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June 2015 Discussion & Observations


dmillz25

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What do you mean a dud? It was obvious that the line was weakening significantly as it was approaching NJ after departing Allentown

I mean that for a part of the state that was in a tornado watch and a severe thunderstorm warning an hour before a line of storms with a threatening radar signature arrived, that it underperformed.

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It would be quite a feat if the month still had a positive departure after such a cool start.

 

I think of Jan 2005 as one of the biggest turn arounds ever from extreme positive through 1/15 (+ 8.9) then sharply and decisively to negative, ending below -2.1 . 

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Warm Mays with cool June starts from the analog list

 

97 - deeply negative through the 9th

93:  decently negative through the 8th

87 : Unc/anyone having issue with old data  - how was this year in June

 

This is looking like the biggest June warm up after a cool first week since 1997 or 1993. It's interesting that

both those Junes featured developing El Nino patterns. So developing El Nino Junes don't always turn out

with a stronger cool anomaly like 2009. June 1987 started out warm with a 93 on the first day of the

month and finished +1.4. 

 

NYC June 1-7......monthly temperature departure

 

2015...-7.6....?

2009...-3.0...-3.7

2003...-6.7...-2.8

1998...-6.0...-2.4

1997...-8.2...-0.7

1993...-4.6..+1.7

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