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Severe Threat 5/27-5/28 and heavy rain threat 5/30-6/1


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Just got upped to a flood watch....it's almost game time!

 

SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
111 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...MORRIS...SUSSEX AND WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA...
CARBON...MONROE AND NORTHAMPTON.

* UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* LOCATIONS...A PORTION OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE
POCONOS AS WELL AS FAR NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

* BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SWATHS OF
EXCESSIVE SHORT DURATION RAINFALL, POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES
IN AN HOUR. IF THESE TORRENTIAL RAINS OCCUR, POCKETS OF
DANGEROUS STREET AND HIG

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Just got upped to a flood watch....it's almost game time!

SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...

JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...BETHLEHEM...EASTON

111 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND

PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN NEW

JERSEY...MORRIS...SUSSEX AND WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA...

CARBON...MONROE AND NORTHAMPTON.

* UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* LOCATIONS...A PORTION OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE

POCONOS AS WELL AS FAR NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

* BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SWATHS OF

EXCESSIVE SHORT DURATION RAINFALL, POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES

IN AN HOUR. IF THESE TORRENTIAL RAINS OCCUR, POCKETS OF

DANGEROUS STREET AND HIG

The shower that just went through had a rainfall rate of 2.72"
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Bulk of the activity today will be north of here despite a few showers popping up as far south as coastal Monmouth. I wonder if this region will be in between maxes. It seems like the heavy amounts are focused around the Delmarva if not west of them and SNE. 

 

The latest gfs prints out about 1-2" for the area although I know amounts can be skewed in either direction if we see storms train over the same areas and dodge others. 

 

At least tomorrow looks to be more widespread so everyone should pick up at least an inch. 

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So far inland here in E C PA its dry. Was supposed to rain yesterday all day and night and it was dry... can't say I am shocked.. Should it rain later tonight? Yea it should but would not be at all surprised to see it go right to the north again like it did all day yesterday...

 

And as for severe. Likely not happening whenever they put a meso to your west saying watch not likely does not bode well further east..

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