Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 5 minutes ago, Roy9 said: Youngsville, LA cleanup Horrible, so sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy9 Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Horrible, so sad Thanks Ginx, I agree. 40k+ homes lost. Tens of thousands of citizens homeless and in shelters. We have pure chaos at the moment here in Louisiana. Check out http://help.225batonrouge.com/ for place to donate, how to help, current road closure information, etc. Also https://twitter.com/fema is good information too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy9 Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy9 Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy9 Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 11 minutes ago, Roy9 said: Thanks Ginx, I agree. 40k+ homes lost. Tens of thousands of citizens homeless and in shelters. We have pure chaos at the moment here in Louisiana. Check out http://help.225batonrouge.com/ for place to donate, how to help, current road closure information, etc. Also https://twitter.com/fema is good information too Thanks for the links. I will send some ching to the Red Cross Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 24, 2016 Author Share Posted August 24, 2016 A cluster of thunderstorms tried to organize in southwestern Iowa this afternoon, but most storms in the region today struggled to maintain organization for very long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weunice Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 I wouldn't be shocked when all is said and done that the Louisiana flood will end up being one of the costliest river floods in United States history. I drove home to my home in Denham Springs yesterday (I was in the 25% that didn't flood) from Port Allen and I went down a stretch of roads approximately 15 miles long that was covered with debris. Not one mile of that drive escaped the flood. I kid you not when I say I passed well over 1000 piles of debris. Right now estimates are between 60,000 and 140,000 homes were flooded and I think a number smack dab in the middle is a pretty good bet to be reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 27, 2016 Share Posted August 27, 2016 3 tornadoes have been reported northeast of the Kansas City metro, close to I-35. Looks like a really small mid-latitude cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 27, 2016 Share Posted August 27, 2016 Kansas City area had 3 to 5" of rain today. Flash flood warnings are now in effect for all of the metro, up to about 70 miles northeast of KC. FLASH FLOOD: CAR SUBMERGED WITH WATER ABOVE FRONT TIRE, VIA TWITTER (this is somewhat near downtown KC.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 27, 2016 Share Posted August 27, 2016 Large TDS near but not heading for Grand Forks ND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 28, 2016 Share Posted August 28, 2016 Here's the locations of the three tornadoes in ND today, which were around 2110 to 2120z. The plot is the composite reflectivity at 2128z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted August 28, 2016 Share Posted August 28, 2016 Here's the locations of the three tornadoes in ND today, which were around 2110 to 2120z. The plot is the composite reflectivity at 2128zNoticed at work this morning that the HRRR had a pretty decent signal for longer lived supercells and marginal tornadoes today. I thought it was a little too bullish but ended up doing pretty well. Some of the couplets suggested a stronger tornado or two.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted August 28, 2016 Share Posted August 28, 2016 Yup. Approx. 420pm CT I looped around and approached the cell passing by Arvilla from the NW (located at the hail report West of Emerado) and encountered 2-3" hail OTG. Continued South and caught up to see the last 5mins of the tornado before it became too obscured and I lost 4g so felt too uncomfortable to proceed. First ever intercept so adrenaline is still flowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted August 29, 2016 Share Posted August 29, 2016 Similar setup as yesterday has the Red River Valley under the gun. Nice warned storm to the SE of Grand Forks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 29, 2016 Share Posted August 29, 2016 strong, wide circulation detected by radar with this tornado, this is an HP or classic supercell, SE of Grand Forks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted August 29, 2016 Share Posted August 29, 2016 Got pretty broad at one point but tightening up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 29, 2016 Share Posted August 29, 2016 Watching a live feed from there, I don't think I've ever seen so much lightning in my life. Literally every second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 29, 2016 Share Posted August 29, 2016 There has been an estimated 5 to 6.5" of rain along the track of this supercell. It will be interesting to see if there are some tornado surveys that come out of this. I hope the tornado(es) didn't hit anybody's house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Sunday is starting to look pretty fun somewhere in central or northern SD... Will just happen to be there on my way home from a camping trip...Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted September 2, 2016 Share Posted September 2, 2016 9 hours ago, ZackH said: Sunday is starting to look pretty fun somewhere in central or northern SD... Will just happen to be there on my way home from a camping trip... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Labor day weekend looking like a overall wash for the majority of the area. Tonight's GFS says up to 2.5" may fall. Fingers crossed this wet pattern persists into the cold season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 4, 2016 Share Posted September 4, 2016 For Sunday, there will be CAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg in the central Dakotas with 0-6km wind shear values of 30-50kt in the unstable sector east of the front. Convection-allowing models (NAM 4km, WRF models) show convection in central and eastern North Dakota, as well as southwest South Dakota, with scattered storms in Nebraska at 00z. (7pm Sunday). I think there will be some hail/wind reports. There should be some chance for tornadoes where (and if) SRH values increase above 250m2/s2. Those areas, maybe 5% tornado chances, could be central SD to central ND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 4, 2016 Author Share Posted September 4, 2016 Moisture pooling beneath an outflow boundary in southwestern Nebraska. Storms may have a tendency to merge/cluster relatively quickly, but look for a concentrated conditional threat down there from late afternoon into early this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 16, 2016 Share Posted September 16, 2016 There have been some heavy storms in central Plains today. There has been 5-7" of rain northwest of Omaha, and flash flooding is going on there. With over 70 storm reports today, it has been the most active plains day since 9/4. Several storm reports in New Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 17, 2016 Share Posted September 17, 2016 a couple of landspout tornadoes (sort of out-of-season now) in CO/KS and hail in Texas/NM. Locally 4200 J/kg MUCAPE, 52 kt effective shear, 210 m2/s2 of SRH near these supercells. (forecast sounding near Andrews, TX) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 tornado sirens blowing in downtown Odessa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 Severe thunderstorm warning was issued for Norman before the Ohio State- Oklahoma game started, I believe, as people were waiting for the game to begin. (or during the game?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 6 hours ago, Chinook said: Severe thunderstorm warning was issued for Norman before the Ohio State- Oklahoma game started, I believe, as people were waiting for the game to begin. (or during the game?) Storm rolled in about 75 minutes before scheduled kickoff. Game was pushed back 'till 8 PM. Storms quickly moved east and skies were clear and sunny by 6:45 PM. Second round of storms arrived at about 2:30 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monsoonman1 Posted November 21, 2016 Share Posted November 21, 2016 Next week+ are looking fairly interesting for severe weather prospects. Tomorrow 11/22 has a Slight Risk outlooked for Central and NE Texas. Wouldn't be too surprised to see a couple tornadoes (which would break a month-long streak of no reported tornadoes in the US.) After tomorrow, looks to remain active with storm systems moving across the country. Anything will be better than the extremely quiet pattern we've experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted December 21, 2016 Share Posted December 21, 2016 12Z model suite is friendly to the SPC Day 5 valid Sunday. Low CAPE high shear severe is not limited to Dixie Alley at night. Recent studies show such events as frequent or even more frequent in the Plains all times of day. Sunday looks like robust speed shear with adequate directional shear. Dewpoints are just-in-time, a concern in spring but just the way it goes in winter. Figure helecity will be locally higher on the lifting warm front. If it is not going to snow for Christmas, why not severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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