rolltide_130 Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 Some significant damage out of Runaway Bay this morning https://twitter.com/GrantJNBC5/status/601025237833113601 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 Odd that there were zero tornado reports from the spc site on the jacksboro-runaway bay storm that had massive rotation and several reports from at least news station of a tog. Pics this morning showing houses leveled as well in that area. Any reason why they didn't correct it? SPC udpates those reports all the time, sometimes even a week or so afterwards. Had to update a map for 5/6 today with new report locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 Some NWS offices are just slow it seems... Busy period. Remember OUN used to release all theirs at once sometimes days after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 20, 2015 Share Posted May 20, 2015 SPC udpates those reports all the time, sometimes even a week or so afterwards. Had to update a map for 5/6 today with new report locations. Yeah I figured that, just found it odd that the NWS issued a PDS warning on it and it's already been rated EF-1 yet doesn't have any report for it. I'm sure it will be corrected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 Turns out my friend from Jacksoro TX was correct... It was a EF0 The sad part is that it was never tornado warned .. my friend was just walking in her door when this touched down on her intersection.. She had to quickly slam the door and take her daughter to the closet and they stayed there till it pass... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 Some significant damage out of Runaway Bay this morning https://twitter.com/GrantJNBC5/status/601025237833113601 thats some significant EF0 damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 The enhanced language warnings seem to be a failure so far. How many large and extremely dangerous ef0 or non tornadoes now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 thats some significant EF0 damage Looks like all the homes I saw damage to were manufactured/mobile homes with a couple 2 story apartments(?) hit as well. However, the damage to them seems to indicate much more than 80 mph winds: (Images from: http://www.nbcdfw.com/weather/stories/Mineral-Wells-Runaway-Bay-Tornadoes-Rated-EF-1-304449721.html) http://www.spc.noaa.gov/efscale/4.html http://www.spc.noaa.gov/efscale/5.html If anything, you'd think EF1-EF2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 Yeah I would argue it was more EF-1 range damage than EF-0, though we are splitting hairs as it wasn't a large and extremely dangerous tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 I would venture to guess that a large number of these reports are coming from overzealous/hyped storm chasers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 E CO/far W KS looking fairly interesting tomorrow on the NAM, with modest CAPE, stronger mid/upper flow than further south and some really nice low level hodographs by 00z. Destabilization is obviously going to be the biggest question, but some High Plains shenanigans look quite likely if that takes place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 I would venture to guess that a large number of these reports are coming from overzealous/hyped storm chasers. What.? No that **** never happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 21, 2015 Share Posted May 21, 2015 E CO/far W KS looking fairly interesting tomorrow on the NAM, with modest CAPE, stronger mid/upper flow than further south and some really nice low level hodographs by 00z. Destabilization is obviously going to be the biggest question, but some High Plains shenanigans look quite likely if that takes place.The RGEM is bullish on instability as well. It doesn't take a lot per climo. That seems to be the vicinity to go for Fri/Sat for a decent shot at catching something nice. Climo mean parameters in 128 tornado cases for northeastern Colorado are as follows: MLCAPE = 855 J/kg LCL= 1567m SCP<1 Effective shear = 30 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 I'm sure Ian and team (like myself) are hopeful for some Colorado upslope magic today. You wouldn't typically think a morning in the 40s with showers would lead to any afternoon severe threat. It's still a fairly marginal setup, but with cool temperatures aloft (lapse rates, instability), and both speed and directional shear, it won't take souped up dews to produce in this geographic location. The NAM and now HRRR develop one or two discrete cells roughly in the vicinity of I-70 in eastern Colorado late this afternoon. Even if it's not a tornado, we'd be happy with a modest supercell. The setup tomorrow gets a bit better as the thermodynamic environment should become somewhat more impressive during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 Dews pretty stagnant overnight after looking good late yday compared to some modeling. Should be able to still get them near 50 or so. HRRR does seem to like the Limon and east area. Might as we'll give it a go.. Busting on day 1 is easier to deal with than day 10. Moderately hopeful but minimal expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 Nice SPC increase to 5% tor and SLGT for a small portion of NE Colorado in the vicinity of I-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 HRRR keeps marching a cell from near Limon right down 70. Maybe another behind it late day. Pretty good consistency. 