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Severe Threat 5/27-5/28 and heavy rain threat 5/30-6/1


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The GFS much like the Euro has consistently made this a widespread event today and tomorrow and that trend looks to continue with today's 12z GFS showing an additional 1-3" for pretty much everyone. Locally higher totals of course possible in heavy convection.

got a QPF map?

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Looks RGEM like except less over SE PA and the shield is 50 miles north

Pouring here over the last 20 minutes. 

 

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 24

hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation

is extended to Highway departments... cooperative observers... Skywarn

spotters and media for these reports. This summary is also available

on our home Page at weather.Gov/NYC

**********************24 hour rainfall**********************

Location 24 hour time/date comments

                     rainfall of

                     /inches/ measurement

Connecticut

... Fairfield County...

   Stamford 3.40 520 am 6/01 trained spotter

   1 NW Easton 3.36 730 am 6/01 co-op observer

   1 W Shelton 1.74 740 am 6/01 cocorahs

   3 SSE Brookfield 1.72 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   3 ENE Westport 1.20 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Fairfield 1.20 800 am 6/01 trained spotter

   Danbury Municipal Ai 1.19 753 am 6/01 ASOS

   sikorsky Memorial Ai 0.91 752 am 6/01 ASOS

... Middlesex County...

   Middletown 4w 1.68 725 am 6/01 co-op observer

   Salmon river nr east 1.37 715 am 6/01 GOES

   1 S Portland 1.20 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 N Westbrook center 0.26 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

... New Haven County...

   2 ENE Prospect 2.11 600 am 6/01 cocorahs

   4 SW Seymour 1.53 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Beacon Falls 1.30 930 am 6/01 trained spotter

   Quinnipiac river 1.28 700 am 6/01 GOES

   2 E Milford 0.73 820 am 6/01 cocorahs

   2 NNW Madison Center 0.46 900 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Tweed-New Haven airp 0.31 753 am 6/01 ASOS

... New London County...

   Yantic River (river 1.31 745 am 6/01 alert

   3 WNW Oakdale 0.84 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Groton-New London Ai 0.36 756 am 6/01 ASOS

   pendelton hill brook 0.24 645 am 6/01 GOES

New Jersey

... Bergen County...

   Hillsdale 3.81 715 am 6/01 USGS

   1 E Saddle Brook TWP 2.30 600 am 6/01 cocorahs

   WNW Glen Rock 2.21 720 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Lodi 2.16 745 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   1 WNW north arlingto 1.91 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 W Tenafly 1.79 730 am 6/01 cocorahs

   WNW Palisades Park 1.67 900 am 6/01 cocorahs

   WNW Oakland 1.35 630 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Ramapo River at rail 1.27 715 am 6/01 GOES

   1 SSE Oakland 1.11 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 ESE Oakland 1.03 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Franklin Lakes 0.84 745 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   Park Ridge 0.78 800 am 6/01 GOES

... Eastern Union County...

   Mountainside 2.90 730 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   Linden Muni 1.77 755 am 6/01 AWOS

... Essex County...

   Newark Intl Airport 4.60 751 am 6/01 ASOS

   Orange Reservoir 2.68 700 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   2 E canoe brook 2.40 745 am 6/01 co-op observer

   1 WSW Verona TWP 2.18 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   2 S Bloomfield 2.13 730 am 6/01 cocorahs

   2 NNE Montclair 2.05 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   W Cedar Grove TWP 1.92 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 se Maplewood TWP 1.46 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Essex Fells 1.28 745 am 6/01 co-op observer

   1 NE West Caldwell T 0.79 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

... Hudson County...

   Harrison 3.51 700 am 6/01 AWS

... Passaic County...

   1 SSE Hawthorne 2.48 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   3 SSE West Milford T 1.98 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Ringwood 1.96 745 am 6/01 co-op observer

   garret mountain 1.80 745 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   1 SSE Bloomingdale 1.80 600 am 6/01 cocorahs

   3 SSE Ringwood 1.70 740 am 6/01 cocorahs

   West Milford 1.68 745 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   monksville rsvr 1.60 745 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   1 WNW Little Falls T 1.42 600 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 E Ringwood 1.25 710 am 6/01 RAWS

   Pompton Lakes upper 1.21 730 am 6/01 GOES

   water purification p 0.90 730 am 6/01 co-op observer

   1 SSW Wayne TWP 0.78 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Wayne 0.76 745 am 6/01 co-op observer

... Union County...

