weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 No cu fields... everything was mid to high level clouds.. Terrain and local oragraphics seemed to fire up the ALB tor cell. Everything going bananas over the mountains and lakes..... Closer to s/w and had aid of localized effects.. I think cap had a lot to do with why we haven't had much impressive stuff here. It was lack of forcing/upper level support...it's great and sexy to see 3000+ capes but if there is no support or forcing to work with it's good for nothing. With the forcing/support progressing east you can see how it interacts with the instability just by looking at PA...some pretty healthy looking activity there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 looking forward to the 0z observed soundings which should be out any minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Well the forcing is working east, albeit slowly. Outside of central and eastern PA the most unstable air is actually across eastern MA and CT...with nothing going on in CT we should remain very unstable although it will tick down a bit. That stuff near BGM still in a lesser unstable airmass...probably give it another hour and see how it does. If it doesn't come up as it moves into a more unstable airmass than it probably won't materialize any further. If the forcing can push east and keep in check with the activity it may be fine. Widespread severe probably unlikely but some isolated severe remains in the cards Late show today. We're going to have some epic flash flooding if it keeps up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 It was lack of forcing/upper level support...it's great and sexy to see 3000+ capes but if there is no support or forcing to work with it's good for nothing. With the forcing/support progressing east you can see how it interacts with the instability just by looking at PA...some pretty healthy looking activity there. I like the way you said overturned atmosphere. I've heard it before, but it's great to use. How much will that s/w coming eastward even matter at this point? I'd kill to be somewhere near Portland ME right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Late show today. We're going to have some epic flash flooding if it keeps up this way. yeah it may be real ugly up your way...still activity in Canada that could dive down that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Late show today. We're going to have some epic flash flooding if it keeps up this way. Cumberland, York, Oxford, Androscoggin counties might sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Wow. Cloud tops are just so impressive across NNE. Continuing to strengthen, cool. Congrats NNE, GYX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Cumberland, York, Oxford, Androscoggin counties might sink. I'm worried about central NH. Right on the warm front will get smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 I'm worried about central NH. Right on the warm front will get smoked. Oh yeah, def. I was speaking more about later on. They have poured all day. Is Scott still at the lake house? Haven't heard much. What about our boy winni? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Stuff near BGM doesn't look impressive. Maybe that stuff firming in SWMass can continue to build sw into Ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Stuff near BGM doesn't look impressive. Maybe that stuff firming in SWMass can continue to build sw into Ct that stuff near BGM is in an area where instability is much less...so that could be why it's not doing much. Just east though you still have 2500 MLcape and 3000 MUcape across SNE. So I'm thinking wait and see how it's looking by 9:30. If it hasn't gotten better goodnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 that stuff just keeps pulsing up and down so it does have some life to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Any details? Sorry, no. Some side streets under water, but I don't know the names. Impressive lightning - this is Great Plains-caliber stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 I'm gonna wave white flag for most of CT and call it a night. Congrats to NNE. And whomever else got in on the fun from this. Onto Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Sorry, no. Some side streets under water, but I don't know the names. Impressive lightning - this is Great Plains-caliber stuff Yeah, I mean we've primed the pump with round one (or two) and now this congealing cluster of storms might push a lot of places over the edge into true flash flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eire015 Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 I'm worried about central NH. Right on the warm front will get smoked. Yeah it is just to the south of my area. Constant CG to the south. I just had a bit of typical backyard flash flooding from the cell that went over Littleton earlier, but it must be getting pretty bad down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 I'm gonna wave white flag for most of CT and call it a night. Congrats to NNE. And whomever else got in on the fun from this. Onto Tuesday Tuesday is nothing...extremely limited moisture. Don't think we see anything really...maybe a few showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 There's no cap south of the pike. Hasn't been since mid day Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 that stuff just keeps pulsing up and down so it does have some life to it. The tops are steady at 35k to 40k.....have been for at least 30 min....good sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Huh?The instability burst that brought thru the 3 hour thick mid level deck eroded it. Stick a fork in this one for us and move on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 I'm worried about central NH. Right on the warm front will get smoked. I've managed to be just inside the edge of every rain shaft today so I've only scored 0.54" so far. I can probably walk from here to where 2"+ fell in about 10 minutes. Would be sweet if that front would sag a bit further south. I love a good long flooding rain and it looks like it's setting up a tad too far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 The tops are steady at 35k to 40k.....have been for at least 30 min....good sign? yeah steady is good lol. better than slowly dwindling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Clearly a TOR Anecdotal but when I see the RFD extend and drop south like that I am thinking null case more often than not. There is a good Kumjian and Rhyzkov paper about a similar looking null case storm in Oklahoma viewed from the dual pol KOUN experimental doppler radar in 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 I've managed to be just inside the edge of every rain shaft today so I've only scored 0.54" so far. I can probably walk from here to where 2"+ fell in about 10 minutes. Would be sweet if that front would sag a bit further south. I love a good long flooding rain and it looks like it's setting up a tad too far north. It does look like it might stay just to your north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 congrats Maineand NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 this blows...the sounding page on the SPC is down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 and NH There has been nothing in North Haven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 OMG why isn't the observed sounding page on the SPC not working ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 OMG why isn't the observed sounding page on the SPC not working ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhUwyo soundings are up fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Can see alot of lightning to the nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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