50 dews nearing the border near Lamar now. Clearing working up from SE CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 NAM is solid thru Monday. Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Misstertwister Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 I know this isn't the place for this but can anyone recommend a reputable storm chasing your company? First priority is safety, second is the education/evolution of storms etcetera. I'd prefer a very knowledgable chaser experience and or degreed team Live on OKC so shouldn't be an issue. I can google it but figured many of you would have some good recommendations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 I know this isn't the place for this but can anyone recommend a reputable storm chasing your company? First priority is safety, second is the education/evolution of storms etcetera. I'd prefer a very knowledgable chaser experience and or degreed team Live on OKC so shouldn't be an issue. I can google it but figured many of you would have some good recommendations Tempest Tours might be a good fit for you. Very well-established and run by veterans, including Chuck Doswell. Silver Lining Tours is owned/run by Roger Hill, who probably has the most success chasing year-to-year of anyone out there. He's not degreed and probably doesn't have quite the same scientific background, but he's a chase forecasting genius and probably leans towards the safer end of the spectrum these days. Just make sure you understand that tornado chasing is a rather extreme pursuit, no matter who you go with. Even the safest groups have had close calls and harrowing incidents occasionally. I will say that with Tempest, I imagine you're at least unlikely to end up with every single side window completely busted out following a core punch, which I saw on another group's tour van after the Elmer tornado on May 16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 Tempest Tours might be a good fit for you. Very well-established and run by veterans, including Chuck Doswell. Silver Lining Tours is owned/run by Roger Hill, who probably has the most success chasing year-to-year of anyone out there. He's not degreed and probably doesn't have quite the same scientific background, but he's a chase forecasting genius and probably leans towards the safer end of the spectrum these days. Just make sure you understand that tornado chasing is a rather extreme pursuit, no matter who you go with. Even the safest groups have had close calls and harrowing incidents occasionally. I will say that with Tempest, I imagine you're at least unlikely to end up with every single side window completely busted out following a core punch, which I saw on another group's tour van after the Elmer tornado on May 16. Was going to ask the same question myself, living in dfw makes it relatively easy to go on one of those tours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 Monday is starting to look like a potentially more widespread day on the NAM/GFS. There is the initial s/w trough/ULL swinging to the northeast with a possible threat over IA/MO and adjacent areas and a secondary s/w rotating through the flow on the southern end, perhaps bringing a threat to the S Plains (although forcing looks more nebulous in these areas). LLJ strength seems good, especially by 00z and barring overnight convection from Sunday, there should be a broad reservoir of strong instability to work with. Rather meridional flow in the upper levels due to the amplitude of the SE ridge may be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 A narrow axis of 1000-2000 J/kg of CAPE will exist along the KS/CO and NE/CO borders tomorrow. There should be a zone of 30kt-50kt winds at 500mb in the same general area. I think at least isolated severe storms will develop along this axis. I would imagine that a few storm chasers will get wall cloud or tornado pictures in Colorado. Today: 1000-1500 CAPE just south of I-70 in Colorado, and a few showers/thunderstorms developing, possibly with results comparable to tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted May 22, 2015 Share Posted May 22, 2015 Was going to ask the same question myself, living in dfw makes it relatively easy to go on one of those tours... I know this isn't the place for this but can anyone recommend a reputable storm chasing your company? First priority is safety, second is the education/evolution of storms etcetera. I'd prefer a very knowledgable chaser experience and or degreed team Live on OKC so shouldn't be an issue. I can google it but figured many of you would have some good recommendations Twisted Sky Tours is also a good tour company that I'd recommend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 This is a fairly good video about visualizing tornadoes by TWC/Jim Cantore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Tornado reported north of Chickasha in OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Large tornado live on KFOR: http://kfor.com/on-air/live-streaming/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN GRADY COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 521 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF POCASSET... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 23, 2015 Share Posted May 23, 2015 Where the heck did this come from? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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