   1 SSE Kenilworth 3.60 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 ESE New Providence 3.24 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 NE Westfield 1.78 745 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 NNW Cranford TWP 1.40 230 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 NW Union TWP 1.17 630 am 6/01 cocorahs

New York

... Nassau County...

   W Floral Park 0.84 630 am 6/01 cocorahs

   E Levittown 0.73 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   NW Lynbrook 0.60 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

... New York County...

   Central Park 1.89 751 am 6/01 ASOS

... Orange County...

   Tuxedo 2.60 745 am 6/01 co-op observer

   se Port Jervis 2.03 830 am 6/01 cocorahs

   West Point 1.36 655 am 6/01 RAWS

   Port Jervis 1.21 700 am 6/01 co-op observer

... Putnam County...

   8 NE Cold Springs 0.96 600 am 6/01 cocorahs

   4 ESE Beacon 0.93 630 am 6/01 cocorahs

... Queens County...

   1 SW Middle Village 2.65 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   New York La Guardia 1.69 751 am 6/01 ASOS

   New York Kennedy 0.53 751 am 6/01 ASOS

... Richmond County...

   Greenbelt propagatio 2.52 725 am 6/01 co-op observer

   1 se Staten Island 2.29 615 am 6/01 cocorahs

... Rockland County...

   1 WSW West Nyack 2.98 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Nanuet 2.24 730 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   Suffern 1.39 730 am 6/01 GOES

... Suffolk County...

   Republic Airport 0.72 753 am 6/01 ASOS

   1 ESE Bay Shore 0.70 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Vanderbilt museum 0.59 700 am 6/01 co-op observer

   2 NNE Northport 0.47 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 ESE Bay Shore 0.33 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Long Island Mac arth 0.28 756 am 6/01 ASOS

   carmans river 0.25 726 am 6/01 RAWS

   Brookhaven Airport 0.25 756 am 6/01 ASOS

   1 ENE Miller Place 0.21 600 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 WNW East Moriches 0.18 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 SSE Riverhead 0.15 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   4 NW Westhampton 0.12 701 am 6/01 RAWS

   Suffolk County airpo 0.09 753 am 6/01 ASOS

   1 SSW Jamesport 0.09 900 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Greenport power hous 0.02 725 am 6/01 co-op observer

   Laurel Lake near mat 0.01 745 am 6/01 GOES

... Westchester County...

   E Armonk 3.11 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Westchester County a 2.99 756 am 6/01 ASOS

   2 NW South Salem 1.77 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

   Ridgewood 1.52 745 am 6/01 IFLOWS

   N Peekskill 1.27 700 am 6/01 cocorahs

   1 SW Yorktown height 1.10 800 am 6/01 cocorahs

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So is this it? Radar looks like crap I thought we would see widespread rains today.

It's called Summer, see yesterday for reference. It comes in heavy spurts, this isn't a nor'easter. It's sometimes so hard to blur the lines between those who troll and those that ask.
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It's called Summer, see yesterday for reference. It comes in heavy spurts, this isn't a nor'easter. It's sometimes so hard to blur the lines between those who troll and those that ask.

But the airmass appears to be very stable currently. If anything I would expect the focus to be located further south where there's heating and instability. It's the reason why yesterday was so active for us.

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But the airmass appears to be very stable currently. If anything I would expect the focus to be located further south where there's heating and instability. It's the reason why yesterday was so active for us.

what should happen is an area of storms will fire down south in the soupy air and then work north, we'll get into the remnant heavy rains as it over runs the cooler stable air

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12z GGEM crushes Northern and Central NJ, the southern LHV, NYC, Western LI and CT from 00z to around 12z. 2-3" of rain.

The Canadian was the first model to show this event just a few days ago. It's been on a roll so lets see what happens.

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what should happen is an area of storms will fire down south in the soupy air and then work north, we'll get into the remnant heavy rains as it over runs the cooler stable air

Ding ding ding

Heavy rain in Maine currently!!! You think their airmass is unstable? I doubt we see much thunder today but there should be plently of mod rain I fully expect the end of the drought out here

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Ding ding ding

Heavy rain in Maine currently!!! You think their airmass is unstable? I doubt we see much thunder today but there should be plently of mod rain I fully expect the end of the drought out here

Quite a bit of elevated instability today. Great for heavy rain and frequent lightning, meh for severe.

 

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