Quixotic1 Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Cell in northern Dallas is getting that look.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 TOR out near Waxahachie TX for a cell that ramped briefly as it crossed I287 with a decent couplet but already weakening/cycling. Storms going through the metroplex have taken on clear supercell characteristics, but mostly have not exhibited low level rotation, this one aside. waxahachie_1.jpg I guess law enforcement is confirming this touched down and there is at least one twitter pic of it (courtesy of Barbara Lane, repasted below) , though according to radar, after the couplet weakened a quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 This looks like fun. Good luck. I'm on it, just hopped off I-44, heading up toward Grandfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EquusStorm Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Agitated CU along the dryline in W TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EquusStorm Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Tornado-warned storm west of Iraan, TX looks pretty impressive at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokey_mountain_vols Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Wasn't expecting this.. luckily it'll be passing through here tonight when there's less of a chance of severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Storm developing right over Wichita Falls has my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 What is the deal with the storm motion in the TOR warned cell east of Fort Stockton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 What is the deal with the storm motion in the TOR warned cell east of Fort Stockton? Looks like it might be riding along an advancing outflow boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 There seemed to be two simultaneous circulations just east of Wichita Falls. (Jolly and Petrolia.) I wonder if both could have been tornadoes in the last few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EquusStorm Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Good lord at the cell east of Fort Stockton. It is almost certainly producing. Very intense couplet and notable debris signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 tornado reports, 5 miles SW of Bakersfield, and 14.0 miles south of Bakersfield (E of Fort Stockton) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rolltide_130 Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 That cell in SW Texas is quite reminiscent of Jarrell in it's behavior. Moving SSW along a boundary at a very slow speed, which is likely aiding significantly in it's development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Cell NW of Jacksboro might drop a rather significant tornado here shortly if it hasn't already done so. 400 m2/s2 ESRH, 2000 J/kg MLCAPE and 50 kts of effective shear in the vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 That cell in SW Texas is quite reminiscent of Jarrell in it's behavior. Moving SSW along a boundary at a very slow speed, which is likely aiding significantly in it's development. This. I thought the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Been offline all afternoon and come back to things really firing: NWS Fort Worth @NWSFortWorth 3m3 minutes ago 615PM: Radar strongly suggests a tornado is just south of the town of Palo Pinto at this time. Take cover! #dfwwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Basehunters has TOG Edit: Was down, but looks like it lifted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Strong couplet on that cell west of Mineral Wells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EquusStorm Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Intense couplet on Mineral Wells storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Intense couplet on Mineral Wells storm tornado confirmed on that cell. not looking good for mineral wells. may go just north of town though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMR Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 The 18Z GFS is looking decent for Saturday across W KS/NW OK fwiw... SBCAPE/MUCAPE of 1500-2000J/KG overlapped by 35-50kts of westerly bulk shear.. Good directional shear in the lowest 0-3KM, 200-350 0-3KM SRH, 30-40kts of low-level shear (per the DDC sounding at 00Z 5/24), 0-3KM EHI's of 3-5... Main issue looks like it will be (AGAIN) morning convection and a largely unidirectional profile above 700mb, however it does look like VBV won't be an issue at all per the GFS. But from the looks of it the ECMWF and CMC disagree with the GFS substantially... I'm going to be pessimistic really at this point, seems like picking a target well south of where the main threat is expected has been the best choice by far this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Two areas of circulation at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EquusStorm Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 The monster south of Fort Stockton just swallowed a northward-lifting cell, still sagging south. I am almost certain that something rather terrifying is going on under that meso even right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EquusStorm Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Two areas of circulation at the moment. There was actually a report of two tornadoes down, apparently, as per SPC storm reports page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 A pair of intense supercells have formed in the AMA CWA, with the one SW of Clarendon looking very sharp on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Fortunate that this storm is over mainly rural land in SW TX -- It's dropping monster hail. Check out the area of 73 dbz returns at 25kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Rather strong circulation east of Ryan OK. Even so, the town High School is very near were the storm is located. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Cell west of Cross Plains, TX tightened up quickly with decent structure. Could be one to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted May 19, 2015 Share Posted May 19, 2015 Fortunate that this storm is over mainly rural land in SW TX -- It's dropping monster hail. Check out the area of 73 dbz returns at 25kft. I believe the monster hail considering the near constant three-body scatter strikes emanating from that cell. As far as what is going on under the meso, I can only speculate, but it wouldn't surprise me if there was something big. Even without taking the highly deviant storm motion into account, SPC Mesoanalysis is showing enhanced low level shear very near where that cell is riding the outflow boundary. With the cell moving about 90* right of the Bunkers motion, effective helicities are for that cell are probably quite a bit higher even than what is shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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