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June 2015 Discussion & Observations


dmillz25

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West of the city has done well.   We've had some .05-.15 type deals since then, but nothing of significance.

I'm awfully glad to not be the one currently getting the shaft. Two thunderstorms at home today since sunrise, almost 1.5" in the bucket in the last 36 hours. Closing in on 4" for the month.

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All NYC stations are above average for June rainfall (not that it matters much at this point) because of the rain on the 1st, YTD is about -2.5-3.5 across the board. I'm not really worried about not getting storms the past week as it looks pretty wet going forward, it's the summer and people always get Shaffer left and right. I just hope we get a nice areawide tropical system (or remnants, for those who are a little touchy because of sandy) at some point during the summer.

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Still some leftover activity over E PA, could possibly bring in some more activity later, but not looking likely at the moment. Still about 1000+ J/KG of SBCAPE over NJ.

that's about a wrap on this one...weak line moving through CT  and LI now-garden variety.  Rained here about 1 minute.

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Mt Holly says the Euro wants to have a heatwave for some this weekend

 

Philly looks close Thu - Sat.  Areas north of there will have hard time Friday.  Sat looks good for 90 but clouds and storms could hinder widespread heat.  Either way the much below normal regime Jun 1 - 7 looks to be a memory (thankfully for those who enjoy summer).

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Departures slowly coming out of the basement a little each day as NYC has gone from

-7.6 to -5.1 in the past few days. We probably won't remember the cold first week when

all is said and done The ensembles keep the warmer pattern going long enough to probably

finish June with a positive departure in NYC and EWR. The stronger than forecast ridge

north of Hawaii to Aleutians is dropping the PNA and helping solidify a stronger ridge for the East.

Yesterday was a normal day in Westchester with 80/58...couple warm ones Thurs-Sat before the 70s come back. It's not so much that we've been above normal but regular departures are bringing us back to the mean.
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Newark has seen the more + departures around the region with a +2 and +6 the last few days after a solid negative first week. It's easy to log positive departures now as the normal daily highs are still in the upper 70's on

June 10th.

Looks like the next cool weather is associated with a backdoor cold front on Monday, at least on GFS.
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