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May 24-27 severe potential


Indystorm

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Sitting in Bastrop, TX.  All the moisture streaming north is really evident on the drive in and on the radar.  We'll see if anything discrete can happen along the southern portion of this mess or out in front.  I'm not too hopeful, but even with a line maybe I can snag some cool lightning pictures.  

 

Also, every stream,creek, or river I passed in on the way from College Station was EXTREMELY swollen and well outside its normal banks.  Really troubled at the possibility of training cells at the southern edge.

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I presently have concern for the comma head area storms east of Guthrie and moving north. Always a good location for tornadic activity in a situation like this. Will see what develops.

That little appendage by Newcastle & graham needs to be watched, if not warned.

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Meanwhile in Illinois...

 

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL  
1156 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015  
 
   
ELIZA AREA TORNADO
 
 
RATING: EF-2  
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115 MPH  
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 6.7 MILES  
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS  
FATALITIES: 0  
INJURIES: 0  
 
START DATE: MAY 24 2015  
START TIME: 650 PM CDT (ESTIMATED BY WITNESSES)  
START LOCATION: 5 N NEW BOSTON / MERCER / IL  
START LAT/LON: 41.2527/ -90.9853  
 
END DATE: MAY 24 2015  
END TIME: 7 PM CDT (ESTIMATED)  
END LOCATION: 4 S ILLINOIS CITY / MERCER / IL  
END_LAT/LON: 41.3309/ -90.9085  
 
SURVEY SUMMARY: THE TORNADO MOVED NORTHEAST, DAMAGING MAINLY TREES AND  
OUTBUILDINGS ALONG ITS PATH. THE WORST DAMAGE WAS NEAR THE  
BEGINNING OF THE PATH, WHERE A LARGE MACHINE SHED WAS COMPLETELY  
DESTROYED, 2 GARAGES WERE DESTROYED, AND A HOUSE WAS PARTIALLY  
UNROOFED. WITNESSES DESCRIBED BLINDING RAIN ACCOMPANYING THE  
TORNADO.  

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
1211 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
YOUNG COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  
 
* UNTIL 100 PM CDT  
 
* AT 1210 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BOTH  
TORNADOES AND EXTENSIVE STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE WERE LOCATED 10  
MILES WEST OF GRAHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  

 
HAZARD...TORNADO.  
 
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
 
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT  
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.  
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE  
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
 
* THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WILL BE NEAR...  
GRAHAM AROUND 1225 PM CDT. 

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Just saw this, but apparently a deadly tornado struck Ciudad Acuna in Mexico earlier (across the border from Del Rio), killing at least 10 people.

 

I remember seeing a supercell intensifying and approaching that area before I went to bed last night.

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Report of a large tornado via law enforcement on the supercell near Johnson City.

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN

BLANCO COUNTY...

AT 104 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS

LOCATED OVER SANDY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROUND MOUNTAIN...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO OVER THE LBJ RANCH.

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY

BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES

WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO

HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE

DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  

TORNADO WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  

113 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A  

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  

SOUTHEASTERN LLANO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  

SOUTHWESTERN BURNET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  

NORTHERN BLANCO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  

 

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT  

 

* AT 113 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO  

WAS LOCATED NEAR SANDY...OR NEAR ROUND MOUNTAIN...MOVING NORTHEAST  

AT 35 MPH.  

 

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  

 

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  

 

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO EARLIER OVER THE LBJ  

RANCH.  

 

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS  

MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE  

HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO  

HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE  

DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.  

 

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  

ROUND MOUNTAIN AND CYPRESS MILL AROUND 130 PM CDT.  

SPICEWOOD AROUND 145 PM CDT.  

SMITHWICK AROUND 150 PM CDT.  

 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE  

COTTONWOOD SHORES AND SUNRISE BEACH VILLAGE.  

 

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  SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  142 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015    TXC281-251900-  /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150525T1900Z/  LAMPASAS TX-  142 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015    ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR EASTERN  LAMPASAS COUNTY...        AT 141 PM CDT...A POTENTIALLY LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO   WAS LOCATED NEAR LAMPASAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.    THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.    HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.     SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.     IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY            BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES            WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO            HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE            DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.     THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...    COPPERAS COVE AROUND 155 PM CDT.    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...    TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY  TORNADO IS DEVELOPING. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO  A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY  BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR  IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.    

 

 

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The lampasas cell looks pretty stout now, luckily its got a lot of wide open country in front of it....classic radar return

Yeah-lucky these cells pulsed up in the relatively desolate Hill Country instead of far more populated areas on I-35. Heavy rain is definitely preferable to one of those large tornadoes slamming into Austin or another large town. 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  

TORNADO WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  

150 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A  

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  

SOUTHWESTERN CORYELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS...  

SOUTHEASTERN LAMPASAS COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS...  

 

* UNTIL 215 PM CDT  

 

* AT 149 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  

LOCATED NEAR KEMPNER...OR 7 MILES WEST OF COPPERAS COVE... MOVING  

NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.  

 

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  

 

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  

 

SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.  

 

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS  

MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE  

HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO  

HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE  

DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.  

 

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  

JUST NORTH OF COPPERAS COVE AROUND 200 PM CDT

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