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Summer 2015 General Thunderstorm Thread


powderfreak

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From GYX at 3:40...AWT

 

Near term /through tonight/...
cold front approaching from the west currently pushing a line of
convection through eastern New York and expect this line to hold
together as it enters the Connecticut valley late this afternoon.
Sat pics showing partial clearing across much of New Hampshire and
temperatures are gradually responding so should have enough cape by
the time it pushes into western zones to sustain convection.

Generally dealing with marginal convective available potential energy during the remainder of the
afternoon...but good bulk shear across the area and pwat's of 1.4
to 1.6 will increase the potential for damaging winds with
stronger cells and bowing line segments. Main threat will be
confined to New Hampshire as continuing onshore flow has much of
Maine under a strong marine layer...so expect any convection to
gradually die out as it enters western Maine
. Could see some small
hail in stronger cells in New Hampshire but should remain below
severe limits due to limited convective available potential energy.

Second concern will be for heavy rainfall in northwest zones where
over an inch has fallen in the past 24 hours. Shortwave approaching
from the west will go slightly negative as it swings through
northern zones this evening may result in training cells and
persistent heavy rainfall through midnight in the mountains of
Maine and New Hampshire and this will be watched closely through
this evening.

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From GYX at 3:40...AWT

 

Near term /through tonight/...

cold front approaching from the west currently pushing a line of

convection through eastern New York and expect this line to hold

together as it enters the Connecticut valley late this afternoon.

Sat pics showing partial clearing across much of New Hampshire and

temperatures are gradually responding so should have enough cape by

the time it pushes into western zones to sustain convection.

Generally dealing with marginal convective available potential energy during the remainder of the

afternoon...but good bulk shear across the area and pwat's of 1.4

to 1.6 will increase the potential for damaging winds with

stronger cells and bowing line segments. Main threat will be

confined to New Hampshire as continuing onshore flow has much of

Maine under a strong marine layer...so expect any convection to

gradually die out as it enters western Maine. Could see some small

hail in stronger cells in New Hampshire but should remain below

severe limits due to limited convective available potential energy.

Second concern will be for heavy rainfall in northwest zones where

over an inch has fallen in the past 24 hours. Shortwave approaching

from the west will go slightly negative as it swings through

northern zones this evening may result in training cells and

persistent heavy rainfall through midnight in the mountains of

Maine and New Hampshire and this will be watched closely through

this evening.

 

AWT

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Didn't get crap here and couldn't go north b/c I had to work until 5 and the storms came through before then.  Stupid.  Thursday is probably going to suck to hell too so this two weeks of my friends down and we got crap.  Even though I work every day it's not like there was much to really go after anyways. 

 

WE'RE GOING OUT WEST NEXT SPRING...I DON'T CARE WHAT WE HAVE TO DO FOR THE EXTRA MONEY

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