVERAGELOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE LIMITED HOWEVER DUE TO A FEW FACTORS.FIRST...MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT HAVE DEEP LAYEREDMOISTURE AND SECOND THERE MAY NOT BE MUCH UPPER SUPPORT SINCE THEMAJORITY REMAINS TO THE N WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. THE LATTER MIGHTNOT BE AS PROBLEMATIC HOWEVER DUE TO LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONGTHE FRONT. ADDITIONALLY...THERE IS A WEAK SHORTWAVE APPROACHINGFROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WHICH COULD HELP TRIGGER ACTIVITY.HAVE CAPPED POPS AT 30 PERCENT...BUT THIS MAY NEED TO BE BUMPED UPA BIT LATER THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN ZONES...DEPENDINGON HOW THINGS ARE EVOLVING. HAVE ADDED ENHANCED WORDING TO THEFORECAST WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. THERE COULDALSO BE SOME SMALL HAIL WITH WBZ LOWERING TO AROUND 9K FT IN THEEVE. PW`S OF 1.5 TO 1.75 INCHES COULD ALSO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINWITHIN ANY TSTMS. THERE IS ALSO A LOW FLASH FLOOD THREAT...SEEHYDRO SECTION BELOW.IT WILL BE A HOT AND HUMID ONE TODAY AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST ASH85 TEMPS RISE TO 16-18C. HIGHS OF MID TO UPPER 80S WILL BECOMMON AT MANY LOCATIONS. MOST OF NENJ AND NYC SHOULD REACH THELOWER 90S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Man as soon as that sun broke through, it got really hot really quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Still 75 here, clouds holding tough in Westchester...we should fall short of 90F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Clouds slowly breaking. some sun is out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 More sun this past hour allowed Newark to jump from 78 to 84 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Clouds clearing out here, temp at 78 and rising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 More sun this past hour allowed Newark to jump from 78 to 84 degrees. Its 80 at the park and 83 here. Quick job in temps for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 11AM Roundup; TEB: 82 NYC: 80 EWR: 84 LGA: 82 JFK: 81 ISP: 76 New Brunswick: 84 TTN: 80 PHL: 84 ACY: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Full sun and 84...breeze feels good...true summer feel with nice flowery smells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 11, 2015 Share Posted June 11, 2015 Full sun and 84...breeze feels good...true summer feel with nice flowery smells Yep, breath in that refreshing feel of ground-level ozone and fine particulates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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