bluewave Posted May 28, 2015 Share Posted May 28, 2015 of course it did-model is awesome. - Hoping the tail end of that train can swing through here, it's moving SE now. I had a beautiful view of that CB and anvil from here on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted May 28, 2015 Share Posted May 28, 2015 Why has this thread been extended to include this weekend? The models don't even have a grip on today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 28, 2015 Share Posted May 28, 2015 nice storm here-CTG lightning and a lot of rain. Storms just rotting over me now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 28, 2015 Share Posted May 28, 2015 Why has this thread been extended to include this weekend? The models don't even have a grip on today. If the models had a grip 4 days out this website wouldnt exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 28, 2015 Author Share Posted May 28, 2015 nice storm here-CTG lightning and a lot of rain. Storms just rotting over me now. Huh, i thought dry begets dry. The pattern is clearly shifting. I don't expect it to turn on a dime but a gradual switch to a wetter pattern seems to be in order. The 18z GFS continues to be wet for Sunday-Tuesday with 2-3" of rain over a large area through 120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 29, 2015 Share Posted May 29, 2015 Huh, i thought dry begets dry. The pattern is clearly shifting. I don't expect it to turn on a dime but a gradual switch to a wetter pattern seems to be in order. The 18z GFS continues to be wet for Sunday-Tuesday with 2-3" of rain over a large area through 120 hours. That cell and the one on Long Island had about as small of an areal coverage as you will see. Remember smooth it out. Smmmmmmmoooootttthhhhh it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 29, 2015 Author Share Posted May 29, 2015 That cell and the one on Long Island had about as small of an areal coverage as you will see. Remember smooth it out. Smmmmmmmoooootttthhhhh it outDo you understand that the rain this weekend isn't from random thunderstorns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 29, 2015 Share Posted May 29, 2015 my backyard did well today, but BDR just 7 miles SE recorded .04. Most missed today. Looking forward to a good soaking Sun-tue, although hoping it hold off til later Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 29, 2015 Share Posted May 29, 2015 Huh, i thought dry begets dry. The pattern is clearly shifting. I don't expect it to turn on a dime but a gradual switch to a wetter pattern seems to be in order. Wheres the 2 inches plus we were suppose to get by Friday The 18z GFS continues to be wet for Sunday-Tuesday with 2-3" of rain over a large area through 120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 0z nam buries the areas with rain. Loook out flood areas!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 00z GGEM has 4"+ for a lot of NNJ and the GFS was 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 Overdone, but still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 00z GGEM has 4"+ for a lot of NNJ and the GFS was 2-3". +1 for bonus hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 The Euro is 2-3" by Monday night with more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 4"+ bullseye on the Euro near Trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 Front hangs around until Wednesday. Going to be some flooding in NNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 sunny here, so we may get some early heating to fuel any storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 sunny here, so we may get some early heating to fuel any storms. Same here. Already up to 71 degrees. I have rain in my forecast until Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 RGEM has a lot of rain for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 RGEM has a lot of rain for the areaCan you post Anthony? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 So when is it supposed to start raining? There is a lot of sunshine right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 So when is it supposed to start raining? There is a lot of sunshine right now.After 18z-20z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 The 06z RGEM has 3-6" of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 The 06z RGEM has 3-6" of rain Yep, likely overdone but tomorrow looks to be a washout for the whole area compared to today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 31, 2015 Author Share Posted May 31, 2015 Yep, likely overdone but tomorrow looks to be a washout for the whole area compared to today.Idk, I'm overcast here. The HRRR has the radar exploding in about 5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 Idk, I'm overcast here. The HRRR has the radar exploding in about 5 hours. Someone is going see big rain drops..not your run of the mill type either. All the signals point to a heavy rain event. Spoke with a farmer earlier this morning..he was stoked about the storm. From Mt Holly NWS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THIS EVENING MAY BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 HPC 10 AM discussion on heavy rain NORTHEAST...A NARROW WINDOW FOR HIGH RAINFALL RATES SUFFICIENT TO APPROACH ORPOSSIBLY EXCEED FFG VALUES EXISTS TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS CONVECTIONASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING LOW AND FRONTAL SYSTEM DEVELOPS.WHILE UNCERTAINTY IN THE MESOSCALE SUGGESTS THAT LOCALLY HEAVYRAINFALL IS POSSIBLY ALMOST ANYWHERE...THE SLOWEST CELL MOTIONSAPPEAR TO EXIST FROM ABOUT MA WEST SOUTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN NJWHERE THE MID LEVEL FLOW WEAKENS NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THEWESTERLIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 Drier than my mother in law's chicken here right now with the action well to the north. Pysched to be getting in the kids' baseball and soccer games today at 1 and 2 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mupawxnut Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 Call me crazy, but I don't see much happening in Northern NJ. Dry breeds dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 31, 2015 Share Posted May 31, 2015 Call me crazy, but I don't see much happening in Northern NJ. Dry breeds dry.umm crazy.storms are firing up in eastern pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.