IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Stronger shear today and better forcing with closer proximity to the front but SBCAPE will still be lacking and storms should arrive before peak heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Over an inch in the bucket last night, how did those storms work out for the city? Like I said, RGEM for the win as usual. We did get about .10 here from the dying storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Stronger shear today and better forcing with closer proximity to the front but SBCAPE will still be lacking and storms should arrive before peak heating. Clouds need to get out the way first i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Clouds are hanging strong. We gotta get rid of these showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Clouds are hanging strong. We gotta get rid of these showers looks pretty socked in on visible. Upton also says we're cloudy most of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Actually not that bad West of the Hudson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 0.19 in the bucket last night here NYC: 0.07 EWR: 0.12 LGA: 0.05 TTN: 0.83 PHL: 0.90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Skies brightening here and some small breaks of sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Skies brightening here and some small breaks of sun Looks like the city will get into breaks of Sun in a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 The HRRR develops a pretty solid looking line in E PA which then crosses the area before weakening over Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 The HRRR develops a pretty solid looking line in E PA which then crosses the area before weakening over Long Island. Timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Suns out. Up goes instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Timing? Late afternoon for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Even if we get more CAPE into the region the greatest lift is going to be over upstate NY closer to the shortwave. That doesn't mean we won't get a storm or two but it should be a pretty quick moving hit or miss type deal. Not like yesterday where we had multiple lines congeal into a big convective mass, that will be 300 miles North of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Really good shear right now if something can get going, perhaps too much, given the still relatively meager SBCAPE in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Over an inch in the bucket last night, how did those storms work out for the city? 1.70" last night & early this morning.. Nice soaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 1.70" last night & early this morning.. Nice soaking Yes, everyone West of the convection graveyard did quite well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 radar is lighting up west and north of NYC-good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 15Z HRRR Composite Radar outlook does show some heavier showers starting>>> 2:15PM and ending within an hour @ NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 15Z HRRR Composite Radar outlook does show some heavier showers starting>>> 2:15PM and ending within an hour @ NYC. Rgem has it as well: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 15Z HRRR Composite Radar outlook does show some heavier showers starting>>> 2:15PM and ending within an hour @ NYC. 16Z HRRR keeps the same theme. But current radar does not look as bad as indicated at 60min mark (present time) on the output. However the theoretical convective temp. of about 80 has nearly been reached now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Monday and Tuesday look great for convection. Monday and Tuesday look widespread with low pressure passing nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Storms developing over northern NJ the HV right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Storms in NJ moving NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 I think the storms will end up missing NYC proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 I think the storms will end up missing NYC proper.Some storms are also developing NE of Trenton, those my get some parts of the city but the best storms are north ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 I think the storms will end up missing NYC proper. if it does, back to the ol dry pattern for NYC N and E. It's been mostly dry here since the 6/1 deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 Bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 if it does, back to the ol dry pattern for NYC N and E. It's been mostly dry here since the 6/1 deluge. I've had measurable rain here 7 of the first 9 days of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2015 Share Posted June 9, 2015 I've had measurable rain here 7 of the first 9 days of June. West of the city has done well. We've had some .05-.15 type deals since then, but nothing of significance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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